Storm Warning 138, NWS Anchorage, AK

345 
FZAK52 PAFC 141535 AAB
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
735 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

UPDATED ZONES 170 AND 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150300-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WEAKENS TO 991 MB TUE NIGHT AS
IT MOVES TO 100 NM NORTH OF SAINT PAUL. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
REACHES THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA COAST THIS AFTERNOON. A KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA LOW SPAWNS A 1000 MB TRIPLE POINT LOW TUE NIGHT 40 NM
NORTHEAST OF KISKA. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE ALEUTIANS TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-150300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
735 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUE...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150300-
UNALASKA BAY
735 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-150300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-150300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-150300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-150300-
KISKA TO ATTU
550 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 31 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-150300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SE 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW 
ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

104 
FZAK52 PAFC 142302
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 125 NM 
NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL TUE AFTERNOON AT 988 MB AND THEN TO 120 NM
NORTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WED AFTERNOON AT 994 MB. A 998 MB 
LOW WILL FORM EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TUE MORNING AND 
TRACK TO 120 NM SOUTH OF SEGUAM ISLAND WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-151500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-151500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-151500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-151500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-151500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-151500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT TOWARD MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-151500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-151500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-151500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVEL PLANETARY TROUGH EXTENDS FROM EASTERN RUSSIA TO THE
CANADIAN ROCKIES THIS MORNING WITH SMALLER SCALE TROUGHS OVER THE
WESTERN BERING AND THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW IS
OVER THE WESTERN BERING. RIDGES ARE WEST OF KAMCHATKA AND OVER THE
CANADIAN ROCKIES WITH A SMALLER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING. AT THE
SURFACE...A DEEP LOW IS NEAR ATTU WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. A SMALL TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE IS DISSIPATING OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF WITH
ASSOCIATED RAIN AND SHOWERS STREAMING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT.

THE RESIDUAL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF WILL DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY...WITH SHOWERS ON ITS LEADING EDGE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SLOWLY TAPERING OFF. THE DISSIPATION OF THIS
TROUGH WILL CREATE AN UNINTERRUPTED UPPER FLOW FROM WELL SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO THE ALCAN. A STRONG JET WILL CAUSE RAPID
NORTHEAST PROGRESSION OF WEATHER SYSTEMS OVER THE AREA FROM THE AKPEN
EAST TUE THROUGH THU.

IN THE MEANTIME...THE ATTU LOW WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN BERING BY TUE
MORNING AND THEN DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THU. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL REACH SOUTHWEST AK THIS AFTERNOON AND LOSE INTEGRITY AS IT
CROSSES THE AK AND ALEUTIAN RANGES ON TUE. IT WILL STILL CREATE A
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ON TUE.

A KAMCHATKA LOW AND FRONT WILL ENTER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUE AND
WEAKEN ON WED AS THE LOW CROSSES THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON ITS WAY TO
THE NORTH PACIFIC. AT THE SAME TIME IT WILL PASS A WAVE MOVING
RAPIDLY NORTH TO THE AKPEN...WHICH WILL REACH SOUTHWEST AK ON THU.

FINALLY...THE WEAKENING REMNANTS OF A TYPHOON WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THU.

THE FORECAST UTILIZES THE GFS AND NAM IN THE SHORT TERM AND THEN
TRANSITIONS TO THE EC AND WPC GUIDANCE FOR MID AND LONG RANGE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

IN THE WEST...RAIN AND GALES WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
WED AS FIRST THE ATTU LOW AND THEN THE KAMCHATKA LOW AFFECT THE AREA.
A BRIEF BREAK IS EXPECTED THU AND THEN MORE RAIN AND GALES WILL
ACCOMPANY THE TYPHOON REMNANTS BEGINNING THU NIGHT.

FOR SOUTHWEST AK...RAIN AND SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE AREA AS THE FRONT
FROM THE ATTU LOW MOVES INLAND TODAY AND IS IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWED BY A
WAVE MOVING AROUND THE ATTU LOW...WHICH BY THIS TIME IS OVER THE
EASTERN BERING...TUE INTO WED. THIS IS THEN FOLLOWED BY WIND AND RAIN
AS THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW RACES NORTH ON THU.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AK RANGE...EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN AND SHOWERS
INTO FRI AS FIRST THE NORTHWEST GULF TROUGH DISSIPATES TODAY...THE
ATTU FRONT WEAKENS OVERHEAD ON TUE...WHICH WITH ITS TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL WILL SET UP VERY STRONG WINDS
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN...THE WAVE MOVING AROUND THE ATTU LOW
ARRIVES TUE NIGHT INTO WED...AND THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES ACROSS
THE AKPEN ON THU.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE TYPHOON REMNANTS WILL SPREAD RAIN AND WIND ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 120 130 131  132 136 138 150 155 165 170 172 175 176
177 178 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS OCT 13