Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1006 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

.DISCUSSION...MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT.
RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS...MAINLY IN THE EAST. TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE
STEADY NEAR 70 FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. THE MAIN LINE SEEMS TO BE
ACCELERATING...SO COOLER TEMPS MAY MOVE INTO TH WESTERN ZONES A
LITTLE SOONER...BUT FOR NOW WILL LEAVE TIME CLOSE TO 12Z. ADJUSTED
WIND ADVISORY TO EXTEND THE TIME TO 3Z. LOOKS LIKE THE GRADIENT
SHOULD HOLD BEYOND MIDNIGHT. IT WILL BE BREEZY ACROSS THE CWA.

MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ACROSS THE DELTA ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE RIVER...BUT A FEW STORMS ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP TO THE
SOUTH. TIMING OF THE ACTIVITY STILL LOOKS GOOD. A NEW WATCH WILL BE
OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS RAPIDLY FILLING IN NEWD OVER THE CWFA.
FIRST BATCH OF SUPERCELLS LIFTING N OF OUR AREA HOWEVER MORE
PROLIFIC AXIS OF PRE-FRONTAL STORMS BUILDING INTO OUR WRN TIER AT
03Z. EXPECT DETERIORATING IFR CONDS WITH THE NUMEROUS STRONG/SEVERE
TSRA AS THE COLD FRONT ACCELERATES EWD TO MS RIVER 06-08Z AND
CROSSING I-55 08-11Z AND FINALLY THE MS/AL BORDER 11-14Z EXITING
THE ENTIRE CWFA BY 15Z. SUSTAINED S WINDS OF 15-25KTS WILL BE COMMON
WITH GUSTS OF 35KTS OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE WSW WITH FROPA. VFR
BROKEN CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED ABOUT 3-4HRS AFTER THE WIND SHIFT WITH
STILL GUSTY WNW WINDS OF 15-25KTS 15Z-23Z WEDNESDAY./40/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       67  64  32  59 / 100  32  10   5
MERIDIAN      69  68  31  58 /  90  63  13   5
VICKSBURG     56  62  31  61 /  99  14   7   5
HATTIESBURG   69  67  33  59 /  87  63   9   5
NATCHEZ       57  61  31  60 /  98  13   7   5
GREENVILLE    56  55  31  58 / 100  14   5   5
GREENWOOD     58  61  30  59 / 100  15   8   5

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ018-019-025>027-
     034>036-040>042-047.

LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023-025.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

7/40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
156 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-310800-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
156 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LAZ026-MSZ026>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-310800-
CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-
NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
156 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHERN PORTION OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

SOME SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH AND A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING INTO THE NORTHWEST DELTA
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 AM AND
7 AM BEFORE MOVING EAST OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED EARLY THIS MORNING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

17

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
134 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND DMG     START                   32.49N 91.86W
01/29/2013                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER POLE DOWN AROUND START.

1227 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANGHAM                 32.31N 91.77W
01/30/2013                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW POWER LINES DOWN

&&

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
154 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE SHAW               33.57N 90.73W
01/30/2013                   SUNFLOWER          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINE ACROSS HWY 448.

&&

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
209 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S HOLCOMB             33.73N 89.97W
01/30/2013                   GRENADA            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 35 NEAR HOLCOMB

0125 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW GRENADA            33.82N 89.86W
01/30/2013                   GRENADA            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ALONG PEARIDGE ROAD NORTH OF GRENADA

&&

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
218 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ITTA BENA               33.50N 90.32W
01/30/2013                   LEFLORE            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

CME