Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 34, NWS Grand Forks, ND

May 20, 2013Cavalier County, Pembina County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at May 20, 2013, 2:34 AM CDT for Cavalier County, Pembina County, North Dakota. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2013, 2:34 AM CDT (07:34 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2013, 10:29 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Cavalier County, ND, Pembina County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 164 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pembina River at Walhalla (WLHN8). The gauge peaked at 17.25 ft at May 21, 2013, 12:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor101505/2005/2105/2205/2305/24
Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
18 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05099600, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

301 
WGUS43 KFGF 200734
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
234 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING (NEW) FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH DAKOTA...

  * NEW FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON THE PEMBINA RIVER AT 
  WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER COUNTIES...
  
.RIVER LEVELS AT WALHALLA ALONG THE PEMBINA RIVER HAVE RISEN INTO 
MINOR FLOOD STAGE DUE TO RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL. APPROXIMATELY 1 TO 3 
INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-200834-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0034.130520T0734Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.1.ER.130520T0531Z.130520T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  1:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

JAM
10 follow-up statements
722 
WGUS83 KFGF 200850
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
350 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013


...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN THE RIVER STAGE
AT WALHALLA ALONG THE PEMBINA RIVER RISING INTO MINOR FLOOD 
STAGE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ABOUT 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING FORECAST
RIVER LEVELS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS BASED ON HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL
RAIN FALLS OVER THE BASIN. A RETURN TO DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH RECEDING WATER LEVELS.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-212050-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.1.ER.130520T0531Z.130520T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
350 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH SOMETIME 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
  EXPECTED...RIVER STAGES WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS OVER 
  THE AREA...LEADING TO SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST RIVER LEVELS.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 14.5 ON MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.5 FEET, FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE LEFT 
  BANK.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          14.2   13.5   12.7   12.3   12.4   12.4   12.4

$$

JAM
298 
WGUS43 KFGF 201142
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
642 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING (CONTINUATION) FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH DAKOTA...
 

  * FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR 
  PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER COUNTIES
  
  * FORECAST FLOODING CONTINUES FOR PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA 
  AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER COUNTIES
  
.RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED THE PEMBINA RIVER AT
WALHALLA TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE. WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF
RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...RIVER STAGES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
INTO THE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING HOW MUCH
THE RIVER WILL RISE DEPENDING THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS 
ACROSS THE BASIN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY
THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL RESULT IN RECEDING RIVER LEVELS. 

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-201242-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
642 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* AT  6:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.6 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

JAM
140 
WGUS83 KFGF 201212
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
712 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013


...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES

.RUNOFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL HAS CAUSED THE PEMBINA RIVER AT
WALHALLA TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE. WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF
RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...RIVER STAGES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
INTO THE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE BEFORE BEGINNING TO DECLINE. SOME 
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING HOW MUCH THE RIVER WILL RISE DEPENDING ON 
THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS ACROSS THE BASIN OVER THE NEXT 
FEW DAYS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WHICH 
WILL RESULT IN RECEDING RIVER LEVELS. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-220012-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
712 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 16.6 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS 
  REGARDING FORECAST RIVER LEVELS DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN HOW MUCH
  PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 16.6 FEET ON MONDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. MINOR 
  DAMAGE IN CITY PARK.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          16.3   14.7   13.0   12.2   12.1   12.1   12.0

$$
897 
WGUS83 KFGF 201520
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1020 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013


...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
    COUNTIES
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY
 
.FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE ALONG THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AND NECHE 
AS 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER LOCATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN VALLEY TO NORTHERN 
DEVILS LAKE BASIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON THE PEMBINA IN AND AROUND 
THESE LOCATIONS.   

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-211520-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 16.6 FEET SOMETIME 
  MONDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. MINOR 
  DAMAGE IN CITY PARK.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          15.9   13.9   12.7   12.5   12.5   12.5   12.5

$$

NDC067-211519-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.130521T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130521T0130Z.130521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 21.5 ON TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.3   21.5   21.5   21.4   21.2   21.2   21.2

$$
WJB
026 
WGUS83 KFGF 210313
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1013 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013


...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY

.NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA HAS RECEIVED ON THE ORDER OF THREE TO
FIVE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS...WITH MORE RAIN
EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODERATE FLOODING IS 
ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR THE PEMBINA RIVER AND RIVER LEVELS ON THE
PARK AND FOREST RIVERS ARE RAPIDLY RISING TOWARD FLOOD STAGE. A
FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC099-221513-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.130522T0900Z-130525T1800Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.130522T0900Z.130523T0600Z.130524T1200Z.NO/
1013 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 6.4 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.7    6.3    6.3    5.5    4.5    3.8    3.4

$$

NDC099-221513-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0037.130521T1648Z-130526T1000Z/
/GRNN8.1.ER.130521T1648Z.130523T0000Z.130525T0400Z.NO/
1013 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER 
  LEVEL IS AT THE TOP OF HYDRANTS AT 3RD AND WESTERN.WATER REACHES 
  2ND AND BURGAMOTT.

&&

LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           12.6   13.3   13.0   12.2   11.3   10.5   10.0

$$

NDC019-067-221513-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1013 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.6 FEET SOMETIME 
  TUESDAY MID-MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. NORTH DAKOTA 
  HIGHWAY 32...SOUTH OF WALHALLA BECOMES IMPASSABLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          15.8   13.8   13.2   13.1   13.0   12.9   12.8

$$

NDC067-221512-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130520T2119Z.130521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET SOMETIME 
  TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         05/21  05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.5   21.5   21.4   21.3   21.3   21.2   21.1

$$
SPEICHER
227 
WGUS83 KFGF 211714
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  * THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY
  * THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
    COUNTIES
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY

 
.THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0038.130522T1630Z-130525T1000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130522T1630Z.130523T0600Z.130524T0400Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.5 ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.7   12.5   11.6   10.3    9.2    8.3    7.7

$$

MNC027-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0039.130524T0336Z-130527T1648Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130524T0336Z.130525T0000Z.130526T1048Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.5 ON FRIDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          10.1   10.9   12.8   13.4   11.9   10.2    8.9

$$

MNC119-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0040.130522T0705Z-130526T1030Z/
/CRKM5.1.ER.130522T0705Z.130523T0600Z.130525T0430Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 17.0 ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT 
  MAINTAINS 24 HOUR SHIFTS TO PUMP WATER OVER CLOSED STORM GATES.

&&

LAT...LON 4779 9694 4771 9653 4785 9623 4785 9649 4794 9701

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         15.9   17.0   15.9   14.6   13.3   11.9   11.1

$$

MNC069-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0041.130522T2100Z-130526T1500Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.130522T2100Z.130523T1800Z.130525T0900Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 800.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 803.0 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 803.0 ON THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 802.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...
  MINOR.CULVERTS WITH FLAPPERS CHECKED AND THE DIKE WALKED.BANKFULL 
  STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          801.4  802.9  802.9  801.9  800.7  799.6  798.7

$$

NDC099-221714-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0036.130522T2100Z-130526T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.130522T2100Z.130523T1800Z.130525T0000Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 6.5 ON THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.7    6.4    6.4    5.5    4.5    3.8    3.4

$$

NDC099-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130528T0900Z/
/GRNN8.3.ER.130521T1608Z.130523T1200Z.130527T0300Z.NR/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MAY 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 14.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 16.5 ON THURSDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, STORM SEWER DRAINS...ARMORY.

&&

LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           15.0   16.5   15.8   14.2   12.7   11.7   11.0

$$

NDC019-067-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0645Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 14.6 FEET 
  BY WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. MINOR 
  DAMAGE IN CITY PARK.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          14.6   12.8   12.5   12.5   12.4   12.3   12.1

$$

NDC067-221714-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130520T2119Z.130522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1214 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 21.7 FEET SOMETIME 
  WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 21.7 ON WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.7   21.6   21.5   21.3   21.2   21.1   21.1

$$
WJB
507 
WGUS83 KFGF 220427
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON 
  AND PEMBINA COUNTIES
  * THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  * THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  * THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY
  * THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND 
  FORKS COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND 
  GRAND FORKS COUNTIES
  * THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA AFFECTING KITTSON AND PEMBINA COUNTIES
  * THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY

THE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS IS MOVING INTO THE
MAIN STEM RED RIVER. THE ADDITIONAL RUNOFF IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THE
RED RIVER BACK ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE AT WAHPETON...FARGO...EAST
GRAND FORKS...DRAYTON AND PEMBINA. THE RED RIVER IS EXPECTED TO 
RISE ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AT OSLO.

PARTS OF NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA HAS RECEIVED UP TO FIVE TO
NINE INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST THREE DAYS. MAJOR FLOODING IS 
OCCURRING ON PARTS OF THE PEMBINA AND TONGUE RIVERS. RIVER LEVELS 
ON THE PARK RIVER IS RAPIDLY RISING. A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
THE ABOVE LOCATIONS.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC167-NDC077-231627-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0042.130523T0000Z-130526T1500Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.130523T0000Z.130523T1800Z.130525T0900Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 10.3 FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 10.3 ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 10 AND 11 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 9672 4603 9641 4650 9663 4650 9684

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          10.0   10.3   10.2    9.7    9.0    8.6    8.3

$$

MNC027-NDC017-231627-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0043.130522T1511Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.130522T1511Z.130524T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 20.0 ON FRIDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 20 FEET LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 19.0 FEET, FARGO...LOW-LEVEL DAM SOUTH OF 
  MAIN AVENUE IS UNDERWATER.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  FARGO             18.8   19.9   20.0   20.0   19.6   19.0   18.4

$$

MNC119-NDC035-231627-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0044.130523T1348Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.130523T1348Z.130525T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 32.5 ON SATURDAY 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 31 AND 33 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 33.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BETWEEN 
  OSLO AND GRAND FORKS.  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE BEGINS AT RIVER MILE 271
  - 296.

&&

LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  25.8   29.5   32.0   32.5   31.6   30.4   28.8

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-231627-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.130523T1424Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.130523T1424Z.130526T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 32.5 ON SUNDAY DURING
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 32 AND 33 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.

&&

LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  OSLO              24.0   27.4   30.4   32.1   32.5   32.1   31.1

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-231627-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0046.130523T0834Z-000000T0000Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.130523T0834Z.130526T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 36.9 FEET BY SATURDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 36.9 ON SATURDAY DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 36 AND 38 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 38.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           31.0   33.9   36.2   36.9   36.9   36.8   36.4

$$

MNC069-NDC067-231627-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0047.130527T0130Z-000000T0000Z/
/PBNN8.1.ER.130527T0130Z.130529T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT PEMBINA.
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 39.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 41.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED RIVER
  PEMBINA           36.3   36.2   36.5   37.5   38.9   40.3   41.3

$$

MNC027-231627-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.130524T0000Z-130525T0600Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.130524T0000Z.130524T0000Z.130524T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SO BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.0 FEET ON THURSDAY DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 11 AND 13 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.4   12.0   11.3   10.2    9.3    8.3    7.6

$$

MNC027-231626-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0039.130524T0900Z-130527T0800Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.130524T0900Z.130525T0600Z.130526T0200Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 13 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 13.0 ON EARLY SATURDAY MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 11 AND 13 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          10.0   11.4   12.9   12.1   10.7    9.4    8.6

$$

MNC119-231626-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0040.130522T1500Z-130525T1330Z/
/CRKM5.1.ER.130522T1500Z.130523T0600Z.130524T0730Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.2 FEET BY THURSDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 16.2 ON THURSDAY 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 15 AND 17 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...MINOR.

&&

LAT...LON 4779 9694 4771 9653 4785 9623 4785 9649 4794 9701

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         16.0   15.4   14.1   12.7   11.6   11.0   10.4

$$

MNC069-231626-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0041.130522T0335Z-130527T1800Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.130522T0100Z.130523T0000Z.130526T1200Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 802.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 804 FEET  
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 804 FEET ON WEDNESDAY EVENING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 803 AND 805 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 804.5 FEET, BACKUP AT REACH 2 DIKE, 
  CEMETERY ROAD AT 6TH ST. S. - SHUT STORM VALVE.

&&

LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          804.0  804.0  803.5  802.7  801.3  800.3  799.3

$$

NDC099-231626-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0036.130523T0000Z-130524T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.130523T0000Z.130523T0000Z.130523T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 6 FEET ON WEDNESDAY EVENING DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 6 FEET LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              6.0    5.6    4.9    4.1    3.5    3.1    2.9

$$

NDC099-231626-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-130528T0800Z/
/GRNN8.3.ER.130521T1608Z.130523T1200Z.130527T0200Z.NR/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MAY 28...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 14.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 16.5 FEET  
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 16.5 ON THURSDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 16 AND 17 FEET
  LATER THIS WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, STORM SEWER DRAINS...ARMORY.

&&

LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           15.8   16.3   15.0   13.4   12.1   11.2   10.7

$$

NDC019-067-231626-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0645Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 12.8 FEET 
  BY THURSDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.5 FEET, FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE LEFT 
  BANK.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          13.3   12.6   12.4   12.3   12.2   12.1   12.0

$$

NDC067-231626-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130520T2119Z.130522T0245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1127 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 21.6 FEET 
  BY THURSDAY MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 21.7 ON WEDNESDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         05/22  05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.7   21.5   21.4   21.3   21.2   21.1   21.0

$$
899 
WGUS83 KFGF 221602
FLSFGF


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1102 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING CAVALIER AND PEMBINA 
  COUNTIES

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY

.THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO 
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING. DOWNSTREAM...THE PEMBINA RIVER 
AT NECHE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SATURDAY. 
FOR THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO...ADDITIONAL RISES TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE 
ARE FORECAST BY THIS EVENING. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC099-231602-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0036.130523T0000Z-130524T1200Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.130523T0000Z.130523T0000Z.130523T0600Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 6.0 ON THIS EVENING DURING THIS 
  7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.9    5.2    4.7    4.1    3.6    3.2    3.0

$$

NDC019-067-231601-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130527T1800Z/
/WLHN8.3.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0645Z.130526T1200Z.NR/
1102 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          11.8   11.4   11.2   11.0   10.8   10.6   10.4

$$

NDC067-231601-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130520T2119Z.130522T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST AT 21.8 FEET TODAY AND BEGIN TO 
  SLOWLY RECEDE. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 21.8 THIS AFTERNOON DURING 
  THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.7   21.5   21.0   20.4   20.1   19.8   19.5

$$

AYD
500 
WGUS83 KFGF 230141
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
841 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

...THIS IS AN UPDATE TO EXTEND THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES

...THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FLOOD WARNING FOR...

  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE AFFECTING PEMBINA COUNTY

.THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO 
BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING. DOWNSTREAM...THE PEMBINA RIVER 
AT NECHE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SATURDAY. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

NDC019-067-241341-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130526T0600Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0645Z.130525T0000Z.NR/
841 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          11.2   11.0   10.8   10.7   10.5   10.3   10.1

$$

NDC067-241341-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCEN8.3.ER.130520T2119Z.130522T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT NECHE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MAJOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IS 20.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SLOWLY FALL...BUT WILL REMAIN IN 
  MAJOR FLOODING THROUGH SATURDAY.  
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 21.4 FEET, NEW RECORD FLOOD (4/17/2006) 
  AFTER AGRICULTURAL DIKES WERE REMOVED.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723

$$

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         05/23  05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29

PEMBINA RIVER
  NECHE             21.6   21.2   20.4   20.0   19.7   19.3   19.0

$$
TG
295 
WGUS83 KFGF 231529
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1029 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  * THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA AFFECTING PEMBINA AND CAVALIER 
  COUNTIES
 
.RECENT DRY WEATHER IS ALLOWING THE RED RIVER AT FARGO TO REMAIN BELOW
FLOOD STAGE. ALSO...THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AND THE PEMBINA RIVER AT
WALHALLA ARE NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THEREFORE...THE WARNING FOR THESE
POINTS ARE CANCELLED AND WILL BE REPLACED BY HIGH WATER NOTICES.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST MAY INCLUDE ANY 
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-NDC017-231559-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-130527T0600Z/
/FGON8.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 17.8 FEET 
  THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 17.8 ON THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  FARGO...ELM ST BETWEEN 14TH AND 15TH AVENUE N IS CLOSED.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.8   17.6   17.4   17.1   16.9   16.8   16.8

$$

NDC099-231559-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-130524T1800Z/
/MTON8.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 4.6 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4826 9756 4819 9752 4829 9714 4837 9716

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              4.6    4.1    3.8    3.4    3.1    2.9    2.7

$$

NDC019-067-231559-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130526T0600Z/
/WLHN8.2.ER.130520T0531Z.130521T0645Z.130523T1330Z.NR/
1029 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PEMBINA RIVER AT WALHALLA.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  8:30 AM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 10.4 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771

$$

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         05/24  05/25  05/26  05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30

PEMBINA RIVER
  WALHALLA          10.4   10.2   10.0    9.8    9.6    9.4    9.2

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 19, 11:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 11:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1146 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1143 CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

EARLY MORNING UPDATE FOCUSES ON POP TRENDS. AREA OF SHOWERS/WEAK
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN SOUTHEASTERN ND. ALSO
RAIN SHOWERS MOVED MORE INTO SOUTHERN VALLEY THEN EXPECTED. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACCORDINGLY AND ADDED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDER
TO RANSOM/SARGENT/RICHLAND COUNTIES. MINOR CHANGES ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

TRICKY FORECAST FOR MOST OF THE SHORT TERM DUE TO THE LONG
DURATION PCPN EVENT. AS OF LATE AFTERNOON THE SFC LOW WAS STILL
JUST WEST OF KABR WITH A WARM FRONT ARCHING UP JUST NORTH OF KFAR
AND THEN OVER TOWARD KPKD. TEMPS SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT HAVE
CLIMBED UP INTO THE MID 70S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 50S AND
LOWER 60S. THIS IS GIVING SOME SFC BASED CAPE VALUES OF 500-1000
J/KG PER THE LATEST SPC MESO PAGE. BULK SHEAR VALUES ACROSS THIS
AREA AT THE MOMENT ARE PRETTY LOW THOUGH. DID HAVE A FEW CELLS
ALONG THE BOUNDARY ABOUT AN HOUR AGO THAT PRETTY MUCH FELL APART
AS THEY MOVED NORTHWARD. MODELS SHOW A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET
DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THRU 00Z MON WITH A BIT WEAKER
COMPONENT TRYING TO TURN NORTHWARD FROM THERE. THEREFORE THE
BETTER AREA OF CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE SOUTH OF THE FA. THERE
IS A TORNADO WATCH OUT FOR BASICALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MN AND
NORTHERN IOWA. CONVECTION HAS FIRED DOWN IN THIS WATCH AREA BUT SO
FAR NOTHING TOO ORGANIZED. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS TRY TO LIFT SOME
OF THE CONVECTION WHICH FIRES DOWN ACROSS THIS WATCH AREA NORTH/NW
BY MID EVENING AND THEN WRAPPING IT AROUND THE LOW. THEREFORE WILL
KEEP HIGHEST PCPN CHANCES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MN UP THRU THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA. NOT SURE ABOUT SEVERE POTENTIAL BUT LIKE
THE LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS THERE COULD BE A FEW STRAY SEVERE STORMS
BUT STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY.

FOR MONDAY INTO MON NIGHT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DOES NOT MOVE
VERY MUCH. THEREFORE SHOULD BE A CONTINUAL PARADE OF PCPN BANDS
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW. WITH THE LOW SOMEWHERE OVER NORTHEAST SD
THE MAIN PCPN BANDS WILL PROBABLY STAY WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN TODAY.
THIS KEEPS A BROAD STEADY RAIN OVER THE AREA BUT NOT THINKING IT
WILL BE HEAVY ENOUGH FOR FLASH FLOODING.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THE LOW WILL FINALLY START TO KICK EAST ON TUE AND TUE NIGHT. SOME
MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW DRY WEATHER BY WED BUT WILL KEEP SOME LOW
CHANCES HANGING AROUND DUE TO THE OTHER SLOWER EXITING PCPN
SOLUTIONS.

12Z GFS/ECMWF/GEM IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT IN SHOWING UPPER LOW
DRIFTING SOUTH AND EAST WITH ANY LINGERING SHOWERS EXITING WCNTRL MN
WED NIGHT WITH DRY WEATHER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH
MOVES SOUTH.  BUT FAST ON ITS HEELS WILL BE THE NEXT UPPER LOW WHICH
WILL MOVE FROM THE WEST COAST INTO THE ROCKIES AND NRN PLAINS THIS
NEXT WEEKEND.  ECMWF IS WEAKER AND SLOWER THAN GFS...AND THUS A BIT
LESS PRECIP CHANCES UNTIL JUST PAST NEXT WEEKEND WHEREAS GFS HAS
MORE PRECIP NEXT SAT-SUN.  GEM WOULD SEEM TO FOLLOW A BIT MORE GFS
SOLN.  NET RESULT USING AN ALL BLEND SOLN IS TO THROW IN 30-50 POPS
NEXT SAT-SUN FOR SHOWERS/STORMS.  TEMPS WILL RUN A BIT BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE
INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR NORTH. EXPECT IMPROVEMENT FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH AFTER 06Z...REACHING GFK BY 09Z. SECOND WAVE OF SHOWERS WILL
THEN MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL MN IN THE 10Z TO 12Z TIMEFRAME AND
EXPAND NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT IFR TO MVFR CIGS
DURING THE DAY AT MOST SITES. GFK...TVF AND ESPECIALY DVL WILL SEE
WINDY CONDS WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT DVL AT TIMES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 943 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL RIVER POINTS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME AREAS WITHIN THE REGION HAVE
RECEIVED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE WIDESPREAD...BUT DEPENDING ON WHERE IT FALLS COULD CAUSE AREA
RIVERS TO RISE. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW MUCH OF THE RAIN
THAT HAS OCCURRED WILL RUNOFF. ALSO...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
FUTURE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND PLACEMENT. THE FORECASTS GIVEN FOR EACH
RIVER POINT ACCOUNT FOR THE MOST PROBABLE SITUATION. RIVER POINT
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SITES THAT MAY RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...SEE THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WATCH (FFAFGF).

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY FOR NDZ006>008-014-015-054.

MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...SPEICHER
SHORT TERM...GODON
LONG TERM...GODON/RIDDLE
AVIATION...SPEICHER
HYDROLOGY...TG
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 8:35 PM CDT, 5 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

NDZ006>008-014-015-054-210145-
TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-WESTERN WALSH-
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN
HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR THE TURTLE MOUNTAINS AND IN THE VICINITY OF
RAIN SHOWERS. GUSTY WINDS COULD BE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS COULD BE HAZARDOUS TO HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052-053-210145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-
NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-
SARGENT-RICHLAND-
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SOME
OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT. IN ADDITION THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AREAS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN ON TOP OF THE RAIN WHICH FELL
LAST NIGHT AND TODAY COULD CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED LOW LAND FLOODING.

THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AND PEMBINA REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BUT
ARE SLOWLY FALLING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AREAS OF MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. TOTAL RAIN
AMOUNTS COULD RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.

FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN RED RIVER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK..

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

SPEICHER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 8:24 PM CDTWind AdvisoryFGFBarnes, Benson, Cavalier, Eddy, Griggs, Nelson and 4 more35 hr
May 19, 9:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFWalsh5 days
May 19, 9:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFCavalier, Pembina15 days
May 19, 9:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchFGFPembina15 days
May 20, 2:14 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFPembina12 hr
May 20, 7:15 AM CDTFlood WatchFGFBarnes, Benson, Cass, Cavalier, Eddy, Grand Forks and 11 more29 hr
May 20, 9:47 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFGFPembina5 days
May 20, 11:42 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningFGFCavalier, Pembina, Walsh27 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.