Small Craft Advisory 15, NWS Buffalo, NY

679 
WHUS71 KBUF 202322
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
622 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

LOZ043>045-210730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.130121T0000Z-130121T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
622 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-210030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
622 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 



$$

LEZ040-041-210730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
622 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-210730-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
622 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

704 
WHUS71 KBUF 210218
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
918 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

LEZ040-041-211030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
918 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-211030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
918 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-211030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
918 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

382 
WHUS71 KBUF 210906
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

LEZ040-041-211715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.130121T2100Z-130123T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.130122T0000Z-130122T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY. THE EARLIER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-211715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.130122T0000Z-130122T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE EARLIER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-211715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.130122T0000Z-130122T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE EARLIER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-211715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-130121T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0016.130122T0300Z-130123T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST TUESDAY. THE EARLIER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-063-211715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
406 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* FREEZING SPRAY...ACCUMULATING ON RIGGING AND SUPERSTRUCTURES OF
  VESSELS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1248 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING
A POWERFUL TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS. A FEW
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AS COLD AIR RUSHES BACK INTO THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MORE ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL THEN
SETTLE IN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS AND
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC THIS MORNING
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITHIN
THE REGION OF STRONGEST PRESSURE RISES AND COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE THE
STATION ON THE PIER AT OSWEGO JUST REPORTED A 67 KNOT GUST LAST
HOUR. WILL MAINTAIN THE HIGH WIND WARNING FROM WAYNE COUNTY EASTWARD
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...WINDS HAVE COME DOWN FROM
EARLIER LEVELS. EXPECT GUSTS GENERALLY 40-45 MPH THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH...MAINLY ALONG THE LAKESHORES.
WITH THIS IN MIND...WE HAVE DOWNGRADED THE HIGH WIND WARNING TO A
WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 4PM FOR WESTERN NY...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND
WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS JUST EXPECT A FEW SCATTERED FLURRIES
AND SNOW SHOWERS TODAY WITH NOTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE AIRMASS HAS
MOISTENED SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW SOME DECENT BANDS TO DEVELOP AS OF
LATE THIS MORNING ON WSW FLOW. THE STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL
LIKELY PREVENT ANY SINGLE BAND FROM BECOMING DOMINANT FOR TOO
LONG...WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY BIG ACCUMULATIONS. STILL...EXPECT 3
TO 5 INCHES TODAY IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS FROM SOUTHERN ERIE
AND WYOMING COUNTY SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE STRONG
WINDS WILL ALSO PUSH BANDS WELL INLAND...WITH AN INCH OR TWO IN
SPOTS ACROSS LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTY.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ONTARIO...PARAMETERS A BIT MORE FAVORABLE HERE
WITH DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE. A BROKEN BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION. THIS SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE
WITH WSW FLOW THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON BEFORE BEGINNING TO
DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS VEER
MORE WESTERLY. SIMILAR TO LAKE ERIE...THE STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS WILL LIKELY PREVENT ANY ONE BAND FROM BECOMING DOMINANT FOR
TOO LONG...WHICH SHOULD KEEP ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE
TODAY...GREATEST ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

BY TONIGHT...THE LAKE EFFECT WILL HAVE MOVED SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL
AND INTO OSWEGO/N CAYUGA/WAYNE COUNTIES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND PRESSURE FARTHER SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

850MB TEMPS WILL FALL TO AN AVERAGE OF -20C ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS REGISTER IN THE EXTREME RANGE WITH LAKE TO 850MB TEMPS
DIFFERENCE OF 20C OR MORE LATE ON MONDAY AND THROUGH THE FOLLOWING
COUPLE OF DAY. FORECAST PROFILES INDICATE THAT THE COMPLEX OF LAKES
WILL MODIFY THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 85 PERCENT RH OR BETTER AND
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL WILL RISE TO AROUND 12KFT. WESTERLY WINDS IMPINGING
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WILL BRING NEARLY
CONTINUOUS LAKE SNOWS TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. A LONG FETCH PLUME
OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL COME ONSHORE FROM WAYNE TO NORTHERN CAYUGA AND
SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...OCCASIONALLY LAYING DOWN ALONG THE ENTIRE
SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE LAKE IN RESPONSE TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE
WINDS. THIS WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND WILL
BE ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE TIME BUT MAY REACH WARNING
CONDITIONS WITH THE HIGHER ACCUMULATION OVER THE LONG PERIOD.

TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY'S VALUES WILL BE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL...AND TUESDAY 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOOK FOR
HIGHS MONDAY TO BE IN THE TEENS NORTH COUNTRY TO UPPER TEENS AND LOW
20S SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE EVEN COLDER
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS NORTH COUNTRY TO LOW TO MID
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE DOWNRIGHT FRIGID
MONDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE NUMBER INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES...LAKE MODIFIED TEMPS IN THE LOW TEENS CLOSE TO THE
LAKES...AND SINGLE NUMBER BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND
LOCALLY MUCH COLDER.

TUESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR MORE THAN A YEAR
FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. EXPECT LOWS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY...EVEN BELOW ZERO IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS...
AND TO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL CONTINUE WITH THE COLD CONDITIONS...AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW...AND EVEN WITH A TEMPORARY BREAKDOWN OF THE AMPLIFIED
FLOW...EVEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD WILL STILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES.

ON WEDNESDAY AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING INLAND ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NW AND BRITISH COLUMBIA WHICH WILL ACT TO FLATTEN SOME
THE WESTERN RIDGE. MEANWHILE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NORTH
AMERICA A STILL -1 TO -2SD TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL BE CENTERED
NEAR QUEBEC WITHIN A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH WHOSE AXIS WILL BE ALONG
THE EASTERN COASTLINE.

AT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN -19 TO -22C ACROSS THE
LAKES...WHICH ARE AROUND +2 TO +3C. THIS WILL YIELD EXTREME LAKE
INSTABILITY...THOUGH A MAJOR LIMITING FACTOR FOR SNOW WILL BE THE
LACK OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE OVER THE LAKES. YET EVEN WITH THIS LIMITED
MOISTURE...FLUFFY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NEAR THE
LAKES...AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE ADDED CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOUND.

THIS WEAK CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHIFTING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS FARTHER SOUTHWARD OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE ENHANCING
ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO LIKELY ENHANCE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...THUS
CONTINUING WITH CHC POPS FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GENESEE
VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY RETREAT CLOSER TO THE
SHORELINE UNDER A TEA KETTLE SCENARIO.

ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLD CYCLES SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE CENTER OF AN
ARCTIC HIGH OVER WESTERN QUEBEC.

THIS COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL SEND TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT SOME 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY IN THE TEENS SOUTH OF THE LAKES...AND SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
NORTH COUNTRY. TO PUT THIS COLDNESS INTO CONTEXT FOR THE NORTH
COUNTRY THE LAST TIME THE WATERTOWN AIRPORT HAD A DAY REMAIN IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS OR COLDER WAS JANUARY OF 2010.

THURSDAY LIGHT COLD NORTH WINDS WILL BE POURING OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. WITH THESE LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT ANY SNOW EARLY THURSDAY
TO BE MORE OF THE TEA KETTLE...WITH LAND BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
FORMING THE BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS OVER THE LAKES. AGAIN THE LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE THE LACK OF DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE TO FEED INTO AND
FORM THESE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AFTER SUNRISE...AND SLIGHT
WARMING OF THE LAND MASS THESE BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
CELLULAR...THOUGH POSSIBLY PUSHING INLAND WITH THE LIGHT NORTHERLY
SYNOPTIC FLOW. WILL AGAIN PLACE HIGHEST POPS JUST SOUTH OF THE
LAKES...WITH CHC FARTHER INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY DAY THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THOUGH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES DROP A DEGREE OR SO
COLDER...WINDS WILL VEER TO SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND
MAY BRING A SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY ON THURSDAY TO THE REGION...THOUGH
STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THIS CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO FADE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH LIKELY MANY AREAS FREE OF SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER THE TROUGH THAT TEMPORARILY BROKE DOWN THE WESTERN
RIDGE WILL NEAR THE REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP THURSDAY NIGHT NOT AS COLD AS PRIOR
NIGHTS...THOUGH A WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW MAY BEGIN TO EFFECT THE
REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL INCREASE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WITH NOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR
FORMATION OF DENDRITIC SNOWFLAKES. GIVEN THE TIME DISTANCE...WILL
CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHC POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THOUGH
THOUGH THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE NEARING US WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SLIGHTLY FASTER.

BY SATURDAY THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WELL TO OUR EAST WITH AGAIN
TEMPERATURES ALOFT FALLING BACK TOWARDS -20C. THIS COLD NORTH TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE CHC FOR LIMITED LAKE SNOWS
DOWNWIND OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL
RETURN BACK TO SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND LOW TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA...THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY TONIGHT AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MOST OF THE SNOW THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
THE EAST OF THE LAKES. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF IFR
VSBY/CIGS TO THE EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
THIS WILL MISS MOST OF THE TAF SITES...WITH KBUF-KIAG-KROC-KART JUST
BEING CLIPPED BY A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES WITH
VFR MOST OF THE TIME. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KJHW...WHICH WILL
SEE PERIODS OF IFR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS
AND RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL MAKE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERY IN
NATURE...SO EXPECT VSBY TO BOUNCE UP AND DOWN. BY LATE TONIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SHOULD DRIFT JUST NORTH OF KJHW AS WINDS BACK SLIGHTLY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS
AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY JUST TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A POWERFUL COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND REACH
PEAK SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SOLID 40 KNOTS SUSTAINED ON LAKE ERIE
AND 45 KNOTS ON LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING HIGH END GALE WARNING
CONDITIONS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHTS OF ABOUT 15 FEET ON LAKE ERIE AND 20 FEET ON LAKE ONTARIO.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THEN DIMINISH FURTHER TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE COLDEST AIRMASS IN SEVERAL YEARS WILL BR DROPPING ACROSS OUR
REGION THIS WEEK. BELOW ARE THE LAST TIME OUR THREE CLIMATE SITES
HAD A DAY THAT HAS BEEN THUS COLD.

BUFFALO LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 15 OR COLDER: FEBRUARY 10 2011 (HIGH 15 LOW 6)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 30 2010 (HIGH 10 LOW 0)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN SINGLE DIGITS: JANUARY 16 2009 (HIGH 9 LOW 3)

MINIMUM TEMPERATURE BELOW ZERO: JANUARY 24 2011 (HIGH 26 LOW -8)

ROCHESTER LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 15 OR COLDER: JANUARY 23 2011 (HIGH 15 LOW -8)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 16 2009 (HIGH 10 LOW 2)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN SINGLE DIGITS: MARCH 6 2007 (HIGH 9 LOW 1)

MINIMUM TEMPERATURE BELOW ZERO: FEBRUARY 11 2011 (HIGH 26 LOW -4)

WATERTOWN LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 15 2012 (HIGH 10 LOW -24)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE  5 OR COLDER: JANUARY 15 2009 (HIGH 3 LOW -18)

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-
     019>021-085.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ004>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004-
     005.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ030-
         042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...TMA
CLIMATE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ007-008-211530-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-211530-
OSWEGO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-211530-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-014-211530-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019>021-085-211530-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-211530-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-211530-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-211530-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-211530-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-211530-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ062>065-211530-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

THOMAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1222 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ALBION                  43.24N  78.22W
01/20/2013                   ORLEANS            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0545 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WARSAW                  42.74N  78.13W
01/20/2013                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0615 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BRISTOL                 42.85N  77.43W
01/20/2013                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN ESPECIALLY ACROSS
            WESTERN ONTARIO COUNTY

0615 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST BLOOMFIELD         42.91N  77.54W
01/20/2013                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE FELL ON A TRAILER

0645 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FAIRPORT                43.10N  77.44W
01/20/2013                   MONROE             NY   FACEBOOK

            LARGE TREE DOWN IN PERINTON

0650 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LYONS                   43.07N  77.03W
01/20/2013                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
            HALF OF THE COUNTY

0700 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG OSWEGO                  43.43N  76.48W
01/20/2013                   OSWEGO             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0715 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   CITY OFFICIAL

            ABOUT 10 TREES DOWN ACROSS THE CITY

0735 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AMHERST                 43.02N  78.72W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN. RELAYED BY WIVB TV.

1204 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEEDSPORT               43.05N  76.56W
01/20/2013                   CAYUGA             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD BLOCKED BY TREES NEAR WEEDSPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300034
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300035
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300036
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300037
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300038
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300039
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300040
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300041
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300042
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300043

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ012-019>021-085-201900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ERIE...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ERIE THIS AFTERNOON
OVER THE SOUTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.
STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW
AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE
REGION...WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES
THROUGH 2 PM WILL BE UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT
TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF
SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL
THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

NYZ006>008-201900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. STRONG WINDS
STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND
WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NEAR
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 2 PM WILL BE
UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING
HIGHER RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
111 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE JAMESTOWN ARPT     42.15N  79.25W
01/20/2013  M59 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   AWOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300044

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ019>021-202115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER. STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL
ACROSS THE REGION...VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO LESS THAN A QUARTER
OF A MILE AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 4 PM WILL BE UPWARDS OF A
HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL
THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

NYZ004>008-202115-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AS WELL NORTHERN PARTS OF WAYNE
AND CAYUGA COUNTIES...NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. STRONG WINDS STILL
GUSTING UPWARDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR
SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NEAR WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 4 PM WILL BE UPWARDS
OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER
RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
235 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PORTAGEVILLE            42.57N  78.05W
01/20/2013                   LIVINGSTON         NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PART OF A METAL ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300045

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
327 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LANCASTER               42.90N  78.67W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AWNING RIPPED OFF RESTAURANT AT HARRIS HILL AND TRANSIT

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300046

DK