Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2013

Storm Warning 175, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 11, 2013

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 12, 2013, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

704 
FZAK52 PAFC 120025
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-121500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC
THROUGH WED. A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL MOVE OVER TOP OF THIS HIGH 
AND ACROSS THE BERING SEA. 

$$

PKZ150-121500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-121500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-121500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE..NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-121500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-121500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-121500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-121500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-121500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-121500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-121500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-121500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-121500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-121500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-121500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-121500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-121500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW WIND 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-121500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
810 
FZAK52 PAFC 121245
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-130300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED FRONTS
WILL SKIRT ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH WED EVENING. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC LATE WED EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD WED EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-130300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-130300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-130300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-130300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-130300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-130300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-130300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-130300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-130300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-130300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-130300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-130300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-130300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-130300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-130300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-130300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-130300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1250 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS STALLED ALONG
155W (OVER INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA)
IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGES CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
PACIFIC AND WESTERN U.S./CANADA. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IS
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND
IT. MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL FROM EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...ALL SNOW WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SINCE EVERYTHING IS
SLOW TO PROGRESS EASTWARD EXPECT PRECIP TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY
FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS.

THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE IS AMPLIFYING AND SLIDING EASTWARD AS AN
UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES OUT OF ASIA. THE SUBTROPICAL JET RIDES UP
AND OVER THIS RIDGE. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE THE JET IS
COMBINING WITH LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
INTO THE WESTERN GULF. AS COLD AIR WORKS ITS WAY EASTWARD LOCALIZED
GAP WINDS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.

MEANWHILE A SOUTHERLY JET ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE IS
TRANSPORTING VERY WARM MOIST AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE TROPICS AND
INTO THE WESTERN BERING. THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS AIR MASS...IN
THE FROM OF A WARM FRONT...IS MOVING OVER TOP OF THE RIDGE WITH
OVERRUNNING PRECIP SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS GENERALLY HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON LARGER
SCALE FEATURES AND SHOW GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE
SHORT-TERM. THERE ARE A FEW KEY DIFFERENCES WITH HANDLING OF WARM
FRONT CROSSING THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND WITH
HANDLING OF A WEAK LOW WHICH FORMS NEAR THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z NAM WAS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING WARM
FRONTAL PRECIP INTO COOK INLET/THE WESTERN KENAI TUESDAY MORNING
BUT THE 18Z RUN HAS BACKED OFF AND LOOKS MUCH MORE SIMILAR TO OTHER
SOLUTIONS WITH VERY MINOR QPF SURVIVING THE TRIP ACROSS THE ALASKA
RANGE. THE GFS THEN BECOMES AN OUTLIER WITH TIMING OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST ON THURSDAY. ALL OF THIS LEADS TO
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE QPF AND PRECIP-TYPE FORECASTS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WHAT CAN BE SAID WITH SOME CONFIDENCE IS
THAT WITH THE TRANSITION FROM COLD TO WARM AND BACK TO COLD AGAIN
THIS IS A GOOD SET-UP TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF PRECIP-TYPES.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER RIDGE AND JET OVER THE BERING WILL
SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT HELPING TO WEAKEN
THE UPPER TROUGH AND PUSH IT OFF THE SOUTH AND EAST. PRECIP WILL
LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN AND EASTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...BUT WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER AS WE HEAD THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN END BY TUESDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...GAP
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS WHERE WINDS AND FALLING SNOW WILL GIVE
WAY TO JUST BLOWING SNOW RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL WIND DOWN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS ATTENTION
SHIFTS TO THE WARM FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE WEST.

GEFS (GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM) STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES FOR
PRECIPITABLE WATER...SPECIFIC HUMIDITY...AND TEMPERATURE ARE
SIGNIFICANT WITH VALUES GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AS THE WARM FRONT
MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. IN THE FEW
YEARS THIS DATA SET HAS BEEN AVAILABLE FOR USE IN OPERATIONS THESE
TYPE OF VALUES HAVE BEEN INDICATIVE OF POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FREEZING RAIN EVENTS. IN THIS CASE...THE SURFACE PATTERN DOESN'T
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR MAINTAINING COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR MOST
AREAS. FOR COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL HELP SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM
UP RELATIVELY QUICKLY. THUS...THE TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO FREEZING
RAIN TO RAIN SHOULD BE QUICK AND ANY ICE ACCUMULATION VERY MINOR.
IT WILL BE MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO ERODE ALL OF THE COLD AIR OVER
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY...SO EXPECT A MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION APPROACHING ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. ARCTIC AIR
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE BACK INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY HELPING TO DRY THINGS OUT AND REFREEZE WHATEVER IS LEFT
ON THE GROUND.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL IS A MUCH BIGGER
CHALLENGE. THE LATEST MODELS SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARD A DRIER
SOLUTION WITH ARRIVAL OF THE WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. THUS...DON'T
EXPECT THIS TO BE A MAJOR FREEZING RAIN EVENT. NO MATTER WHETHER
PRECIP FALLS OR NOT THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT TEMPERATURES
WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL MELT SOME OF THE SNOW
ON THE GROUND LIKELY LEADING TO ICY CONDITIONS. THE HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF PRECIP LOOKS WILL BE WITH THE COLD FRONT WHICH
APPROACHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY. EXPECT
RAIN OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT CHANGING TO SNOW AND QUICKLY ENDING AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. ALL OF THESE TRANSITIONS WILL HAPPEN OVER
A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO HONE IN
ON THE EXACT TIMING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A PRETTY LARGE SPREAD IN MODEL
SOLUTIONS FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD. HOWEVER...THERE ARE SOME
COMMONALITIES IN THE LARGER SCALE PATTERN. THE NORTH-PACIFIC RIDGE
WILL WEAKEN AS SYSTEMS CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO AND OVER TOP OF IT.
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THURSDAY
EXPECT ANOTHER WARM FRONT TO QUICKLY MOVE BACK IN FRIDAY LEADING
TO ANOTHER WARM-UP AND CHANCE OF RAIN AND/OR FREEZING RAIN. THERE
IS THEN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...141 152.
         FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 155.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...121 127 128 129 131 132 150 177 178 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 13

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 11, 11:36 AM AKST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1136 AM AKST MON NOV 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     SNOW             1 ENE CHICKALOON        61.80N 148.46W
11/11/2013  M14.0 INCH                          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL 14.0 INCHES.

0700 AM     SNOW             4 E ANCHORAGE           61.21N 149.74W
11/11/2013  M8.0 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            6.0 INCHES THROUGH 10 PM. STORM TOTAL 8.0 INCHES.

0715 AM     SNOW             4 SW ANCHORAGE          61.18N 149.95W
11/11/2013  M6.0 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL 6.0 INCHES

0815 AM     SNOW             1 E EAGLE RIVER         61.32N 149.54W
11/11/2013  M6.5 INCH                           AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            6.5 INCHES STORM TOTAL.

0900 AM     SNOW             6 ESE SKWENTNA          61.97N 151.21W
11/11/2013  M2.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL 2.0 INCHES

0900 AM     SNOW             1 S TALKEETNA           62.32N 150.09W
11/11/2013  M12.0 INCH                          AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            STORM TOTAL 12.0 INCHES

0900 AM     SNOW             26 NNE CHASE            62.82N 149.90W
11/11/2013  M18.0 INCH                          AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL 18.0 INCHES

0900 AM     SNOW             4 NNW VALDEZ            61.13N 146.35W
11/11/2013  M24.0 INCH                          AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL 24 INCHES SO FAR. STILL SNOWING.

1025 AM     SNOW             4 NNW BUTTE             61.59N 149.11W
11/11/2013  M3.5 INCH                           AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            STORM TOTAL 3.5 INCHES WET SNOW

&&

KUTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC36 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2013Every storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.