Wind Advisory 5, NWS Buffalo, NY

813 
WWUS71 KBUF 202045
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ006>008-210000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WI.Y.0006.130120T2045Z-130121T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
345 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  AT TIMES FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW TREE LIMBS AND
  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE
  STRONGEST OF THE WINDS HAVE PASSED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-202145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
345 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

$$

NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-202145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-130120T2100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
345 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING
A POWERFUL TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS. A FEW
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AS COLD AIR RUSHES BACK INTO THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MORE ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL THEN
SETTLE IN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS AND
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC CONTINUING TO DEEPEN EARLY
THIS MORNING. TRAILING COLD FRONT IS ABOUT AN HOUR OR TWO
AWAY...PUSHING INTO FAR WESTERN NEW YORK AROUND 4 AM AND REACHING
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY 6 AM. UPSTREAM SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOWING THAT THERE WILL BE AN HOUR OR MAYBE TWO OF WIND
GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. ALTHOUGH...THE FUNNELING OF THE SOUTHWEST
WINDS COULD ENHANCE THESE GUSTS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES PRODUCING
HIGHER GUSTS IN THE BUFFALO/NIAGARA FALLS AND WATERTOWN AREAS. A
FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY
PASS OVER PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND COULD IMPACT THE NORTH
COUNTY. THIS CONVECTIVE BAND LOOKS TO BE DISPLACED FARTHER TO THE
EAST OF BELT OF STRONGEST WINDS...THEREFORE DO NOT ANTICIPATED
NEEDED SEVERE WARNINGS BUT A RUMBLE OF THUNDER MAY NEED TO BE
MENTIONED.

AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WARM ENOUGH TO HAVE PRECIPITATION
INITIALLY FALL AS RAIN...BUT COLD AIR SWEEPS IN SO RAPIDLY THAT
THE CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW WILL HAPPEN VERY QUICKLY. TEMPERATURES
AT 3 AM IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S WILL BE DOWN INTO THE 20S BY MID
DAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA WITH LAKE SNOWS SETTING UP THIS MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL INITIALLY SET UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST BUT WILL VEER
QUICKLY TO THE WEST WITH NEARLY ALL THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT OCCURRING SOUTH OF BUFFALO ACROSS SKI COUNTY AND THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. THE LAKE BANDS WILL BE FIGHTING A DRY AIR
MASS AS WELL AS A GOOD DEAL OF SPEED SHEAR WHICH SHOULD LIMIT
ACCUMULATIONS TODAY TO JUST A COUPLE OF INCHES OR SO. SHEAR
PARAMETERS AND INSTABILITY LOOK A LITTLE BETTER TONIGHT WITH
BETTER CHANCES FOR MORE ACCUMULATING SNOWS. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY AND SEVERAL
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WILL LEAD TO THE ISSUANCE OF A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING COUNTIES
WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ONTARIO...PARAMETERS A BIT MORE FAVORABLE HERE
WITH DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS. AS IS THE CASE OFF ERIE AN INITIAL SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL FOCUS THE LAKE SNOWS INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH A FAIRLY
RAPID SOUTHWARD SHIFT INTO THE TUG HILL REGION. THERE IS SOME
CONCERN HERE THAT WINDS COULD BE A BIT STRONGER THAN FARTHER WEST
CLOSER TO THE BEST PRESSURE RISES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND
STRONG WINDS COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WHICH
COULD LAST FOR A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS...WILL NEED TO WATCH HOW THIS
UNFOLDS CLOSELY THIS MORNING. BY TONIGHT...THE LAKE EFFECT WILL HAVE
MOVED SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL AND INTO OSWEGO/N CAYUGA/WAYNE COUNTIES.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND PRESSURE FARTHER SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

850MB TEMPS WILL FALL TO AN AVERAGE OF -20C ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS REGISTER IN THE EXTREME RANGE WITH LAKE TO 850MB TEMPS
DIFFERENCE OF 20C OR MORE LATE ON MONDAY AND THROUGH THE FOLLOWING
COUPLE OF DAY. FORECAST PROFILES INDICATE THAT THE COMPLEX OF LAKES
WILL MODIFY THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 85 PERCENT RH OR BETTER AND
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL WILL RISE TO AROUND 12KFT. WESTERLY WINDS IMPINGING
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WILL BRING NEARLY
CONTINUOUS LAKE SNOWS TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. A LONG FETCH PLUME
OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL COME ONSHORE FROM WAYNE TO NORTHERN CAYUGA AND
SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...OCCASIONALLY LAYING DOWN ALONG THE ENTIRE
SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE LAKE IN RESPONSE TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE
WINDS. THIS WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND WILL
BE ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE TIME BUT MAY REACH WARNING
CONDITIONS WITH THE HIGHER ACCUMULATION OVER THE LONG PERIOD.

TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY'S VALUES WILL BE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL...AND TUESDAY 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOOK FOR
HIGHS MONDAY TO BE IN THE TEENS NORTH COUNTRY TO UPPER TEENS AND LOW
20S SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE EVEN COLDER
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS NORTH COUNTRY TO LOW TO MID
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE DOWNRIGHT FRIGID
MONDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE NUMBER INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES...LAKE MODIFIED TEMPS IN THE LOW TEENS CLOSE TO THE
LAKES...AND SINGLE NUMBER BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND
LOCALLY MUCH COLDER.

TUESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR MORE THAN A YEAR
FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. EXPECT LOWS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY...EVEN BELOW ZERO IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS...
AND TO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL CONTINUE WITH THE COLD CONDITIONS...AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW...AND EVEN WITH A TEMPORARY BREAKDOWN OF THE AMPLIFIED
FLOW...EVEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD WILL STILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES.

ON WEDNESDAY AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING INLAND ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NW AND BRITISH COLUMBIA WHICH WILL ACT TO FLATTEN SOME
THE WESTERN RIDGE. MEANWHILE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NORTH
AMERICA A STILL -1 TO -2SD TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL BE CENTERED
NEAR QUEBEC WITHIN A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH WHOSE AXIS WILL BE ALONG
THE EASTERN COASTLINE.

AT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN -19 TO -22C ACROSS THE
LAKES...WHICH ARE AROUND +2 TO +3C. THIS WILL YIELD EXTREME LAKE
INSTABILITY...THOUGH A MAJOR LIMITING FACTOR FOR SNOW WILL BE THE
LACK OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE OVER THE LAKES. YET EVEN WITH THIS LIMITED
MOISTURE...FLUFFY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NEAR THE
LAKES...AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE ADDED CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOUND.

THIS WEAK CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHIFTING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS FARTHER SOUTHWARD OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE ENHANCING
ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO LIKELY ENHANCE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...THUS
CONTINUING WITH CHC POPS FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GENESEE
VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY RETREAT CLOSER TO THE
SHORELINE UNDER A TEA KETTLE SCENARIO.

ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLD CYCLES SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE CENTER OF AN
ARCTIC HIGH OVER WESTERN QUEBEC.

THIS COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL SEND TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT SOME 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY IN THE TEENS SOUTH OF THE LAKES...AND SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
NORTH COUNTRY. TO PUT THIS COLDNESS INTO CONTEXT FOR THE NORTH
COUNTRY THE LAST TIME THE WATERTOWN AIRPORT HAD A DAY REMAIN IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS OR COLDER WAS JANUARY OF 2010.

THURSDAY LIGHT COLD NORTH WINDS WILL BE POURING OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. WITH THESE LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT ANY SNOW EARLY THURSDAY
TO BE MORE OF THE TEA KETTLE...WITH LAND BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
FORMING THE BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS OVER THE LAKES. AGAIN THE LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE THE LACK OF DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE TO FEED INTO AND
FORM THESE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AFTER SUNRISE...AND SLIGHT
WARMING OF THE LAND MASS THESE BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
CELLULAR...THOUGH POSSIBLY PUSHING INLAND WITH THE LIGHT NORTHERLY
SYNOPTIC FLOW. WILL AGAIN PLACE HIGHEST POPS JUST SOUTH OF THE
LAKES...WITH CHC FARTHER INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY DAY THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THOUGH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES DROP A DEGREE OR SO
COLDER...WINDS WILL VEER TO SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND
MAY BRING A SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY ON THURSDAY TO THE REGION...THOUGH
STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THIS CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO FADE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH LIKELY MANY AREAS FREE OF SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER THE TROUGH THAT TEMPORARILY BROKE DOWN THE WESTERN
RIDGE WILL NEAR THE REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP THURSDAY NIGHT NOT AS COLD AS PRIOR
NIGHTS...THOUGH A WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW MAY BEGIN TO EFFECT THE
REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL INCREASE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WITH NOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR
FORMATION OF DENDRITIC SNOWFLAKES. GIVEN THE TIME DISTANCE...WILL
CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHC POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THOUGH
THOUGH THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE NEARING US WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SLIGHTLY FASTER.

BY SATURDAY THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WELL TO OUR EAST WITH AGAIN
TEMPERATURES ALOFT FALLING BACK TOWARDS -20C. THIS COLD NORTH TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE CHC FOR LIMITED LAKE SNOWS
DOWNWIND OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL
RETURN BACK TO SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND LOW TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH...BUT GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED AT KIAG/KBUF/KJHW THROUGH 16Z AND UP TO 50 KNOTS AT
KROC/KART THROUGH 15Z. EXPECTING PREDOMINATELY LOW VFR CIGS THROUGH
THE DAY WITH MAINLY FLURRIES OR SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY BRING VISIBILITIES DOWN BELOW 1SM...
ESPECIALLY AT KART AND KJHW. BLOWING SNOW COULD ALSO BE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WHERE THE LAKE BANDS SET UP.

OUTLOOK...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS AND
LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY JUST TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A POWERFUL COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND REACH
PEAK SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SOLID 40 KNOTS SUSTAINED ON LAKE ERIE
AND 45 KNOTS ON LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING HIGH END GALE WARNING
CONDITIONS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHTS OF ABOUT 15 FEET ON LAKE ERIE AND 20 FEET ON LAKE ONTARIO.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THEN DIMINISH FURTHER TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>008-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-
     019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
     EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004-005.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ030-
         042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ012-019>021-085-211045-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-211045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-014-211045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-211045-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-211045-
OSWEGO-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-211045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-211045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-211045-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-211045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-211045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ062-063-211045-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ064-065-211045-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
539 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
743 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0706 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST OSWEGO                  43.46N  76.51W
01/20/2013  M58 MPH          OSWEGO             NY   COAST GUARD

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300017

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
815 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 NE STAFFORD           43.00N  78.04W
01/20/2013                   GENESEE            NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300018

HITCHCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
829 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SHERIDAN                42.48N  79.24W
01/20/2013                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSURE DUE TO DOWNED POWERLINES

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300019

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ASHVILLE                42.08N  79.37W
01/20/2013                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            A SECTION OF RTE 394 EAST CLOSED DUE TO DOWNED
            POWERLINES

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300020

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1009 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ012>014-019>021-085-201700-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1009 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS PICKING UP OFF LAKE ERIE...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE IS BEGINNING TO PICK UP IN BOTH
INTENSITY AND COVERAGE LATE THIS MORNING OVER THE SOUTHERN NIAGARA
FRONTIER, NORTHERN FINGER LAKES REGION AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.
STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THAT SNOW...MAKING FOR NEAR WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH NOON WILL BE UPWARDS
OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER
RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. ALLOW PLENTY OF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

NYZ006>008-201700-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1009 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS PICKING UP OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO IS BEGINNING TO
PICK UP IN BOTH INTENSITY AND COVERAGE LATE THIS MORNING OVER THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE DRAWN FROM
WATERTOWN TO NATURAL BRIDGE. STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UP TO 50
MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THAT SNOW...MAKING FOR NEAR
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH NOON WILL BE
UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING
HIGHER RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. ALLOW PLENTY OF
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLINGTON               42.22N  79.10W
01/20/2013                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            RTE 62 SOUTH CLOSED DUE TO DOWNED POWER LINES

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300021

JAM