Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 427
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 25, 2012, 1:48 PM EDT for 51 counties in Florida. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 25, 2012, 1:48 PM EDT (17:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 25, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Collier County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Leon County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Wakulla County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 30%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 4:42 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Leon | 3 hr |
| Jun 25, 4:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Jefferson, Madison | 3 hr |
| Jun 25, 5:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Franklin, Liberty, Wakulla | 12 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:20 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk | 25 min |
| Jun 25, 7:37 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Leon | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:49 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Jefferson, Madison | 5 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | TAE | Jefferson, Madison, Taylor | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 9:14 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAX | Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns | 2 hr |
| Jun 25, 10:39 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAX | Baker, Bradford, Columbia, Hamilton, Suwannee, Union | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1113 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 509 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 158 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
272
WWUS20 KWNS 251752
SEL7
SPC WW 251752
FLZ000-CWZ000-260300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PART OF FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST
PALM BEACH FLORIDA TO 60 MILES NORTH OF CROSS CITY FLORIDA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 424. WATCH NUMBER 424 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
150 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 425...WW 426...
DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR/SRH EAST OF TS DEBBY REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS BASED ON VAD WIND PROFILES FROM AREA
RADARS...AND RADAR HAS SHOWN A FEW SMALL ROTATION
COUPLETS.ESPECIALLY EAST OF TLH...NE OF TPA...AND NE OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE DURING THE LAST HOUR. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CG LIGHTNING IS
INDICATED ATTM...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SMALL SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP AS
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE BANDS ROTATE ONSHORE FROM THE ERN GULF.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19035.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 10:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Dixie and 20 more | 59 min |
| Jun 25, 12:46 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Dixie, Gilchrist and 14 more | 89 min |
| Jun 25, 4:07 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Charlotte, Clay, Collier, DeSoto, Duval and 21 more | 83 min |
| Jun 25, 4:37 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alachua, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto and 35 more | 9 hr |
| Jun 25, 12:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay, Dixie and 25 more | 54 min |
| Jun 25, 6:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus and 45 more | 63 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.