Gale Warning 542, NWS Anchorage, AK

417 
FZAK62 PAFC 252355
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-261500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR 57N 159W WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TONIGHT. A 988 MB
LOW WILL FORM NEAR 58N 177W EARLY THU MORNING AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN
TO 969 MB NEAR 60N 165W THU EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO THE GULF AT
SAME STRENGTH FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 40 KT N OF 55N AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S TO W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 25 2013

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

299 
FZAK62 PAFC 261148
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-270300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 986 MB LOW NEAR 60N 176E WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB NEAR
NUNIVAK ISLAND THU EVENING BEFORE MOVING TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AT 973
MB FRI MORNING. A 992 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 51N 170E
EARLY SAT MORNING. 

$$

PKZ411-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

620 
FZAK62 PAFC 262350
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-271500-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... 
A 979 MB LOW AT 59N 167W WILL MOVE TO 58N 151W FRI AFTERNOON AT 970
MB THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW AT 48N 162E FRI
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 51N 175E SAT AFTERNOON AT 998 MB.

$$

PKZ411-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 30 KT S OF 55N
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-271500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 26 2013

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

885 
FZAK62 PAFC 271158
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-280300-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 973 MB LOW AT 58N 158W WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TONIGHT. A 997 MB
LOW AT 48N 165E FRI AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 49N 176W SAT NIGHT AT 1012
MB.

$$

PKZ411-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N OF 56N...NW WIND 20 KT. S OF 56N...E WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...N OF 56N...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S OF 56N...E WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF 176W...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. W OF 176W...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-280300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 27 2013

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF 167W...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. W OF 167W...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17
FT. 
.TONIGHT...E OF 167W...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT TO 17 FT. W OF 167W...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF 167W. SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT
W OF 167W. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT TUE SEP 24 2013

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE DOMINANT FEATURE ON THE MORNING WEATHER MAP IS A MATURE
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA. THE LOW HAS NOW
OCCLUDED AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS MOVED WELL AHEAD OF THE LOW
CENTER ITSELF AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING INLAND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND COAST. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND THE LOW CENTER ITSELF (RATHER THAN THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT) AND ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE DUTCH HARBOR
AREA...WHERE A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME. BACK
FURTHER WEST...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF TWO
CIRCULATION CENTERS. THIS IS DEFORMING THE PRESSURE FIELD ENOUGH TO
PREVENT HIGH WINDS FROM AFFECTING THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.

AHEAD OF THIS LARGE STORM...HIGH PRESSURE IS MAKING FOR A MOSTLY
SUNNY DAY ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...THOUGH A STRONG 150 KT JET
OVER THE EASTERN BERING IS RAPIDLY SPREADING CLOUDINESS INTO THE COOK
INLET REGION. LOCALIZED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE PERSISTING
OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND PARTS OF THE MAT-SU VALLEY...BUT WILL
DISSIPATE BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...NORTHWEST GAP FLOWS
ACROSS THE GULF COAST HAVE FINALLY DIMINISHED AS THE INFLUENCE OF
YESTERDAYS LOW HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED NEAR THE PANHANDLE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BASIC EVOLUTION OF THE
STORM CURRENTLY IN THE BERING. THE STORM IS CURRENTLY AT MAX
INTENSITY AND WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
GULF BY LATE WED AFTERNOON. WHILE THE LARGER-PICTURE DETAILS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT...THERE ARE SOME TRICKY DETAILS WITH TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF WINDS THROUGH SOME OF THE FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS LIKE
TURNAGAIN ARM. SINCE THE NAM HAS SUPERIOR MODEL RESOLUTION IT WAS
UTILIZED FOR MANY OF THESE FEATURES OVER THE EASTERN FORECAST DOMAIN.
MEANWHILE...OUT WEST...THE LARGEST MODEL ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND THE
NEXT LOW IN THE SERIES THAT WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN BERING. ALL MODELS HAVE SPED UP THIS
FEATURE DESPITE THE RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM (WHICH OFTEN
WOULD SLOW DOWN A STORMS FORWARD PROGRESS) BUT IS VERY BELIEVABLE IN
THIS CASE DUE TO THE UNUSUALLY STRONG 210 KT JET OVERHEAD FUELING
DEVELOPMENT. THE GFS WAS CHOSEN AS THE MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THIS
STORM...THOUGH THE NAM AND EC ARE NOT FAR BEHIND AND ALL DEPICT THE
SAME GENERAL EVOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE
REGION IN A HURRY THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT WARMING ALOFT WILL ALLOW
PRECIP TO FALL AS RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME
HIGHER ELEVATION MOUNTAIN PASSES AND THE FAR NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY
WHERE PRECIP MAY REMAIN A HEAVY WET SNOW DURING THIS EVENT. THIS IS
PRIMARILY DUE TO THE RAPID WEAKENING OF THE STORM THAT IN TURN IS
ENDING THE STRONG NORTHWARD PUSH OF WARM AIR EXPERIENCED EARLIER IN
THE STORMS LIFECYCLE. WITH DUE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECT
EVEN THE USUAL DOWNSLOPE AREAS WILL SEE RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...EVEN AS
STRONG WINDS BLOW THROUGH THE FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS.

SOUTHWEST...THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY HAS BEEN
RELATIVELY UNIMPRESSIVE AS WINDS AND PRECIP HAVE BOTH BEEN WEAKENING
AS THE FRONT RACES AHEAD OF THE LOW. PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE BACK IN
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW CENTER APPROACHES BRISTOL BAY...BUT
THE AFOREMENTIONED SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND WILL LIKELY ENSURE
PRECIP IS MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE THAN A STEADY AND PERSISTENT RAIN.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED
OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT AS THE STRONG
LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES TO THE EAST. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WIND SPEEDS
HAVE BEEN LESS THAN EXPECTED AT THE FEW OBSERVATION POINTS ALONG THE
ALEUTIANS...LIKELY DUE TO MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS FRAGMENTING THE
STORMS ENERGY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION MAKING WEDNESDAY A FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER DAY. BY
THURSDAY THE STRONG JET ALOFT WILL START A RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF A
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING SEA. THIS LOW WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR
TRACK TO PREVIOUS LOWS (THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND INTO THE WESTERN
GULF) BUT FORWARD SPEED WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER THAN THE CURRENT
STORM. THIS MEANS WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE MUCH STRONGER AND MORE
WIDESPREAD THAN THE CURRENT LOW (MUCH MORE LIKE THE STORM OF LAST
WEEKEND) AND WILL RESULT IN HIGH WINDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE BERING SEA REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
EXTENDED MODELS SUGGEST THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE MAINLAND WILL
LARGELY REMAIN INTACT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE NORTH PACIFIC
RIDGE MAY FLATTEN A BIT...ALLOWING THE STORM TRACK THROUGH THE BERING
TO SAG SOUTHWARD...THOUGH STORMS STILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW NEAR OR SLIGHT BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 185
MARINE...STORM 155 170
         GALE 120 125 130 132 150 160 165 171 172 175 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD SEP 13