Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2013
Gale Warning 792, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 11, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 12, 2013, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
925 FZAK51 PAFC 120016 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-121500- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEAK LOW OVER THE GULF COMBINED WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE INLAND WILL PRODUCE STRONG GAP WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST THROUGH TUE MORNING. A WEAKENING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF ON WED. $$ PKZ119-121500- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ120-121500- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ121-121500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-121500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-121500- PORT VALDEZ 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-121500- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-121500- VALDEZ ARM 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-121500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-121500- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ131-121500- BARREN ISLANDS EAST 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ132-121500- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ136-121500- CHINIAK BAY 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ137-121500- MARMOT BAY 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ138-121500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-121500- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY .TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-121500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-121500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. .WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
2 follow-up statements
798 FZAK51 PAFC 121215 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-130300- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF EARLY WED MORNING AND PUSH INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED EVENING. $$ PKZ119-130300- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ120-130300- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-130300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-130300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ126-130300- PORT VALDEZ 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-130300- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-130300- VALDEZ ARM 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-130300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-130300- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ131-130300- BARREN ISLANDS EAST 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-130300- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ136-130300- CHINIAK BAY 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ137-130300- MARMOT BAY 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-130300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-130300- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT SOUTH OF ANCHOR POINT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ140-130300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-130300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
512 FZAK51 PAFC 130009 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-131500- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH THU. A WEAK LOW WILL FORM NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WED NIGHT AND QUICKLY TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST GULF ON THU. $$ PKZ119-131500- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ120-131500- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-131500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ125-131500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-131500- PORT VALDEZ 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-131500- VALDEZ NARROWS 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-131500- VALDEZ ARM 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ129-131500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-131500- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ131-131500- BARREN ISLANDS EAST 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-131500- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ136-131500- CHINIAK BAY 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ137-131500- MARMOT BAY 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ138-131500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ139-131500- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ140-131500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-131500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 12 2013 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 12:50 PM AKST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1250 PM AKST MON NOV 11 2013
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS STALLED ALONG
155W (OVER INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA)
IN BETWEEN TWO HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGES CENTERED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
PACIFIC AND WESTERN U.S./CANADA. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IS
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND
IT. MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO FALL FROM EASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...ALL SNOW WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SINCE EVERYTHING IS
SLOW TO PROGRESS EASTWARD EXPECT PRECIP TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY
FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS.
THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE IS AMPLIFYING AND SLIDING EASTWARD AS AN
UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES OUT OF ASIA. THE SUBTROPICAL JET RIDES UP
AND OVER THIS RIDGE. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE THE JET IS
COMBINING WITH LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
INTO THE WESTERN GULF. AS COLD AIR WORKS ITS WAY EASTWARD LOCALIZED
GAP WINDS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
MEANWHILE A SOUTHERLY JET ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE IS
TRANSPORTING VERY WARM MOIST AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE TROPICS AND
INTO THE WESTERN BERING. THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS AIR MASS...IN
THE FROM OF A WARM FRONT...IS MOVING OVER TOP OF THE RIDGE WITH
OVERRUNNING PRECIP SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING SEA.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS GENERALLY HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON LARGER
SCALE FEATURES AND SHOW GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY THROUGH THE
SHORT-TERM. THERE ARE A FEW KEY DIFFERENCES WITH HANDLING OF WARM
FRONT CROSSING THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND WITH
HANDLING OF A WEAK LOW WHICH FORMS NEAR THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z NAM WAS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING WARM
FRONTAL PRECIP INTO COOK INLET/THE WESTERN KENAI TUESDAY MORNING
BUT THE 18Z RUN HAS BACKED OFF AND LOOKS MUCH MORE SIMILAR TO OTHER
SOLUTIONS WITH VERY MINOR QPF SURVIVING THE TRIP ACROSS THE ALASKA
RANGE. THE GFS THEN BECOMES AN OUTLIER WITH TIMING OF A COLD FRONT
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST ON THURSDAY. ALL OF THIS LEADS TO
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE QPF AND PRECIP-TYPE FORECASTS FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WHAT CAN BE SAID WITH SOME CONFIDENCE IS
THAT WITH THE TRANSITION FROM COLD TO WARM AND BACK TO COLD AGAIN
THIS IS A GOOD SET-UP TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF PRECIP-TYPES.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER RIDGE AND JET OVER THE BERING WILL
SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT HELPING TO WEAKEN
THE UPPER TROUGH AND PUSH IT OFF THE SOUTH AND EAST. PRECIP WILL
LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN AND EASTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...BUT WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER AS WE HEAD THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN END BY TUESDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...GAP
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS WHERE WINDS AND FALLING SNOW WILL GIVE
WAY TO JUST BLOWING SNOW RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. WINDS WILL WIND DOWN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS ATTENTION
SHIFTS TO THE WARM FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE WEST.
GEFS (GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM) STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES FOR
PRECIPITABLE WATER...SPECIFIC HUMIDITY...AND TEMPERATURE ARE
SIGNIFICANT WITH VALUES GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AS THE WARM FRONT
MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. IN THE FEW
YEARS THIS DATA SET HAS BEEN AVAILABLE FOR USE IN OPERATIONS THESE
TYPE OF VALUES HAVE BEEN INDICATIVE OF POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FREEZING RAIN EVENTS. IN THIS CASE...THE SURFACE PATTERN DOESN'T
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR MAINTAINING COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR MOST
AREAS. FOR COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL HELP SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM
UP RELATIVELY QUICKLY. THUS...THE TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO FREEZING
RAIN TO RAIN SHOULD BE QUICK AND ANY ICE ACCUMULATION VERY MINOR.
IT WILL BE MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO ERODE ALL OF THE COLD AIR OVER
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY...SO EXPECT A MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN WITH
ICE ACCUMULATION APPROACHING ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. ARCTIC AIR
WILL RAPIDLY MOVE BACK INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY HELPING TO DRY THINGS OUT AND REFREEZE WHATEVER IS LEFT
ON THE GROUND.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL IS A MUCH BIGGER
CHALLENGE. THE LATEST MODELS SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARD A DRIER
SOLUTION WITH ARRIVAL OF THE WARM FRONT ON WEDNESDAY. THUS...DON'T
EXPECT THIS TO BE A MAJOR FREEZING RAIN EVENT. NO MATTER WHETHER
PRECIP FALLS OR NOT THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT TEMPERATURES
WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING FOR MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL MELT SOME OF THE SNOW
ON THE GROUND LIKELY LEADING TO ICY CONDITIONS. THE HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF PRECIP LOOKS WILL BE WITH THE COLD FRONT WHICH
APPROACHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY. EXPECT
RAIN OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT CHANGING TO SNOW AND QUICKLY ENDING AS
THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. ALL OF THESE TRANSITIONS WILL HAPPEN OVER
A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO HONE IN
ON THE EXACT TIMING.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A PRETTY LARGE SPREAD IN MODEL
SOLUTIONS FOR THE DAY 4 THROUGH 7 PERIOD. HOWEVER...THERE ARE SOME
COMMONALITIES IN THE LARGER SCALE PATTERN. THE NORTH-PACIFIC RIDGE
WILL WEAKEN AS SYSTEMS CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO AND OVER TOP OF IT.
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THURSDAY
EXPECT ANOTHER WARM FRONT TO QUICKLY MOVE BACK IN FRIDAY LEADING
TO ANOTHER WARM-UP AND CHANCE OF RAIN AND/OR FREEZING RAIN. THERE
IS THEN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...141 152.
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 155.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...121 127 128 129 131 132 150 177 178 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB NOV 13In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 11, 11:36 AM AKST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1136 AM AKST MON NOV 11 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM SNOW 1 ENE CHICKALOON 61.80N 148.46W
11/11/2013 M14.0 INCH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL 14.0 INCHES.
0700 AM SNOW 4 E ANCHORAGE 61.21N 149.74W
11/11/2013 M8.0 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
6.0 INCHES THROUGH 10 PM. STORM TOTAL 8.0 INCHES.
0715 AM SNOW 4 SW ANCHORAGE 61.18N 149.95W
11/11/2013 M6.0 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
STORM TOTAL 6.0 INCHES
0815 AM SNOW 1 E EAGLE RIVER 61.32N 149.54W
11/11/2013 M6.5 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
6.5 INCHES STORM TOTAL.
0900 AM SNOW 6 ESE SKWENTNA 61.97N 151.21W
11/11/2013 M2.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL 2.0 INCHES
0900 AM SNOW 1 S TALKEETNA 62.32N 150.09W
11/11/2013 M12.0 INCH AK OTHER FEDERAL
STORM TOTAL 12.0 INCHES
0900 AM SNOW 26 NNE CHASE 62.82N 149.90W
11/11/2013 M18.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
STORM TOTAL 18.0 INCHES
0900 AM SNOW 4 NNW VALDEZ 61.13N 146.35W
11/11/2013 M24.0 INCH AK NWS EMPLOYEE
STORM TOTAL 24 INCHES SO FAR. STILL SNOWING.
1025 AM SNOW 4 NNW BUTTE 61.59N 149.11W
11/11/2013 M3.5 INCH AK OTHER FEDERAL
STORM TOTAL 3.5 INCHES WET SNOW
&&
KUTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 12, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.