Lake Effect Snow Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

148 
WWUS41 KBUF 202328
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ008-210030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T0000Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

THE STEADIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS SHIFTED SOUTH INTO OSWEGO
COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

$$

NYZ004>006-210730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN OSWEGO...NORTHERN 
  CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES TONIGHT...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES MONDAY
  PRODUCING STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS 
  AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-210730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES 
  MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ085-210730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY ACROSS THE BOSTON 
  HILLS. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES 
  MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-021-210500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T0500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
628 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO TO 2 INCHES THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

469 
WWUS41 KBUF 210108
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
808 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ004>006-210915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
808 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN OSWEGO...NORTHERN 
  CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 15 INCHES TONIGHT AND 3 TO 5 INCHES
  MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS 
  AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-210915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
808 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT AND UP TO 2 INCHES
  MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ085-210915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
808 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY ACROSS THE BOSTON 
  HILLS. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT AND 1 TO 2 INCHES MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-021-210500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T0500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
808 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER INCH OR LESS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

201 
WWUS41 KBUF 210317
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ012-021-210430-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T0500Z/
WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE OVERNIGHT...BUT THE
STEADIER SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FARTHER TO THE WEST.
THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 



$$

NYZ004>006-211130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN OSWEGO...NORTHERN 
  CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND ANOTHER 3
  TO 5 INCHES MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT 
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS 
  AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ019-020-211130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4
  INCHES MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ085-211130-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1017 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY ACROSS THE BOSTON 
  HILLS. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
  MONDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. THE 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE VERY POOR 
  VISIBILITY AND DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

804 
WWUS41 KBUF 210955
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

NYZ005-006-211800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0001.130122T0500Z-130122T2300Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TODAY. LAKE
  SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT AND 5 TO 9 INCHES
  TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 13 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON SIGNIFICANT SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-211100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE THIS MORNING...BUT THE
HEAVY STEADIER SNOW HAD ENDED. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-211800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-130121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0002.130121T2100Z-130123T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1400Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED.
THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON...4 TO 7 INCHES
  TONIGHT...4 TO 8 INCHES TUESDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. THE HIGHEST TOTALS OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA
  RIDGE.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS. POTENTIAL 
  FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-211800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0002.130121T2100Z-130123T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1400Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST TUESDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST TUESDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED.
THIS WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON...3 TO 6 INCHES
  TONIGHT...4 TO 6 INCHES TUESDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY
  EVENING...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  TRAVEL WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS. POTENTIAL 
  FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ021-211800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.130122T0600Z-130122T1400Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
455 AM EST MON JAN 21 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

* IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1248 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP STORM SYSTEM MOVING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BRING
A POWERFUL TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG WINDS. A FEW
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AS COLD AIR RUSHES BACK INTO THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH MORE ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL THEN
SETTLE IN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH PERIODIC SNOW SHOWERS AND
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC THIS MORNING
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITHIN
THE REGION OF STRONGEST PRESSURE RISES AND COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE THE
STATION ON THE PIER AT OSWEGO JUST REPORTED A 67 KNOT GUST LAST
HOUR. WILL MAINTAIN THE HIGH WIND WARNING FROM WAYNE COUNTY EASTWARD
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...WINDS HAVE COME DOWN FROM
EARLIER LEVELS. EXPECT GUSTS GENERALLY 40-45 MPH THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH...MAINLY ALONG THE LAKESHORES.
WITH THIS IN MIND...WE HAVE DOWNGRADED THE HIGH WIND WARNING TO A
WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 4PM FOR WESTERN NY...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND
WESTERN FINGER LAKES.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS JUST EXPECT A FEW SCATTERED FLURRIES
AND SNOW SHOWERS TODAY WITH NOTHING MORE THAN A DUSTING.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE AIRMASS HAS
MOISTENED SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW SOME DECENT BANDS TO DEVELOP AS OF
LATE THIS MORNING ON WSW FLOW. THE STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL
LIKELY PREVENT ANY SINGLE BAND FROM BECOMING DOMINANT FOR TOO
LONG...WHICH SHOULD PREVENT ANY BIG ACCUMULATIONS. STILL...EXPECT 3
TO 5 INCHES TODAY IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS FROM SOUTHERN ERIE
AND WYOMING COUNTY SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE STRONG
WINDS WILL ALSO PUSH BANDS WELL INLAND...WITH AN INCH OR TWO IN
SPOTS ACROSS LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTY.

LAKE EFFECT OFF LAKE ONTARIO...PARAMETERS A BIT MORE FAVORABLE HERE
WITH DEEPER SYNOPTIC MOISTURE. A BROKEN BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION. THIS SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE
WITH WSW FLOW THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON BEFORE BEGINNING TO
DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS VEER
MORE WESTERLY. SIMILAR TO LAKE ERIE...THE STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS WILL LIKELY PREVENT ANY ONE BAND FROM BECOMING DOMINANT FOR
TOO LONG...WHICH SHOULD KEEP ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE
TODAY...GREATEST ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

BY TONIGHT...THE LAKE EFFECT WILL HAVE MOVED SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL
AND INTO OSWEGO/N CAYUGA/WAYNE COUNTIES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND PRESSURE FARTHER SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD
AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

850MB TEMPS WILL FALL TO AN AVERAGE OF -20C ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS REGISTER IN THE EXTREME RANGE WITH LAKE TO 850MB TEMPS
DIFFERENCE OF 20C OR MORE LATE ON MONDAY AND THROUGH THE FOLLOWING
COUPLE OF DAY. FORECAST PROFILES INDICATE THAT THE COMPLEX OF LAKES
WILL MODIFY THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 85 PERCENT RH OR BETTER AND
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL WILL RISE TO AROUND 12KFT. WESTERLY WINDS IMPINGING
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE WILL BRING NEARLY
CONTINUOUS LAKE SNOWS TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. A LONG FETCH PLUME
OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL COME ONSHORE FROM WAYNE TO NORTHERN CAYUGA AND
SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...OCCASIONALLY LAYING DOWN ALONG THE ENTIRE
SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE LAKE IN RESPONSE TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE
WINDS. THIS WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND WILL
BE ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE TIME BUT MAY REACH WARNING
CONDITIONS WITH THE HIGHER ACCUMULATION OVER THE LONG PERIOD.

TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY'S VALUES WILL BE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL...AND TUESDAY 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOOK FOR
HIGHS MONDAY TO BE IN THE TEENS NORTH COUNTRY TO UPPER TEENS AND LOW
20S SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE EVEN COLDER
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS NORTH COUNTRY TO LOW TO MID
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE DOWNRIGHT FRIGID
MONDAY NIGHT WITH SINGLE NUMBER INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES...LAKE MODIFIED TEMPS IN THE LOW TEENS CLOSE TO THE
LAKES...AND SINGLE NUMBER BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND
LOCALLY MUCH COLDER.

TUESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT FOR MORE THAN A YEAR
FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION. EXPECT LOWS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY...EVEN BELOW ZERO IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS...
AND TO THE TEENS BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL CONTINUE WITH THE COLD CONDITIONS...AND LAKE
EFFECT SNOW...AND EVEN WITH A TEMPORARY BREAKDOWN OF THE AMPLIFIED
FLOW...EVEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD WILL STILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW NORMAL VALUES.

ON WEDNESDAY AN EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING INLAND ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NW AND BRITISH COLUMBIA WHICH WILL ACT TO FLATTEN SOME
THE WESTERN RIDGE. MEANWHILE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NORTH
AMERICA A STILL -1 TO -2SD TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL BE CENTERED
NEAR QUEBEC WITHIN A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH WHOSE AXIS WILL BE ALONG
THE EASTERN COASTLINE.

AT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN -19 TO -22C ACROSS THE
LAKES...WHICH ARE AROUND +2 TO +3C. THIS WILL YIELD EXTREME LAKE
INSTABILITY...THOUGH A MAJOR LIMITING FACTOR FOR SNOW WILL BE THE
LACK OF SYNOPTIC MOISTURE OVER THE LAKES. YET EVEN WITH THIS LIMITED
MOISTURE...FLUFFY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NEAR THE
LAKES...AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WHERE ADDED CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOUND.

THIS WEAK CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHIFTING THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS FARTHER SOUTHWARD OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE ENHANCING
ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO LIKELY ENHANCE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...THUS
CONTINUING WITH CHC POPS FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GENESEE
VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY RETREAT CLOSER TO THE
SHORELINE UNDER A TEA KETTLE SCENARIO.

ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLD CYCLES SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE CENTER OF AN
ARCTIC HIGH OVER WESTERN QUEBEC.

THIS COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL SEND TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT SOME 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS
WEDNESDAY IN THE TEENS SOUTH OF THE LAKES...AND SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
NORTH COUNTRY. TO PUT THIS COLDNESS INTO CONTEXT FOR THE NORTH
COUNTRY THE LAST TIME THE WATERTOWN AIRPORT HAD A DAY REMAIN IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS OR COLDER WAS JANUARY OF 2010.

THURSDAY LIGHT COLD NORTH WINDS WILL BE POURING OVER THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES. WITH THESE LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT ANY SNOW EARLY THURSDAY
TO BE MORE OF THE TEA KETTLE...WITH LAND BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
FORMING THE BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS OVER THE LAKES. AGAIN THE LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE THE LACK OF DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE TO FEED INTO AND
FORM THESE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AFTER SUNRISE...AND SLIGHT
WARMING OF THE LAND MASS THESE BANDS OF SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE
CELLULAR...THOUGH POSSIBLY PUSHING INLAND WITH THE LIGHT NORTHERLY
SYNOPTIC FLOW. WILL AGAIN PLACE HIGHEST POPS JUST SOUTH OF THE
LAKES...WITH CHC FARTHER INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY DAY THURSDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. THOUGH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES DROP A DEGREE OR SO
COLDER...WINDS WILL VEER TO SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND
MAY BRING A SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY ON THURSDAY TO THE REGION...THOUGH
STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THIS CONVERGENT BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO FADE THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH LIKELY MANY AREAS FREE OF SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY
EVENING. HOWEVER THE TROUGH THAT TEMPORARILY BROKE DOWN THE WESTERN
RIDGE WILL NEAR THE REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP THURSDAY NIGHT NOT AS COLD AS PRIOR
NIGHTS...THOUGH A WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW MAY BEGIN TO EFFECT THE
REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL INCREASE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WITH NOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR
FORMATION OF DENDRITIC SNOWFLAKES. GIVEN THE TIME DISTANCE...WILL
CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHC POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THOUGH
THOUGH THE 12Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE NEARING US WITH THE 12Z ECMWF SLIGHTLY FASTER.

BY SATURDAY THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WELL TO OUR EAST WITH AGAIN
TEMPERATURES ALOFT FALLING BACK TOWARDS -20C. THIS COLD NORTH TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN THE CHC FOR LIMITED LAKE SNOWS
DOWNWIND OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL
RETURN BACK TO SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
TEENS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND LOW TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA...THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY TONIGHT AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

MOST OF THE SNOW THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO
THE EAST OF THE LAKES. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF IFR
VSBY/CIGS TO THE EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
THIS WILL MISS MOST OF THE TAF SITES...WITH KBUF-KIAG-KROC-KART JUST
BEING CLIPPED BY A FEW FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT TIMES WITH
VFR MOST OF THE TIME. THE ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KJHW...WHICH WILL
SEE PERIODS OF IFR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS
AND RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL MAKE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERY IN
NATURE...SO EXPECT VSBY TO BOUNCE UP AND DOWN. BY LATE TONIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SHOULD DRIFT JUST NORTH OF KJHW AS WINDS BACK SLIGHTLY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS
AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
THURSDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BY JUST TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A POWERFUL COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE LOWER LAKES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND REACH
PEAK SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT SOLID 40 KNOTS SUSTAINED ON LAKE ERIE
AND 45 KNOTS ON LAKE ONTARIO PRODUCING HIGH END GALE WARNING
CONDITIONS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHTS OF ABOUT 15 FEET ON LAKE ERIE AND 20 FEET ON LAKE ONTARIO.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THEN DIMINISH FURTHER TONIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE COLDEST AIRMASS IN SEVERAL YEARS WILL BR DROPPING ACROSS OUR
REGION THIS WEEK. BELOW ARE THE LAST TIME OUR THREE CLIMATE SITES
HAD A DAY THAT HAS BEEN THUS COLD.

BUFFALO LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 15 OR COLDER: FEBRUARY 10 2011 (HIGH 15 LOW 6)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 30 2010 (HIGH 10 LOW 0)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN SINGLE DIGITS: JANUARY 16 2009 (HIGH 9 LOW 3)

MINIMUM TEMPERATURE BELOW ZERO: JANUARY 24 2011 (HIGH 26 LOW -8)

ROCHESTER LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 15 OR COLDER: JANUARY 23 2011 (HIGH 15 LOW -8)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 16 2009 (HIGH 10 LOW 2)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE IN SINGLE DIGITS: MARCH 6 2007 (HIGH 9 LOW 1)

MINIMUM TEMPERATURE BELOW ZERO: FEBRUARY 11 2011 (HIGH 26 LOW -4)

WATERTOWN LAST TIME:

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE 10 OR COLDER: JANUARY 15 2012 (HIGH 10 LOW -24)
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE  5 OR COLDER: JANUARY 15 2009 (HIGH 3 LOW -18)

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-
     019>021-085.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ004>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ004-
     005.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ030-
         042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...TMA
CLIMATE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ007-008-211530-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-211530-
OSWEGO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-211530-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-010-011-013-014-211530-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019>021-085-211530-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-211530-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-211530-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ030-211530-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-211530-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-211530-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ062>065-211530-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1025 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

THOMAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1222 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ALBION                  43.24N  78.22W
01/20/2013                   ORLEANS            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0545 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WARSAW                  42.74N  78.13W
01/20/2013                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0615 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BRISTOL                 42.85N  77.43W
01/20/2013                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN ESPECIALLY ACROSS
            WESTERN ONTARIO COUNTY

0615 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST BLOOMFIELD         42.91N  77.54W
01/20/2013                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE FELL ON A TRAILER

0645 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FAIRPORT                43.10N  77.44W
01/20/2013                   MONROE             NY   FACEBOOK

            LARGE TREE DOWN IN PERINTON

0650 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LYONS                   43.07N  77.03W
01/20/2013                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
            HALF OF THE COUNTY

0700 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG OSWEGO                  43.43N  76.48W
01/20/2013                   OSWEGO             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0715 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   CITY OFFICIAL

            ABOUT 10 TREES DOWN ACROSS THE CITY

0735 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AMHERST                 43.02N  78.72W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN. RELAYED BY WIVB TV.

1204 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEEDSPORT               43.05N  76.56W
01/20/2013                   CAYUGA             NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD BLOCKED BY TREES NEAR WEEDSPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300034
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300035
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300036
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300037
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300038
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300039
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300040
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300041
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300042
EVENT NUMBER BUF1300043

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ012-019>021-085-201900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ERIE...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ERIE THIS AFTERNOON
OVER THE SOUTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.
STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW
AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE
REGION...WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES
THROUGH 2 PM WILL BE UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT
TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF
SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL
THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

NYZ006>008-201900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1225 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. STRONG WINDS
STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND
WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NEAR
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 2 PM WILL BE
UPWARDS OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING
HIGHER RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
111 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE JAMESTOWN ARPT     42.15N  79.25W
01/20/2013  M59 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   AWOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300044

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

NYZ019>021-202115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER. STRONG WINDS STILL GUSTING UPWARDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW AS WELL. THE
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR SOME TRICKY TRAVEL
ACROSS THE REGION...VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO LESS THAN A QUARTER
OF A MILE AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 4 PM WILL BE UPWARDS OF A
HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL
THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

NYZ004>008-202115-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
155 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AS WELL NORTHERN PARTS OF WAYNE
AND CAYUGA COUNTIES...NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. STRONG WINDS STILL
GUSTING UPWARDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
THE SNOW AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR
SOME TRICKY TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NEAR WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES THROUGH 4 PM WILL BE UPWARDS
OF A HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...WITH SOME AREAS SEEING HIGHER
RATES WITH HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN...AS POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADWAYS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATIONS SAFELY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
235 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PORTAGEVILLE            42.57N  78.05W
01/20/2013                   LIVINGSTON         NY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PART OF A METAL ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300045

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
327 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LANCASTER               42.90N  78.67W
01/20/2013                   ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AWNING RIPPED OFF RESTAURANT AT HARRIS HILL AND TRANSIT

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300046

DK