Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 97

March 21, 201223 parishes in Louisiana; 42 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 21, 2012, 10:07 AM CDT for 23 parishes in Louisiana; 42 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2012, 10:07 AM CDT (15:07 UTC)
Expired
Mar 21, 2012, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 10:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa and 1 more53 min
Mar 21, 10:16 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint John the Baptist, Tangipahoa44 min
Mar 21, 10:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Jefferson42 min
Mar 21, 10:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington51 min
Mar 21, 10:24 AM CDTTornado WarningJANJefferson27 min
Mar 21, 10:29 AM CDTTornado WarningJANClaiborne, Jefferson40 min
Mar 21, 10:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln55 min
Mar 21, 10:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAmite, Pike55 min
Mar 21, 10:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison57 min
Mar 21, 10:55 AM CDTTornado WarningJANClaiborne, Warren33 min
Mar 21, 11:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington59 min
Mar 21, 11:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Saint Charles, Saint John the Baptist, Tangipahoa, Terrebonne55 min
Mar 21, 11:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah58 min
Mar 21, 11:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington57 min
Mar 21, 11:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo58 min
Mar 21, 11:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles53 min
Mar 21, 12:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington57 min
Mar 21, 12:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANYazoo55 min
Mar 21, 12:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence51 min
Mar 21, 12:12 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany36 min
Mar 21, 12:38 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Saint Bernard25 min
Mar 21, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMarion37 min
Mar 21, 12:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington65 min
Mar 21, 1:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion65 min
Mar 21, 1:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXSaint Tammany29 min
Mar 21, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington55 min
Mar 21, 2:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANRankin21 min
Mar 21, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WarningJANScott30 min
Mar 21, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar53 min
Mar 21, 2:47 PM CDTTornado WarningJANForrest, Lamar16 min
Mar 21, 3:28 PM CDTTornado WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar44 min
Mar 21, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston58 min
Mar 21, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson40 min
Mar 21, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBStone34 min
Mar 21, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jones39 min
Mar 21, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WarningJANJones36 min
Mar 21, 5:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin113 min
Mar 21, 5:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany2 hr
Mar 21, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WarningJANJasper44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 983 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 363 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
983 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
363 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
421 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.7
Supercell composite
10.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

401 
WWUS20 KWNS 211511
SEL7
SPC WW 211511
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-212300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 97
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1010 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST OF BOOTHVILLE
LOUISIANA TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 96. WATCH NUMBER 96 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1010
AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FROM NERN LA INTO SERN LA
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY EWD THIS AFTERNOON.  RADAR HAS
INDICATED A SERIES OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/LEWP STRUCTURES WITHIN THE
BAND...AND POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
AS THE LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WARMS AND SLOWLY MOISTENS.  VWP FROM
KLIX SHOWS 40-50 KT WINDS IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM THAT VEER WITH HEIGHT
RESULTING IN STRONG LOW LEVER SHEAR/SRN SUPPORTIVE OF  SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND  A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20035.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Vernon4 hr
Mar 20, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, Natchitoches, Vernon67 min
Mar 20, 10:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 17 more7 hr
Mar 21, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, Evangeline and 17 more118 min
Mar 21, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 19 more97 min
Mar 21, 5:04 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula and 33 more7 hr
Mar 21, 7:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, Avoyelles, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville and 10 more87 min
Mar 21, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 17 more95 min
Mar 21, 12:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany and 1 more86 min
Mar 21, 3:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Bernard88 min
Mar 21, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard35 min
Mar 21, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCPlaquemines, Saint Bernard9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.