Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 95
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 20, 2012, 10:59 PM CDT for Union County, Arkansas; 23 parishes in Louisiana. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 20, 2012, 10:59 PM CDT (03:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 21, 2012, 6:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 24 counties
Union County, AR, Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 12:19 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Beauregard, Calcasieu, Vernon | 6 hr |
| Mar 21, 12:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis | 62 min |
| Mar 21, 12:33 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis | 27 min |
| Mar 21, 1:26 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Jefferson Davis | 19 min |
| Mar 21, 1:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion | 59 min |
| Mar 21, 1:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Allen, Jefferson Davis | 55 min |
| Mar 21, 1:52 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Union | 8 hr |
| Mar 21, 2:49 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Grant, Winn | 26 min |
| Mar 21, 2:56 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LCH | Allen, Jefferson Davis | 4 hr |
| Mar 21, 3:14 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Jackson, Winn | 46 min |
| Mar 21, 3:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Cameron, Vermilion | 34 min |
| Mar 21, 4:04 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Acadia, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion | 26 min |
| Mar 21, 4:35 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Vermilion | 25 min |
| Mar 21, 4:44 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Acadia, Vermilion | 31 min |
| Mar 21, 5:17 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Vermilion | 28 min |
| Mar 21, 5:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Acadia, Evangeline, Lafayette, Saint Landry, Vermilion | 56 min |
| Mar 21, 5:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Jackson, Winn | 34 min |
| Mar 21, 5:51 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | LCH | Lafayette, Vermilion | 24 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 267 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1256 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 145 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
223
WWUS20 KWNS 210355
SEL5
SPC WW 210355
ARZ000-LAZ000-211100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT TUE MAR 20 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1055 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EL
DORADO ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 94...
DISCUSSION...A NARROW ZONE OF VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR
EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST LA INTO CENTRAL AR. ISOLATED CELLS CONTINUE
TO EXHIBIT TRANSIENT BUT STRONG MESOCYCLONES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES
AND DAMAGING WINDS. DESPITE THE WEAK INSTABILITY...THE THREAT FOR
THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 9:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Desha, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence, Monroe and 4 more | 33 min |
| Mar 21, 2:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley | 118 min |
| Mar 20, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Vernon | 4 hr |
| Mar 20, 10:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, Natchitoches, Vernon | 67 min |
| Mar 21, 4:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge and 19 more | 97 min |
| Mar 21, 5:04 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 21, 7:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville and 10 more | 87 min |
| Mar 21, 9:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 17 more | 95 min |
| Mar 21, 10:07 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin, Jefferson, Lafourche and 17 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 21, 12:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany and 1 more | 86 min |
| Mar 21, 3:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Bernard | 88 min |
| Mar 21, 5:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 35 min |
| Mar 21, 6:02 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 9 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.