Storm Warning 74, NWS Anchorage, AK

310 
FZAK51 PAFC 072133 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1235 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE ONSHORE TONIGHT. A 957
MB LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT
MOVES TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-080300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-080300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-080300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-080300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1235 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 14 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT EXCEPT 21 FT N OF DANGEROUS
CAPE. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-080300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-080300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-080300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

481 
FZAK51 PAFC 080038
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081500-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT. A 960 MB LOW JUST 
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB AS IT MOVES 
TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-081500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-081500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-081500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-081500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 BECOMING 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-081500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-081500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-081500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KTS. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 16 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-081500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT EXCEPT 22 FT N OF DANGEROUS
CAPE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-081500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-081500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-081500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-081500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A VERY ACTIVE WAVE PATTERN EXISTS ACROSS THE PACIFIC BASIN
TODAY...WITH A CLOSED BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC CIRCLE. THE MAIN
FEATURE OF INTEREST FOR ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA IS A POWERFUL
CYCLONE DEEPENING NEAR THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR.
TO THE EAST IS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY
AND SHARPEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA AS A VIGOROUS
OCCLUDED/WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW SURGES
INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AKPEN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REACH THE
KUSKOKWIM COAST BY FRIDAY MORNING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL WITH BOTH THE LARGE
SCALE FLOW PATTERN AND THE STORM CURRENTLY DEEPENING SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN...EXPECTED TO REACH NEAR 960 HPA THURSDAY
MORNING. THE 12Z NAM WAS THE BIGGEST OUTLIER WITH A DEEPER AND
FARTHER WEST TRACK OF THE LOW...BUT THE 18Z NAM HAS SINCE CORRECTED
EASTWARD CLOSER TO THE GLOBAL MODELS. INITIALIZATION WAS GOOD AMONG
ALL THE MODELS...WITH THE DIFFERENCES LIKELY ARISING DUE TO HOW THEY
SIMULATE THE STRONG MOIST FRONTOGENESIS ALONG THE ELONGATED WARM
FRONT AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH. THESE SITUATIONS TEND TO FORM A COMPACT
LOW...BUT NOT NECESSARILY A SHARP BENT BACK OCCLUSION AS THE 12Z NAM
SUGGESTS. THE 12Z GFS DIVERGED FROM EARLIER RUNS WITH AN UNREALISTIC
FAST AND BROAD LOW...AND WAS ALSO DISCOUNTED. AS A RESULT...THE 12Z
ECMWF WAS FAVORED ACROSS BOTH SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE
BERING...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE VERY GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND
SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z CANADIAN AND UKMET.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
REMNANT MOISTURE BEHIND A DEPARTING AND WEAKENING TROUGH AXIS
TRANSLATING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE KENAI COAST. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND
DEVELOPING DOWN INLET FLOW SHOULD KEEP THE INTERIOR LARGELY DRY THIS
EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE
AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS.

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE DEEP PACIFIC LOW WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE WARM FRONT REACHING KODIAK
ISLAND BY NOON AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY EARLY EVENING. COASTAL
LOCATIONS WILL RAPIDLY TURN TO ALL RAIN AS THE FRONT PASSES...WITH
INLAND LOW ELEVATION AREAS MIXING WITH RAIN. ACROSS NORTHERN
PWS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TOMORROW EVENING  AS
THE FRONT LIFTS INLAND...WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
THOMPSON PASS. ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL...STRONG CROSS MOUNTAIN
FLOW WILL KEEP THE TYPICAL DOWNWIND LOCATIONS LARGELY DRY THURSDAY AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE STRONG ESE WINDS
ACCELERATING DOWN TURNAGAIN ARM AND ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE TREND FARTHER WEST WITH THE
LOW TRACK...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY MEET LOW END WARNING
CRITERIA. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL INTO THE MAT-SU VALLEYS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS
COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION AS THE RAGGED REMNANTS OF THE
UPPER LOW PASS THROUGH.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/PENINSULA...
THE WARM FRONT WILL BE RIGHT ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
EARLY THIS EVENING...AND WILL RAPIDLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH BRISTOL
BAY BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE LAGGING SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE
FAR WESTERN AKPEN SOMEWHERE NEAR OR JUST WEST OF COLD BAY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. THE NET RESULT WILL BE VERY STRONG GAP WINDS
ACCELERATING THROUGH FAVORED LOCATIONS IN THE ALEUTIAN RANGE...AND
STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM PORT HEIDEN TO
KING SALMON. WHILE LOCATIONS ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA MAY SEE
BRIEF HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS THE FRONT LIFTS
NORTH...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND LOW LEVEL
WARMING WILL RESULT IN A QUICK CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OR A MIX BY MID
MORNING THURSDAY. ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...SLIGHTLY COLDER LOW
LEVEL AIR ORIGINATING FROM THE INTERIOR WILL FAVOR MORE
SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. WITH A FAVORABLE LOW TRACK EAST OF
THE PRIBILOFS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST
BEGINNING NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL TRANSLATE NORTH OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH A COLD FRONT SWEEPING OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...
STRONG SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE OVER THE WESTERN AKPEN
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH THE LOW
TRACK EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS...STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BY LATE TONIGHT TO STORM FORCE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT NEARS THE AREA. THE FRONT
IS NOT EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE PRIBILOFS...HOWEVER...WITH NEAR
CONTINUOUS SNOW SHOWERS AND INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS LEADING TO
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BRIEF BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS THE FRONT
LIFTS OVER THIS EVENING...BUT THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS TEMPS WILL
RAPIDLY WARM UP. RAIN AND SNOW WILL TURN BACK TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING AS THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE AND COLD AIR
FILTERS BACK IN. WITH UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND MAX STORM FORCE
WINDS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL ENVELOP THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FROM
LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
AND QUIESCENT WEATHER ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SLIDE EAST
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

SATURDAY AND BEYOND...THE REMNANTS OF THE UPPER LOW OVER ALASKA WILL
WEAKEN AND SLIDE EASTWARD...LEAVING LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA. A FAST MOVING UPPER WAVE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
BERING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...BRINGING
SNOW TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE AKPEN...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY DEPENDING ON TRACK. THEREAFTER...BOTH THE
GFS ENSEMBLE AND THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE DEVELOP A BLOCKY UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE BERING SEA TO
GREENLAND. THE NET RESULT WILL BE A COLDER AND LARGELY DRY OFFSHORE
FLOW PATTERN FOR MAINLAND ALASKA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
QUIET WEATHER OVER THE BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131 155 185 195.
         HIGH WIND WARNING 101 161.
MARINE...GALES 120 125 136 137 140 141 165 180 185.
         STORMS 130 132 138 150 155 160 170 171 172 179 351 352 412
                413 414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AHSENMACHER MAR 13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1215 AM AKST THU MAR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

 657 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST DUTCH HARBOR            53.90N 166.55W
03/07/2013  M85 MPH                             AK   ASOS

 830 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MCHUGH CREEK            61.00N 149.43W
03/07/2013  M82 MPH                                  HANDAR

1000 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GLEN ALPS          AK   61.09N 149.69W
03/07/2013  M95 MPH                                  HANDAR

&&

KUTZ