Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Fort Worth, TX

392 
WGUS74 KFWD 142312
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
612 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXC395-142330-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130814T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROBERTSON TX-
612 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR
ROBERTSON COUNTY...

AT 612 PM CDT...RUNOFF FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL IN CENTRAL 
ROBERTSON COUNTY NEAR THE CITY OF FRANKLIN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE 
SOME FLASH FLOODING. THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY 
RAINS HAS DIMINISHED FOR NOW...BUT THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING 
CONTINUES.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED INCLUDE BREMOND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS OFTEN FLOOD ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS RAPIDLY.
FLOOD WATERS MAY RISE RAPIDLY IN CREEKS...STREAMS...AND NORMALLY DRY
WASHES. IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS
WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS
WHERE WATER OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD. TAKE A DIFFERENT
ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 9642 3098 9625 3083 9650 3094 9669
      3114 9676

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
205 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGHING CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION....CAUSING THE SOUTHERN CONUS UPPER RIDGE TO RETREAT WEST
INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE RESULTING NORTHWEST FLOW OVERHEAD
HAD LED TO COOLING AIR ALOFT...THE SOUTHWARD PUSH OF A LATE SUMMER
COLD FRONT AND BENEFICIAL RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE SURFACE FRONT...SEEMINGLY LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS ALONG A LINE ROUGHLY FROM PALESTINE
LAMPASAS...PROVIDES FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING PEAK HEATING HOURS. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
REMAIN MARGINAL ONCE AGAIN TODAY DUE IN LARGE PART TO THE LACK OF
SUFFICIENT SHEAR IN PLACE. HOWEVER...ML CAPE APPROACHING 1500 J/KG
COMBINED WITH PWATS AROUND 2 IN SHOULD LEAD TO A FEW SEVERE STORMS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.

FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE REST OF NORTH TEXAS... ADEQUATE MOISTURE
WILL STILL BE PRESENT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. THIS IS SOMEWHAT DEPENDENT ON HOW
QUICKLY OR EFFECTIVELY THE LINGERING CLOUDCOVER FROM THIS MORNING/S
ACTIVITY DISPERSES. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR WHERE
CLOUDCOVER THINS ENOUGH TO ALLOW TEMPS TO CLIMB TO NEAR CONVECTIVE
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S. THE DRIEST AIR WILL RESIDE NEAR THE
RED RIVER...WHERE THE LOWEST RAIN CHANCES CAN BE EXPECTED.

DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH STRONGER SUBSIDENCE SHOULD THEN LEAD TO
A DRY FORECAST ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BE RELATIVELY SHORT-
LIVED...BECAUSE BY THURSDAY NIGHT A PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE IS
PROGGED TO DIVE SOUTHWARD FROM THE CENTRAL TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...EVENTUALLY BARRELING INTO NORTH TEXAS BY FRIDAY. GOOD
ASCENT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERATE A DECENT CHANCE OF SOWERS
AND STORMS ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM
WILL EXIT AS QUICKLY AS IT ARRIVES...BRINGING DRY WEATHER BACK
INTO THE PICTURE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PUT A DAMPER ON THE
HEAT WAVE AND BRING TEMPS BACK TO NORMAL FOR THE NEXT WEEK.
READINGS MAY EVEN BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
BEFORE NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN BY THE WEEKEND.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  72  92  70  91  70 /  20  10  10  20  10
WACO, TX              74  92  68  94  68 /  40  30  10  20  10
PARIS, TX             63  86  63  87  64 /  10   5  10  30  10
DENTON, TX            70  90  67  89  68 /  10  10  10  30  10
MCKINNEY, TX          67  90  64  90  66 /  10  10  10  30  10
DALLAS, TX            73  92  70  91  71 /  20  10  10  30  10
TERRELL, TX           69  91  65  91  66 /  20  10  10  30  10
CORSICANA, TX         72  92  67  93  67 /  30  10  10  30  10
TEMPLE, TX            73  93  69  94  68 /  40  30  10  20  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     71  92  68  91  67 /  30  30  10  30  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

92/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
215 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151130-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
215 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE FOR LOCATIONS
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
ON THURSDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BRECKENRIDGE TO HILLSBORO TO
CENTERVILLE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS ON FRIDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
VERY LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1106 AM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     REAGOR SPRINGS          32.33N  96.77W
08/13/2013                   ELLIS              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A CARPORT WAS BLOWN OVER, SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES WERE
            BLOWN DOWN, AND SHEET METAL ROOFS WERE PEELED OFF SEVERAL
            BUILDINGS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
158 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXZ158-141930-
BELL TX-
158 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL BELL COUNTY

AT 158 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF GRANGER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE HOLLAND.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3080 9744 3081 9748 3090 9755 3101 9738
      3089 9726 3075 9732 3075 9733
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 326DEG 10KT 3088 9740

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
231 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXZ158-142000-
BELL TX-
231 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL BELL COUNTY

AT 231 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTH OF BELTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE HOLLAND.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3083 9753 3092 9759 3101 9741 3086 9727
      3077 9731 3075 9734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 328DEG 6KT 3089 9744

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
312 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXZ156-142045-
LAMPASAS TX-
312 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY

AT 312 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COPPERAS COVE...STATIONARY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3107 9813 3118 9799 3107 9790 3103 9792
      3103 9809
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 326DEG 2KT 3106 9799

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
351 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

TXZ158-142115-
BELL TX-
351 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  BELL COUNTY

AT 352 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF TEMPLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BELTON...FORT HOOD...HARKER
HEIGHTS...HOLLAND...KILLEEN...LITTLE RIVER-ACADEMY...MORGAN'S POINT
RESORT...NOLANVILLE...SALADO...TEMPLE AND TROY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3084 9757 3087 9765 3090 9779 3099 9789
      3103 9792 3107 9790 3125 9756 3130 9740
      3124 9734 3128 9729 3127 9727 3108 9715
      3081 9735
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 329DEG 10KT 3119 9738