Gale Warning 688, NWS Anchorage, AK

465 
FZAK51 PAFC 141437 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
635 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

UPDATED ZONES 127 AND 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF
COAST DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-150300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-150300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
635 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-150300-
VALDEZ ARM
635 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE BY LATE MORNING. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-150300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-150300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-150300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-150300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-150300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

144 
FZAK51 PAFC 142306
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF MON NIGHT AND TUE 
AND PERSIST THROUGH WED. A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ119-151500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-151500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-151500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-151500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-151500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-151500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-151500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-151500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-151500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-151500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-151500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-151500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-151500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-151500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ139-151500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-151500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-151500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 14 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

737 
FZAK51 PAFC 151148
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH WED NIGHT. A
SERIES OF FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-160300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-160300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-160300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-160300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-160300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-160300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-160300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-160300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-160300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-160300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-160300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-160300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-160300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-160300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-160300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-160300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-160300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SUN OCT 13 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PROGRESSIVE LONGWAVE PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS ALASKA...WITH ONE
LONGWAVE TROUGH/VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE FAR EASTERN BERING
SEA AND ANOTHER TROUGH/LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TODAY. THE
EASTERN BERING LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT SWINGS NORTHWARD OVER THE
MAINLAND TONIGHT. BRIEF RIDGING WILL PUSH NORTHWARD BEFORE THE NEXT
LOW MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK. THE SURFACE FRONT IS JUST NORTH OF KENAI THIS
AFTERNOON...THEREFORE GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH
TURNAGAIN ARM...KNIK RIVER VALLEY...AND ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AS
A BARRIER JET.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO START OUT...HOWEVER THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES TOWARD THE END OF THE SHORT TERM. AS THE NEXT LOW MOVES
ACROSS THE BERING SEA EARLY IN THE WEEK...THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO
MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THAN THEY WERE YESTERDAY WITH THE TRACK OF THAT
LOW. AT THIS POINT THE NAM IS THE MAIN OUTLIER...WITH THE ECMWF AND
GFS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. DIFFERENCES INCREASE TOWARD WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER. THE GFS IS THE PREFERRED MODEL OVERALL FOR
THE SHORT TERM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL AK...AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD TONIGHT...GAP WINDS
WILL DIMINISH AT MOST PLACES. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM TO SOME EXTENT WITH A WEAK LOW MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF ON MONDAY AND THEN THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT
LOWS/FRONTS ON TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. RAIN WILL BECOME SHOWERY TONIGHT
AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH...BUT OVERALL IT WILL BE A WET AND
WINDY WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEK.

WESTERN ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...AFTER THIS CURRENT LOW
EXITS THE AREA...WEAK RIDGING WILL BRIEFLY PUSH NORTHWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING. THE NEXT LOW TO AFFECT THE AREA IS
CURRENTLY WEST OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. IT WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
GRADUALLY WEAKEN...SWINGING A FRONT ACROSS THE BERING ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND WIND TO THESE
LOCATIONS. YET ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN BERING ON
WEDNESDAY...AND THE PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE GENERAL PATTERN WILL CONSIST OF THE MEAN LOW POSITION OVER THE
BERING SEA AND THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION JUST TO THE EAST OF ALASKA.
THIS WILL USHER IN A PATTERN THAT FAVORS WARM...WET...AND POSSIBLY
WINDY CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN ALASKA.

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE WILL BE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AK
DURING THIS TIME...EACH BRINGING THE SOIL MORE AND MORE TOWARD
SATURATION. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN FOR THIS COMING WEEK IS THE
KENAI PENINSULA...WHERE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AND THE SNOW
GLACIER DAMMED LAKE IS RELEASING...ALREADY CAUSING AT LEAST NEAR
BANKFULL CONDITIONS ALONG THE KENAI RIVER. ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS
THE CREEKS/STREAMS OF THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WHICH RESPOND QUICKLY TO
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. WE WILL BE WATCHING THESE AREAS IN THE COMING
DAYS FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 130 131 132 150 155 170 171 172 173 174
                      175 176 177 178 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SCHRECK