Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 427

June 25, 201251 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 25, 2012, 1:48 PM EDT for 51 counties in Florida. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2012, 1:48 PM EDT (17:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Collier County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Leon County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Wakulla County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 4:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTAELeon3 hr
Jun 25, 4:56 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTAEJefferson, Madison3 hr
Jun 25, 5:22 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyTAEFranklin, Liberty, Wakulla12 hr
Jun 25, 7:20 PM EDTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee, Polk25 min
Jun 25, 7:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTAELeon6 hr
Jun 25, 7:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTAEJefferson, Madison5 hr
Jun 25, 7:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTAEJefferson, Madison, Taylor6 hr
Jun 25, 9:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJAXDuval, Nassau, Saint Johns2 hr
Jun 25, 10:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJAXBaker, Bradford, Columbia, Hamilton, Suwannee, Union3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1113 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2012-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1113 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

272 
WWUS20 KWNS 251752
SEL7
SPC WW 251752
FLZ000-CWZ000-260300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       A LARGE PART OF FLORIDA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST
PALM BEACH FLORIDA TO 60 MILES NORTH OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 424. WATCH NUMBER 424 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
150 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 425...WW 426...

DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR/SRH EAST OF TS DEBBY REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS BASED ON VAD WIND PROFILES FROM AREA
RADARS...AND RADAR HAS SHOWN A FEW SMALL ROTATION
COUPLETS.ESPECIALLY EAST OF TLH...NE OF TPA...AND NE OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE DURING THE LAST HOUR.  ALTHOUGH LITTLE CG LIGHTNING IS
INDICATED ATTM...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SMALL SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP AS
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE BANDS ROTATE ONSHORE FROM THE ERN GULF.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19035.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 10:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Dixie and 20 more59 min
Jun 25, 12:46 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Dixie, Gilchrist and 14 more89 min
Jun 25, 4:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradford, Charlotte, Clay, Collier, DeSoto, Duval and 21 more83 min
Jun 25, 4:37 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto and 35 more9 hr
Jun 25, 12:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay, Dixie and 25 more54 min
Jun 25, 6:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus and 45 more63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.