Storm Warning 111, NWS Anchorage, AK

963 
FZAK51 PAFC 251519 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
715 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

UPDATED 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST LATE THIS MORNING. A 997 MB LOW WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND
WED NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO 70 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 998 MB
AND DISSIPATE THU EVENING. A 975 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM WEST OF
SITKINAK EARLY FRI MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...
SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-260300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-260300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-260300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...NE GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 
KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25
KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-260300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-260300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
715 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

488 
FZAK51 PAFC 251827 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1025 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

UPDATED 128

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST LATE THIS MORNING. A 997 MB LOW WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND
WED NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO 70 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 998 MB
AND DISSIPATE THU EVENING. A 975 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 80 NM WEST OF
SITKINAK EARLY FRI MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. ALONG
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...
SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE...GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-260300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-260300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-260300-
VALDEZ ARM
1025 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. NEAR WHITTIER...NE GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 
KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25
KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 30 KT
DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-260300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-260300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
715 AM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JM

258 
FZAK51 PAFC 252344
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN TO 1000 MB 150 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD THU MORNING AND DISSIPATE THU AFTERNOON. A
RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND
AT 969 MB THU EVENING AND MOVE TO 90 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT
SAME STRENGTH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-261500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ121-261500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT... N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-261500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45
KT IN THE EVENING IN THE EASTERN SOUND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-261500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ127-261500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-261500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-261500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-261500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15
KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT W 15 KT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND
20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-261500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING
TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-261500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .  

$$

PKZ137-261500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-261500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-261500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND
10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-261500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
20 KT IN THE EVENING SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT TUE SEP 24 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE DOMINANT FEATURE ON THE MORNING WEATHER MAP IS A MATURE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA. THE LOW HAS NOW
OCCLUDED AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS MOVED WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW
CENTER ITSELF AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING INLAND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND COAST. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND THE LOW CENTER ITSELF (RATHER THAN THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT) AND ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE DUTCH HARBOR
AREA...WHERE A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME. BACK
FURTHER WEST...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF TWO
CIRCULATION CENTERS. THIS IS DEFORMING THE PRESSURE FIELD ENOUGH TO
PREVENT HIGH WINDS FROM AFFECTING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.

AHEAD OF THIS LARGE STORM...HIGH PRESSURE IS MAKING FOR A MOSTLY
SUNNY DAY ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...THOUGH A STRONG 150 KT JET
OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS RAPIDLY SPREADING CLOUDINESS INTO THE COOK
INLET REGION. LOCALIZED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE PERSISTING
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND PARTS OF THE MAT-SU VALLEY...BUT WILL
DISSIPATE BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...NORTHWEST GAP FLOWS
ACROSS THE GULF COAST HAVE FINALLY DIMINISHED AS THE INFLUENCE OF
YESTERDAYS LOW HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED NEAR THE PANHANDLE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BASIC EVOLUTION OF THE
STORM CURRENTLY IN THE BERING. THE STORM IS CURRENTLY AT MAX
INTENSITY AND WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
GULF BY LATE WED AFTERNOON. WHILE THE LARGER-PICTURE DETAILS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT...THERE ARE SOME TRICKY DETAILS WITH TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF WINDS THROUGH SOME OF THE FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS LIKE
TURNAGAIN ARM. SINCE THE NAM HAS SUPERIOR MODEL RESOLUTION IT WAS
UTILIZED FOR MANY OF THESE FEATURES OVER THE EASTERN FORECAST DOMAIN.
MEANWHILE...OUT WEST...THE LARGEST MODEL ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND THE
NEXT LOW IN THE SERIES THAT WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN BERING. ALL MODELS HAVE SPED UP THIS
FEATURE DESPITE THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM (WHICH OFTEN
WOULD SLOW DOWN A STORMS FORWARD PROGRESS) BUT IS VERY BELIEVABLE IN
THIS CASE DUE TO THE UNUSUALLY STRONG 210 KT JET OVERHEAD FUELING
DEVELOPMENT. THE GFS WAS CHOSEN AS THE MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THIS
STORM...THOUGH THE NAM AND EC ARE NOT FAR BEHIND AND ALL DEPICT THE
SAME GENERAL EVOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE
REGION IN A HURRY THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT WARMING ALOFT WILL ALLOW
PRECIP TO FALL AS RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME
HIGHER ELEVATION MOUNTAIN PASSES AND THE FAR NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY
WHERE PRECIP MAY REMAIN A HEAVY WET SNOW DURING THIS EVENT. THIS IS
PRIMARILY DUE TO THE RAPID WEAKENING OF THE STORM THAT IN TURN IS
ENDING THE STRONG NORTHWARD PUSH OF WARM AIR EXPERIENCED EARLIER IN
THE STORMS LIFECYCLE. WITH DUE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECT
EVEN THE USUAL DOWNSLOPE AREAS WILL SEE RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...EVEN AS
STRONG WINDS BLOW THROUGH THE FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS.

SOUTHWEST...THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY HAS BEEN
RELATIVELY UNIMPRESSIVE AS WINDS AND PRECIP HAVE BOTH BEEN WEAKENING
AS THE FRONT RACES AHEAD OF THE LOW. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE BACK IN
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES BRISTOL BAY...BUT
THE AFOREMENTIONED SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND WILL LIKELY ENSURE
PRECIP IS MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE THAN A STEADY AND PERSISTENT RAIN.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED
OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT AS THE STRONG
LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES TO THE EAST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WIND SPEEDS
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN EXPECTED AT THE FEW OBSERVATION POINTS ALONG THE
ALEUTIANS...LIKELY DUE TO MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS FRAGMENTING THE
STORMS ENERGY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION MAKING WEDNESDAY A FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER DAY. BY
THURSDAY THE STRONG JET ALOFT WILL START A RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF A
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA. THIS LOW WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR
TRACK TO PREVIOUS LOWS (THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND INTO THE WESTERN
GULF) BUT FORWARD SPEED WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER THAN THE CURRENT
STORM. THIS MEANS WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE MUCH STRONGER AND MORE
WIDESPREAD THAN THE CURRENT LOW (MUCH MORE LIKE THE STORM OF LAST
WEEKEND) AND WILL RESULT IN HIGH WINDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE BERING SEA REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
EXTENDED MODELS SUGGEST THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND WILL
LARGELY REMAIN INTACT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NORTH PACIFIC
RIDGE MAY FLATTEN A BIT...ALLOWING THE STORM TRACK THROUGH THE BERING
TO SAG SOUTHWARD...THOUGH STORMS STILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW NEAR OR SLIGHT BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 185
MARINE...STORM 155 170
         GALE 120 125 130 132 150 160 165 171 172 175 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD SEP 13