Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2013

Special Weather Statement, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 20, 2013Chaves County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this special weather statement at Jun 20, 2013, 4:01 PM MDT for Chaves County, New Mexico. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 20, 2013, 4:01 PM MDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired: Jun 20, 2013, 4:45 PM MDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM

County Chaves County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 20, 3:28 PM MDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 20, 3:28 PM MDT, 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
328 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE AND SURFACE MOISTURE ANALYSIS SHOW THE MOIST AXIS FOCUSED
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO ACROSS SE NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TX. THE LATEST
RADAR TRENDS INDICATE SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE INCREASING IN THIS
AREA...WHICH COINCIDES WELL WITH THE 17Z HRRR AND RIDGE OF HIGHEST
THETA-E VALUES FROM THE NAM AND GFS. FARTHER WEST THE FOCUS FOR DRY
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COINCIDES WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY SLOT
STRETCHING FROM THE BAJA INTO NORTH CENTRAL NM.

THE DEFINITION OF PERSISTENCE WILL HOLD VERY TRUE ACROSS OUR AREA AS
THERE WILL BE VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PATTERN CONFIGURATION THRU
TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT VERY DRY...BREEZY...AND HOT CONDITIONS
FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN NM WITH A FEW STORMS FOCUSED OVER THE SE AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. MAX AND MIN TEMPS WILL BE NEARLY THE SAME EVERY
PERIOD AND ABOVE NORMAL HOWEVER NO RECORDS ARE EXPECTED.

UNFORTUNATELY...EVEN HOTTER CONDITIONS BUT WITH LESS WIND WILL OCCUR
FOR THE WEDNESDAY THRU SATURDAY PERIOD OF NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY BE THE
PEAK FOR THE SUMMER WITH A 596 TO 599DM H5 RIDGE CENTERED DIRECTLY
OVER NORTHERN NM AND SOUTHERN CO. THE ECMWF AND GFS THEN SHOW THE
RIDGE WOBBLING WESTWARD INTO NORTHERN AZ ALLOWING A MOIST BACK DOOR
FRONT TO SLIDE INTO THE EAST. THIS WOULD PROVIDE FOR ANOTHER UPTICK
IN STORM COVERAGE HOWEVER CONFIDENCE ON THIS PATTERN IS VERY LOW AS
CONSISTENCY IS POOR FROM MODEL RUN TO RUN.

GUYER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY LINE HAS BEEN DRIVEN BACK TO A LINE FROM JUST EAST OF TUCUMCARI
TO NEAR OR JUST W OF DUNKEN...PRETTY MAJOR EROSION CONSIDERING HOW
FAR WEST IT GOT EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOULD WAFT BACK W TONIGHT...BUT
NOT QUITE AS FAR W AS EARLY TODAY. POOR RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT WEST
OF DRY LINE...BASICALLY W OF A RATON TO RUIDOSO LINE. GOOD TO
EXCELLENT RECOVERIES TO E OF THE DRY LINE. SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS
OF WET VARIETY INTO THE EVE NEAR TO E OF TUCUMCARI TO RUIDOSO LINE.
RED FLAG CONDITIONS OF THIS AFTN SHOULD DROP OUT BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM.

AT LEAST THRU NEXT TUE LOOKING FOR CURRENT PATTERN TO NOT CHANGE
MUCH...GENERALLY A PATTERN OF A FEW TO SCT SHOWERS AND
STORMS...MOSTLY WET...GENERALLY NEAR AND EAST OF A TUCUMCARI TO
RUIDOSO LINE. MAY ON A COUPLE OF OCCASIONS SEE THAT LINE SHIFT UP TO
75 OR 100 MILES FARTHER E OR W DURING THIS PERIOD. SET UP WILL BE A
PACIFIC NW TROUGH AND AN UPPER HIGH GENERALLY CENTERED BETWEEN
CENTRAL TX AND FAR N MEXICO. VERY DRY AIR WILL KEEP COMING ACROSS NW
HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF NM AROUND THE HIGH...RESULTING IN EXTREMELY
LOW RH MINIMUMS AND MANY HOURS OF SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES TO
CONTINUE AS WELL FROM THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN WEST TO THE AZ BORDER.
THOUGH DRY THE AIRMASS WILL BE UNSTABLE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HAINES VALUES OF 6 AND EVEN SOME
LOCALIZED SUPER HAINES WILL SHOW UP LATE IN THE DAY FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS.

AS FOR HIGHLIGHTS...AM CONTINUING THE RED FLAG WARNING INTO THIS EVE
AS BEFORE...AS MORE AREAS THAN NOT ARE VERY NEAR OR A LITTLE OVER
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. UPGRADED EXISTING WATCH FOR FRI TO RED FLAG
WARNING AND ADDED FIRE ZONE 104...MAINLY WEST AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS...LARGELY BASED ON HOW FAR E DRYLINE PROGRESSED TODAY. SEE
NO REASON FOR IT NOT TO GET AT LEAST AS FAR E AS CLAYTON FRI
AFTN...MAIN REASON THAT ZONE ADDED. STILL BELIEVE MOST OF LOWER
TERRAIN OF 101 WILL BE MARGINAL AT MOST FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS FRI
AFTN...BUT HIGHER TERRAIN THERE SHOULD DO BETTER AND WITH DEGREE OF
DRYNESS AND HEAT FELT IT BEST TO UPGRADE THAT ZONE ALONG WITH THE
REST. ALSO HOISTED FIRE WX WATCH FOR SAT AFTN AND EARLY EVE FOR 102
THROUGH 104...107 AND WESTERN PART OF 108.

43

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH A FEW
EXCEPTIONS. ONE BEING RELATIVELY BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE
IN AND NEAR SHRA AND TSRA THIS AFTN AND EVE SE OF A LINE FROM
ROUGHLY DES MOINES TO RUIDOSO...MAINLY IMPACTING TAF SITES TCC
AND ROW. MVFR AND PERHAPS EVEN VERY LOCALIZED IFR VSBYS DUE TO
BLOWING DUST ALSO POSSIBLE WITH STRONGEST STORM OUTFLOWS...AGAIN
WITH TCC AND ROW HAVING THE GREATEST CHANCES. MODERATE AND GUSTY
SW LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW TO BE THE RULE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AND FRI AFTN AND EVE. EXPECT AS
STRONG AND AT TIMES EVEN STRONGER SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS
MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS WITH SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 OR
35KTS.

43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  51  94  52  93 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  38  88  39  87 /   0   0   0   0
CUBA............................  47  90  47  89 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  44  91  45  90 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  40  86  40  87 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  47  91  49  90 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  51  90  51  88 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  49  96  50  94 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  44  80  45  78 /   0   0   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  59  88  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  57  87  57  84 /   5  10   5   5
CERRO/QUESTA....................  51  80  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  46  74  45  73 /   0   5   0   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  37  79  36  78 /   0   5   0   5
TAOS............................  48  86  47  85 /   0   0   0   0
MORA............................  52  83  53  82 /   5  10   5   5
ESPANOLA........................  56  91  55  92 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  58  87  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  56  93  56  92 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  67  94  67  94 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  65  97  65  97 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  64  99  64  99 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  61  97  62  97 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  61  97  62  96 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  60  98  61  98 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  62 100  63 101 /   0   5   0   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  57  86  58  86 /   5   5   5   5
TIJERAS.........................  59  92  59  91 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  56  94  56  92 /   5   5   5   5
CLINES CORNERS..................  56  88  57  88 /   5  10   5   5
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  59  89  60  89 /   5  10   5   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  62  92  63  92 /   5  10  10  10
RUIDOSO.........................  56  82  58  84 /  20  20  20  20
CAPULIN.........................  56  86  56  87 /   5  10   5  10
RATON...........................  54  90  54  90 /   5   5   5   5
SPRINGER........................  54  92  53  91 /   5  10   5   5
LAS VEGAS.......................  54  88  54  89 /   5  10   5   5
CLAYTON.........................  64  95  64  94 /  10  10  10  10
ROY.............................  60  91  59  91 /   5  10  10  10
CONCHAS.........................  66  97  66  97 /   5  10  10  10
SANTA ROSA......................  66  96  66  97 /  10  10  10  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  69  99  69 100 /  20  20  20  20
CLOVIS..........................  63  91  63  92 /  30  30  20  20
PORTALES........................  65  92  64  93 /  30  30  20  20
FORT SUMNER.....................  67  95  67  96 /  10  20  20  20
ROSWELL.........................  68  98  68 100 /  30  30  20  20
PICACHO.........................  62  92  63  94 /  20  20  20  20
ELK.............................  59  86  61  89 /  30  30  30  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101>103-105>107-109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ102>104-107-108.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101>105.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 20, 6:09 AM MDT, 9 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
609 AM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

NMZ501>540-211200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
609 AM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG WINDS...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL TO WESTERN NEW
MEXICO. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN NEW
MEXICO TODAY...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A CLAYTON TO RUIDOSO
LINE. HAIL...STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM
WINDS...AND AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL BE A CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN CONDUCIVE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL TO WESTERN NEW MEXICO FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
CELLS WILL PERSIST.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE AT 1.888.386.7637 OR VIA THE WEB AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ.

52

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 20, 2:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 20, 2:43 PM MDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 20, 3:01 PM MDT, 1 hour before

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Special weather statement, Jun 20, 3:30 PM MDT, 31 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
330 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

NMZ538-202200-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
330 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHAVES COUNTY THROUGH 400
PM MDT...

AT 324 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOTTOMLESS LAKES STATE
PARK...OR ABOUT 23 MILES EAST OF ROSWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ELKINS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3325 10411 3337 10426 3375 10409 3350 10371
      3348 10371
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 217DEG 22KT 3346 10412

SHY

Special weather statement, Jun 20, 3:47 PM MDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
347 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

NMZ536-202215-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
347 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTY THROUGH
415 PM MDT...

AT 342 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELIDA...OR ABOUT 27 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PORTALES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ELIDA...PEP AND DORA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3424 10353 3385 10322 3378 10365 3392 10378
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 232DEG 20KT 3390 10363

SHY

Special weather statement, Jun 20, 4:01 PM MDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
401 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

NMZ538-202245-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
401 PM MDT THU JUN 20 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHAVES COUNTY THROUGH 445
PM MDT...

AT 354 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOTTOMLESS LAKES STATE
PARK...OR ABOUT 19 MILES EAST OF ROSWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ELKINS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 10371 3341 10371 3322 10413 3339 10443
      3389 10404 3357 10364 3356 10366
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 224DEG 20KT 3344 10417

SHY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 19, 6:23 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	37 min
Jun 19, 6:27 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	33 min
Jun 19, 6:58 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	62 min
Jun 20, 1:44 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	31 min
Jun 20, 2:03 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	De Baca	27 min
Jun 20, 2:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves, De Baca, Roosevelt	28 min
Jun 20, 2:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	30 min
Jun 20, 2:43 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	32 min
Jun 20, 3:01 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	44 min
Jun 20, 3:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Chaves	30 min
Jun 20, 3:47 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	28 min
Jun 20, 4:16 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	44 min
Jun 20, 4:22 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves	113 min
Jun 20, 4:23 PM MDT	Fire Weather Watch	ABQ	Harding, San Miguel, Union	23 hr
Jun 20, 4:23 PM MDT	Red Flag Warning	ABQ	Cibola, Harding, McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Juan and 2 more	28 hr
Jun 20, 4:59 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Chaves, Roosevelt	106 min
Jun 20, 5:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Roosevelt	30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2013 Every special weather statement in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.