Blizzard Warning 25, NWS Fairbanks, AK

225 
WWAK41 PAFG 181943
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1043 AM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

AKZ206-182045-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WW.Y.0092.000000T0000Z-131118T2100Z/
NORTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...ANAKTUVUK PASS...ATIGUN PASS...GALBRAITH LAKE...
SAGWON...FRANKLIN BLUFFS
1043 AM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

$$

AKZ204-191500-
/X.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.131119T0600Z-131120T1500Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
1043 AM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 55 MPH.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* SNOW...UP TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY DURING THE DAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

AKZ203-191500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.131119T0600Z-131120T0300Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1043 AM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM AKST TUESDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* SNOW...UP TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY DURING THE DAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

408 
WWAK41 PAFG 190207
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
507 PM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

AKZ203-191500-
/X.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.131119T1200Z-131120T0300Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
507 PM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM AKST
TUESDAY...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM AKST
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* SNOW...UP TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY DURING THE 
  DAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

AKZ204-191500-
/X.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.131119T1200Z-131120T1500Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
507 PM AKST MON NOV 18 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH GUSTING TO 55 MPH.

* BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* SNOW...UP TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY DURING THE 
  DAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

016 
WWAK41 PAFG 191325
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
425 AM AKST TUE NOV 19 2013

AKZ203-200100-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131120T0300Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.BZ.W.0026.131119T2100Z-131120T0900Z/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
425 AM AKST TUE NOV 19 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT FROM DEADHORSE EAST...

A BLIZZARD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY 
TO MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...DEADHORSE EAST.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITY TO
  ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
  BEGIN AROUND MID DAY TODAY AND CONTINUE TO AROUND
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

AKZ204-200100-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0025.000000T0000Z-131120T1500Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.BZ.W.0026.131119T2100Z-131120T2100Z/
EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...KAKTOVIK...FLAXMAN ISLAND
425 AM AKST TUE NOV 19 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON AKST
WEDNESDAY...

A BLIZZARD CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITY
  TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WINDS AND TIMING...WEST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS
  30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH TONIGHT. WEST WINDS
  30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
  BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND NOON WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL 
  ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL 
  AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES ARE
OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
223 PM AKST SUN NOV 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT... THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER EASTERN ALASKA WILL RETROGRADE
OVER THE STATE THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS SEVERAL STRONG SHORT WAVES
MOVE SOUTH OVER ALASKA. THIS IS BRINGING COLD NORTHERLY FLOW TO
ALASKA THROUGH MID WEEK.

A THE FIRST STRONG LOW ALOFT 100 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO
UMIAT BY 3AM MON...TO BETTLES BY 3PM MON...TO NENANA BY 3AM TUE
AND TO GLENNALLEN BY 3PM TUE. EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS AND 1-2 INCHES
OF SNOW AND NW WINDS GUSTING 25 KT FROM THIS LOW WEST ALONG THE
COASTS...AND 1 INCH AND NW GUSTING 20 KT FROM THE LOW WEST OVER
THE INTERIOR.

SURFACE... A 1016 MB 100 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL MOVE TO
NEAR ARCTIC VILLAGE AS A 1018 MB LOW BY 3AM MON AND TO NEAR OLD
CROW AS A 1020 MB LOW BY 3PM MON. A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE
LOW TO ARCTIC VILLAGE TO KOTZEBUE WILL MOVE SOUTH TO OLD CROW TO
THE BERING STRAIT BY 3AM MON...TO EAGLE TO GAMBELL BY 3PM MON AND
TO CHICKEN TO DENALI TO GAMBELL BY 3AM TUE. WILL SEE SNOW SHOWERS
WITH THE LOW AND COLD FRONT. MAY SEE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW ALONG THE
COAST BUT JUST AN INCH OR SO IN THE INTERIOR. 850 MB TEMPERATURES
HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY AND ARE NOW -18C TO -20C ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. TEMPS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS AND 20S BELOW
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT INLAND AREAS.

A SECOND LOW IN THE HIGH ARCTIC WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN
BEAUFORT SEA MON NIGHT AND TO 100 NM NORTHEAST OF DEMARCATION POINT
AS A 1011 MB LOW BY 3PM TUE. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WILL SPREAD SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE MON
NIGHT AND TUE WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF MORE SNOW...STRONG WEST WINDS
AND POSSIBLE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FROM PRUDHOE BAY EAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AT 18Z SURFACE LOW WAS ANALYZED 200 NM NORTH OF BARROW AS A 1013
MB LOW WHICH IS SEVERAL MB DEEPER AND FURTHER SW THAN ANY OF THE
MODELS WERE SHOWING IT. WE WILL TRACK SURFACE LOW SOUTH JUST AHEAD
OF THE 500 MB LOW.

NAM INITIALIZES BETTER AT 500 MN OVER INTERIOR. MODELS SHOW SAME
GENERAL PATTERN BUT NAM A BIT FASTER WITH THE SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OF
LOW ACROSS ALASKA THROUGH TUE. NAM ALSO IS SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER
WITH A SECOND LOW DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS BEAUFORT SEA MON NIGHT AND
TUE. PREFER NAM SOLUTION ON THESE FEATURES.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...
MODERATE SURF THROUGH TONIGHT NEAR SHISHMAREF AND DEERING.
OTHERWISE NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ206.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

JB NOV 13