Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 95

March 20, 2012Union County, Arkansas; 23 parishes in Louisiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 20, 2012, 10:59 PM CDT for Union County, Arkansas; 23 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 20, 2012, 10:59 PM CDT (03:59 UTC)
Expired
Mar 21, 2012, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Union County, AR, Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 12:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu, Vernon6 hr
Mar 21, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis62 min
Mar 21, 12:33 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis27 min
Mar 21, 1:26 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHJefferson Davis19 min
Mar 21, 1:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion59 min
Mar 21, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Jefferson Davis55 min
Mar 21, 1:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVUnion8 hr
Mar 21, 2:49 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVGrant, Winn26 min
Mar 21, 2:56 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHAllen, Jefferson Davis4 hr
Mar 21, 3:14 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVJackson, Winn46 min
Mar 21, 3:41 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCameron, Vermilion34 min
Mar 21, 4:04 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion26 min
Mar 21, 4:35 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHVermilion25 min
Mar 21, 4:44 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Vermilion31 min
Mar 21, 5:17 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHVermilion28 min
Mar 21, 5:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Vermilion56 min
Mar 21, 5:41 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVJackson, Winn34 min
Mar 21, 5:51 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHLafayette, Vermilion24 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2012-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 267 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2012-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
267 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1256 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

223 
WWUS20 KWNS 210355
SEL5  
SPC WW 210355
ARZ000-LAZ000-211100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1055 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EL
DORADO ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 94...

DISCUSSION...A NARROW ZONE OF VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR
EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST LA INTO CENTRAL AR.  ISOLATED CELLS CONTINUE
TO EXHIBIT TRANSIENT BUT STRONG MESOCYCLONES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES
AND DAMAGING WINDS.  DESPITE THE WEAK INSTABILITY...THE THREAT FOR
THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Desha, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence, Monroe and 4 more33 min
Mar 21, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley118 min
Mar 20, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Vernon4 hr
Mar 20, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, Natchitoches, Vernon67 min
Mar 21, 4:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 19 more97 min
Mar 21, 5:04 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula and 33 more7 hr
Mar 21, 7:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, Avoyelles, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville and 10 more87 min
Mar 21, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 17 more95 min
Mar 21, 10:07 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin, Jefferson, Lafourche and 17 more8 hr
Mar 21, 12:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany and 1 more86 min
Mar 21, 3:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Bernard88 min
Mar 21, 5:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard35 min
Mar 21, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCPlaquemines, Saint Bernard9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.