Storm Warning 73, NWS Anchorage, AK

028 
FZAK51 PAFC 070651 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
951 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

UPDATED 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF TONIGHT AND MOVE 
TO THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN GULF THU AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL 
THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ONSHORE THU NIGHT. A 960 MB LOW SOUTH 
OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN TO 981 MB AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST COAST OF ALASKA THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-071500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071500-
RESURRECTION BAY
951 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-071500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-071500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-071500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-071500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-071500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN 
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 14 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-071500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-071500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-071500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

807 
FZAK51 PAFC 071250
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATE ONSHORE TONIGHT. A 957
MB LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB AS IT
MOVES TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-080300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-080300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-080300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-080300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT EXCEPT 14 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT EXCEPT 21 FT N OF DANGEROUS
CAPE. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-080300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-080300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-080300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
350 PM AKST WED MAR 6 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A VERY ACTIVE WAVE PATTERN EXISTS ACROSS THE PACIFIC BASIN
TODAY...WITH A CLOSED BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC CIRCLE. THE MAIN
FEATURE OF INTEREST FOR ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA IS A POWERFUL
CYCLONE DEEPENING NEAR THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN JUST SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR.
TO THE EAST IS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY
AND SHARPEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA AS A VIGOROUS
OCCLUDED/WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW SURGES
INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AKPEN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND REACH THE
KUSKOKWIM COAST BY FRIDAY MORNING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT OVERALL WITH BOTH THE LARGE
SCALE FLOW PATTERN AND THE STORM CURRENTLY DEEPENING SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN...EXPECTED TO REACH NEAR 960 HPA THURSDAY
MORNING. THE 12Z NAM WAS THE BIGGEST OUTLIER WITH A DEEPER AND
FARTHER WEST TRACK OF THE LOW...BUT THE 18Z NAM HAS SINCE CORRECTED
EASTWARD CLOSER TO THE GLOBAL MODELS. INITIALIZATION WAS GOOD AMONG
ALL THE MODELS...WITH THE DIFFERENCES LIKELY ARISING DUE TO HOW THEY
SIMULATE THE STRONG MOIST FRONTOGENESIS ALONG THE ELONGATED WARM
FRONT AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTH. THESE SITUATIONS TEND TO FORM A COMPACT
LOW...BUT NOT NECESSARILY A SHARP BENT BACK OCCLUSION AS THE 12Z NAM
SUGGESTS. THE 12Z GFS DIVERGED FROM EARLIER RUNS WITH AN UNREALISTIC
FAST AND BROAD LOW...AND WAS ALSO DISCOUNTED. AS A RESULT...THE 12Z
ECMWF WAS FAVORED ACROSS BOTH SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE
BERING...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE VERY GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND
SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z CANADIAN AND UKMET.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
REMNANT MOISTURE BEHIND A DEPARTING AND WEAKENING TROUGH AXIS
TRANSLATING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE KENAI COAST. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND
DEVELOPING DOWN INLET FLOW SHOULD KEEP THE INTERIOR LARGELY DRY THIS
EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE
AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS.

SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE DEEP PACIFIC LOW WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE BY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE WARM FRONT REACHING KODIAK
ISLAND BY NOON AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY EARLY EVENING. COASTAL
LOCATIONS WILL RAPIDLY TURN TO ALL RAIN AS THE FRONT PASSES...WITH
INLAND LOW ELEVATION AREAS MIXING WITH RAIN. ACROSS NORTHERN
PWS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TOMORROW EVENING  AS
THE FRONT LIFTS INLAND...WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
THOMPSON PASS. ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL...STRONG CROSS MOUNTAIN
FLOW WILL KEEP THE TYPICAL DOWNWIND LOCATIONS LARGELY DRY THURSDAY AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE STRONG ESE WINDS
ACCELERATING DOWN TURNAGAIN ARM AND ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NEAR
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE TREND FARTHER WEST WITH THE
LOW TRACK...HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY MEET LOW END WARNING
CRITERIA. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL INTO THE MAT-SU VALLEYS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS
COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION AS THE RAGGED REMNANTS OF THE
UPPER LOW PASS THROUGH.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/PENINSULA...
THE WARM FRONT WILL BE RIGHT ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
EARLY THIS EVENING...AND WILL RAPIDLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH BRISTOL
BAY BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE LAGGING SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE
FAR WESTERN AKPEN SOMEWHERE NEAR OR JUST WEST OF COLD BAY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. THE NET RESULT WILL BE VERY STRONG GAP WINDS
ACCELERATING THROUGH FAVORED LOCATIONS IN THE ALEUTIAN RANGE...AND
STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM PORT HEIDEN TO
KING SALMON. WHILE LOCATIONS ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA MAY SEE
BRIEF HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AS THE FRONT LIFTS
NORTH...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND LOW LEVEL
WARMING WILL RESULT IN A QUICK CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OR A MIX BY MID
MORNING THURSDAY. ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...SLIGHTLY COLDER LOW
LEVEL AIR ORIGINATING FROM THE INTERIOR WILL FAVOR MORE
SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. WITH A FAVORABLE LOW TRACK EAST OF
THE PRIBILOFS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST
BEGINNING NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL TRANSLATE NORTH OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH A COLD FRONT SWEEPING OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...
STRONG SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE OVER THE WESTERN AKPEN
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH THE LOW
TRACK EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS...STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BY LATE TONIGHT TO STORM FORCE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LOW. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT NEARS THE AREA. THE FRONT
IS NOT EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE PRIBILOFS...HOWEVER...WITH NEAR
CONTINUOUS SNOW SHOWERS AND INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS LEADING TO
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BRIEF BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS THE FRONT
LIFTS OVER THIS EVENING...BUT THEY WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS TEMPS WILL
RAPIDLY WARM UP. RAIN AND SNOW WILL TURN BACK TO ALL SNOW BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING AS THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE AND COLD AIR
FILTERS BACK IN. WITH UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND MAX STORM FORCE
WINDS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL ENVELOP THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FROM
LATE THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
AND QUIESCENT WEATHER ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SLIDE EAST
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

SATURDAY AND BEYOND...THE REMNANTS OF THE UPPER LOW OVER ALASKA WILL
WEAKEN AND SLIDE EASTWARD...LEAVING LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA. A FAST MOVING UPPER WAVE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
BERING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...BRINGING
SNOW TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE AKPEN...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY DEPENDING ON TRACK. THEREAFTER...BOTH THE
GFS ENSEMBLE AND THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE DEVELOP A BLOCKY UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE BERING SEA TO
GREENLAND. THE NET RESULT WILL BE A COLDER AND LARGELY DRY OFFSHORE
FLOW PATTERN FOR MAINLAND ALASKA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
QUIET WEATHER OVER THE BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131 155 185 195.
         HIGH WIND WARNING 101 161.
MARINE...GALES 120 125 136 137 140 141 165 180 185.
         STORMS 130 132 138 150 155 160 170 171 172 179 351 352 412
                413 414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AHSENMACHER MAR 13