Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2013

Storm Warning 176, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 12, 2013

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 12, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 12, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 13, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

810 
FZAK52 PAFC 121245
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED FRONTS
WILL SKIRT ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH WED EVENING. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC LATE WED EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-130300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-130300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-130300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-130300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-130300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-130300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-130300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-130300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-130300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-130300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-130300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
302 
FZAK52 PAFC 130014
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL TRANSIT THE NORTHERN TO WESTERN BERING
THROUGH THU.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-131500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT.  SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-131500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-131500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-131500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT E OF AMCHITKA PASS. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT W OF AMCHITKA PASS IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-131500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT...BECOMING SW 25 KT FROM SHEMYA W AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT...BUILDING TO 17 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-131500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$
058 
FZAK52 PAFC 131236
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
BERING THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER
THE WESTERN BERING THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-140300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-140300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-140300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-140300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-140300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-140300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-140300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF
FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-140300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
366 
FZAK52 PAFC 131827 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
925 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

UPDATED ZONES 150 AND 155 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
BERING THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER
THE WESTERN BERING THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-140300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
925 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
925 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING 
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...NW WIND 
15 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-140300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-140300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-140300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-140300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-140300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-140300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF
FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-140300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
794 
FZAK52 PAFC 140010
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141500-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS AND FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THROUGH FRI.
$$

PKZ150-141500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-141500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-141500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-141500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-141500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-141500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-141500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-141500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT E OF SHEMYA.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 20 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 19 FT EXCEPT 14
FT FROM SHEMYA W. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-141500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-141500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 13 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 15 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 15 hours 10 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1250 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS STALLED ALONG
155W (OVER INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA)
IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGES CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
PACIFIC AND WESTERN U.S./CANADA. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IS
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND
IT. MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL FROM EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...ALL SNOW WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SINCE EVERYTHING IS
SLOW TO PROGRESS EASTWARD EXPECT PRECIP TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY
FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS.

THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE IS AMPLIFYING AND SLIDING EASTWARD AS AN
UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES OUT OF ASIA. THE SUBTROPICAL JET RIDES UP
AND OVER THIS RIDGE. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE THE JET IS
COMBINING WITH LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
INTO THE WESTERN GULF. AS COLD AIR WORKS ITS WAY EASTWARD LOCALIZED
GAP WINDS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

MEANWHILE A SOUTHERLY JET ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE IS
TRANSPORTING VERY WARM MOIST AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE TROPICS AND
INTO THE WESTERN BERING. THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS AIR MASS...IN
THE FROM OF A WARM FRONT...IS MOVING OVER TOP OF THE RIDGE WITH
OVERRUNNING PRECIP SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS GENERALLY HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON LARGER
SCALE FEATURES AND SHOW GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE
SHORT-TERM. THERE ARE A FEW KEY DIFFERENCES WITH HANDLING OF WARM
FRONT CROSSING THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND WITH
HANDLING OF A WEAK LOW WHICH FORMS NEAR THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z NAM WAS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING WARM
FRONTAL PRECIP INTO COOK INLET/THE WESTERN KENAI TUESDAY MORNING
BUT THE 18Z RUN HAS BACKED OFF AND LOOKS MUCH MORE SIMILAR TO OTHER
SOLUTIONS WITH VERY MINOR QPF SURVIVING THE TRIP ACROSS THE ALASKA
RANGE. THE GFS THEN BECOMES AN OUTLIER WITH TIMING OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST ON THURSDAY. ALL OF THIS LEADS TO
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE QPF AND PRECIP-TYPE FORECASTS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WHAT CAN BE SAID WITH SOME CONFIDENCE IS
THAT WITH THE TRANSITION FROM COLD TO WARM AND BACK TO COLD AGAIN
THIS IS A GOOD SET-UP TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF PRECIP-TYPES.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER RIDGE AND JET OVER THE BERING WILL
SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT HELPING TO WEAKEN
THE UPPER TROUGH AND PUSH IT OFF THE SOUTH AND EAST. PRECIP WILL
LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN AND EASTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...BUT WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER AS WE HEAD THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN END BY TUESDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...GAP
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS WHERE WINDS AND FALLING SNOW WILL GIVE
WAY TO JUST BLOWING SNOW RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL WIND DOWN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS ATTENTION
SHIFTS TO THE WARM FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE WEST.

GEFS (GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM) STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES FOR
PRECIPITABLE WATER...SPECIFIC HUMIDITY...AND TEMPERATURE ARE
SIGNIFICANT WITH VALUES GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AS THE WARM FRONT
MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. IN THE FEW
YEARS THIS DATA SET HAS BEEN AVAILABLE FOR USE IN OPERATIONS THESE
TYPE OF VALUES HAVE BEEN INDICATIVE OF POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FREEZING RAIN EVENTS. IN THIS CASE...THE SURFACE PATTERN DOESN'T
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR MAINTAINING COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR MOST
AREAS. FOR COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL HELP SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM
UP RELATIVELY QUICKLY. THUS...THE TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO FREEZING
RAIN TO RAIN SHOULD BE QUICK AND ANY ICE ACCUMULATION VERY MINOR.
IT WILL BE MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO ERODE ALL OF THE COLD AIR OVER
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY...SO EXPECT A MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION APPROACHING ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. ARCTIC AIR
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE BACK INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY HELPING TO DRY THINGS OUT AND REFREEZE WHATEVER IS LEFT
ON THE GROUND.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL IS A MUCH BIGGER
CHALLENGE. THE LATEST MODELS SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARD A DRIER
SOLUTION WITH ARRIVAL OF THE WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. THUS...DON'T
EXPECT THIS TO BE A MAJOR FREEZING RAIN EVENT. NO MATTER WHETHER
PRECIP FALLS OR NOT THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT TEMPERATURES
WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL MELT SOME OF THE SNOW
ON THE GROUND LIKELY LEADING TO ICY CONDITIONS. THE HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF PRECIP LOOKS WILL BE WITH THE COLD FRONT WHICH
APPROACHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY. EXPECT
RAIN OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT CHANGING TO SNOW AND QUICKLY ENDING AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. ALL OF THESE TRANSITIONS WILL HAPPEN OVER
A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO HONE IN
ON THE EXACT TIMING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A PRETTY LARGE SPREAD IN MODEL
SOLUTIONS FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD. HOWEVER...THERE ARE SOME
COMMONALITIES IN THE LARGER SCALE PATTERN. THE NORTH-PACIFIC RIDGE
WILL WEAKEN AS SYSTEMS CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO AND OVER TOP OF IT.
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THURSDAY
EXPECT ANOTHER WARM FRONT TO QUICKLY MOVE BACK IN FRIDAY LEADING
TO ANOTHER WARM-UP AND CHANCE OF RAIN AND/OR FREEZING RAIN. THERE
IS THEN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...141 152.
         FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 155.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...121 127 128 129 131 132 150 177 178 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 13

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2013Every storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.