Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
453 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA SPARKED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS KANSAS EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GENERATED SUFFICIENT OUTFLOW TO FOCUS
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. MOST THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...HOWEVER ONE OR TWO STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
BRIEF SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS TO 60 MPH INTO THE EVENING HOURS. LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING WILL WEAKEN AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE ONGOING ACTIVITY.

VERY HOT CONDITIONS IN PLA CEAWAY FROM THUNDERSTORMS AND
ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. AT THAT TIME
NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL BEGIN TO MITIGATE THE HIGHEST HEAT INDEX
VALUES.

A LIMITED FIRE DANGER CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
OVERNIGHT WILL RESULT IN A ONLY MODEST OFFSET OF THE FIRE DANGER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER
POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL
                        ...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS
WEEKEND...AND MAY REACH 105 DEGREES EARLY NEXT WEEK. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LARGELY CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

THE FIRE DANGER WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE AND THE SOILS DRY OUT FROM
ANY RECENT RECENT RAINFALL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

OKZ062-063-132245-
DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-
507 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN DELAWARE AND EASTERN MAYES

AT 508 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SPAVINAW...
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM INCLUDE...LOCUST GROVE...SALINA...SPAVINAW...SNOWDALE
STATE PARK AND SPAVINAW STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
45 MPH.

LAT...LON 3637 9490 3616 9510 3616 9513 3630 9532
      3645 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 041DEG 9KT 3636 9506