Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Lincoln, IL

950 
WWUS53 KILX 010338
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1038 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ILC139-147-010348-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130601T0400Z/
MOULTRIE IL-PIATT IL-
1038 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PIATT AND EASTERN
MOULTRIE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3948 8799 3948 8801 3938 8801 3937 8846
      3938 8847 4003 8836 4009 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 245DEG 39KT 4004 8813 3944 8830

$$

ILC019-029-041-010400-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130601T0400Z/
CHAMPAIGN IL-COLES IL-DOUGLAS IL-
1038 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOUGLAS...
COLES AND SOUTHERN CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1036 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM PHILO TO LERNA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...VILLA GROVE...CAMARGO...SIDNEY...HINDSBORO...RARDIN...
BROADLANDS...HOMER...NEWMAN...OAKLAND...ASHMORE...FOX RIDGE STATE
PARK...FAIRGRANGE...LONGVIEW...MURDOCK...BUSHTON AND HUTTON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 57 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 181 AND 229.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3948 8799 3948 8801 3938 8801 3937 8846
      3938 8847 4003 8836 4009 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0338Z 245DEG 39KT 4004 8813 3944 8830

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CHS

538 
WWUS53 KILX 010356
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1056 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ILC019-029-041-010405-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130601T0400Z/
CHAMPAIGN IL-COLES IL-DOUGLAS IL-
1056 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DOUGLAS...COLES AND SOUTHERN
CHAMPAIGN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST AND A 
NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN 
CHAMPAIGN...DOUGLAS...AND COLES COUNTIES.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM.

LAT...LON 3948 8799 3948 8801 3938 8801 3937 8846
      3938 8847 4003 8836 4009 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 245DEG 39KT 4011 8791 3952 8808

$$

CHS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
651 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 245 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS TRACKING ENE ACROSS
CENTRAL THRU EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS IS KEEPING TEMPERATURES AT BAY...AT LEAST EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH READINGS MOSTLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S...WITH
A FEW LOW 80S OVER EXTREME SE IL WHERE THE THICKER CLOUD COVER AND
RAIN HAS STAYED AWAY FROM FOR NOW. DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER AND RAIN
OVER MOST OF THE AREA...INSTABILITY HAS BEEN HELD DOWN SOME WITH
THE HIGHER CAPES ACRS FAR EAST AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

ENHANCED FLASH FLOOD THREAT SETTING UP TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A SPRINGFIELD TO CHAMPAIGN LINE.

MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE SLOW MOVING UPPER SYSTEM
OUT TO OUR NORTHWEST AND THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT...THAT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACRS OUR AREA SATURDAY. BUT BEFORE THAT
HAPPENS...SEVERAL OF THE CONVECTIVE ALLOWING MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTISING THE THREAT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE AND SLOW
MOVING MCS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MO ENE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SE IL LATER THIS EVENING AS THE COMBINATION OF HIGH 850 MB
THETA-E AIR AND IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE TRANSPORT NORTHWARD INTO THE
REGION POINTS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
THIS MORNINGS 850 MB CHART SHOWED DEW POINTS IN THE 15-18 DEGREE C
RANGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA AND AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES
TONIGHT...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTING
NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. NAM-WRF FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING
A WARM CLOUD DEPTH OF 12000 FEET OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN IL LATER
THIS EVENING WITH PRECIP WATER VALUES OF CLOSE TO 2 INCHES IN PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL MO AND SOUTHERN IL. IT APPEARS THE RIVERS IN EAST
CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS HAVE A HIGHER PROBABILITY
FOR SEEING SIGNIFICANT RISES IN RIVER LEVELS LATER TONIGHT AND
THRU THE WEEKEND...WHEREAS THE NORTHERN BASINS APPEAR TO BE TOO
FAR NORTH THIS TIME FOR THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. HOWEVER...UNTIL
WE SEE THIS SCENARIO START TO EVOLVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WE ARE PLANNING ON KEEPING THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH
GOING THRU SATURDAY (SEE THE HYDRO SECTION BELOW). THE COMBINATION
OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND SOME INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY ACRS THE
SOUTH...SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT...WITH WIND AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS.

CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN TO WIND DOWN SATURDAY MORNING AS THE MCS
TRACKS FURTHER OFF TO OUR EAST AND SOUTH. THEN OUR ATTENTION TURNS
TO THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL FINALLY BE ON THE MOVE ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. JUST WHAT AFFECT THE OVERNIGHT
AND MORNING CONVECTION HAS ON ANY REDEVELOPMENT TOMORROW AFTERNOON
IS A REAL CHALLENGE THIS FAR OUT AS EACH MODEL HAS A DIFFERENT
SCENARIO. IT STILL APPEARS AREAS MAINLY EAST OF I-55 STAND THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEEING THE POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT AND POSSIBLE SEVERE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE SHOWER THREAT SHOULD PROGRESS EAST TOMORROW
EVENING ALONG WITH THE COLD FRONT SO WILL START TO SHAVE THE POPS BACK
LATER SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER SETTLING IN FOR
THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AS THE SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW SHIFTS AWAY FROM OUR AREA EARLY
NEXT WEEK...WE SHOULD SEE WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILD IN FOR A
DAY OR TWO BEFORE ANOTHER SLOW MOVING UPPER WAY TRACKS ACRS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND APPROACHES OUR AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE US WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING IN THE FAR WEST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BEFORE THE UPPER
SYSTEM FINALLY PUSHES OFF TO OUR EAST LATE THU INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL START OUT A BIT BELOW NORMAL EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT SHOULD
RETURN TO NORMAL BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

SMITH
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 651 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

A BREAK IN RAINFALL IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ILLINOIS TERMINALS. IN FACT...KPIA AND KBMI SHOULD STAY
DRY MORE OFTEN THAN NOT TONIGHT. FURTHER SOUTH...AN AREA OF
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS
KSPI/KDEC/KCMI LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
EXPECT LOW END VFR/HIGH END MVFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF
ANY HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS.

SHOWER/STORM CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY AS DAYTIME HEATING INCREASES
AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THERE IS ENOUGH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS TO ONLY CARRY A VCSH MENTION AT THIS
TIME WITH THIS PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AHEAD OF THE A
SLOWLY APPROACHING COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...VARIABLE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.

BAK
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
321 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047>050-011100-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-
SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
321 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...A
FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE FOCUSED FURTHER EAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG MANY AREA RIVERS...INCLUDING THE
ILLINOIS...THE SPOON...AND THE MACKINAW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ038-042>046-051>053-011100-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-LOGAN-MACON-MCLEAN-PIATT-SANGAMON-
VERMILION-
321 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE FOCUS FOR THE HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL SET UP JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A TAYLORVILLE TO PARIS LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT
ON SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND EAST OF I-55 SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
SANGAMON RIVER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-011100-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-
JASPER-LAWRENCE-MOULTRIE-RICHLAND-SHELBY-
321 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. WITH THUNDERSTORM CELLS TRAINING OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED.
THIS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN MANY LOW-LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT
ON SATURDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
LITTLE WABASH AND EMBARRAS RIVERS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS AND
ANY REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

BARNES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
420 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

ILZ031-037-038-312215-
MCLEAN-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
420 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN TAZEWELL...NORTHERN
MCLEAN AND SOUTHERN WOODFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 418 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DANVERS TO MINIER TO
HOPEDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STANFORD...
  DANVERS...
  EL PASO...
  GRIDLEY...
  HUDSON...
  NORMAL...

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...CONGERVILLE...EVERGREEN LAKE...
KAPPA...LAKE BLOOMINGTON...WESTON AND PLEASANT HILL.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 4060 8857 4036 8939 4046 8948 4075 8905
      4076 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 245DEG 45KT 4058 8916 4049 8928
          4043 8939

GOETSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
446 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E MORTON              40.61N 89.41W
05/31/2013                   TAZEWELL           IL   MESONET

            WATER OVER ROUTE 150 EAST BETWEEN MORTON AND DEER
            CREEK...VEHICLE LOST CONTROL AND LANDED IN DITCH...WATER
            HALF WAY UP VEHICLE.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW MORTON            40.60N 89.48W
05/31/2013                   TAZEWELL           IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            6-9 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN AT QUEENWOOD AND MAIN STREET

0440 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DEER CREEK              40.63N 89.33W
05/31/2013                   TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER ROAD AT PERRY ROAD AND ROUTE 150 AND DE-MAC
            ROAD

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
448 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SUMNER                  38.72N 87.86W
05/31/2013  M2.70 INCH       LAWRENCE           IL   MESONET

            SINCE THURSDAY AFTERNOON

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
929 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 PM     TSTM WND GST     KINCAID                 39.59N 89.41W
05/31/2013  E70 MPH          CHRISTIAN          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1001 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0938 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             39.78N 89.64W
05/31/2013                   SANGAMON           IL   MESONET

            MULTIPLE VEHICLES TRAPPED IN RISING WATERS ACROSS THE
            CITY. LOCATIONS INCLUDE 1700 BLOCK HAZEL DELL RD...AND
            2300 BLOCK OF SOUTH 6TH STREET...ALONG WITH INTERURBAN
            AND DIRKSEN PARKWAY ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF CITY.

&&

JRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1011 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 PM     TSTM WND GST     DECATUR                 39.85N 88.93W
05/31/2013  M58 MPH          MACON              IL   ASOS

&&

JRP