Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 338

June 1, 20126 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2012, 8:01 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2012, 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2012, 12:18 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 124 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Gates County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Atlantic County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 8:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIQueen Anne's41 min
Jun 1, 8:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICecil, Kent, Queen Anne's60 min
Jun 1, 8:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXHarford17 min
Jun 1, 8:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery44 min
Jun 1, 8:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Clinton, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata and 11 more58 min
Jun 1, 8:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster, York57 min
Jun 1, 8:50 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick12 min
Jun 1, 8:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Prince George's39 min
Jun 1, 8:55 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery35 min
Jun 1, 8:57 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQNorthampton33 min
Jun 1, 9:03 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBucks, Montgomery27 min
Jun 1, 9:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Queen Anne's, Talbot66 min
Jun 1, 9:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York5 hr
Jun 1, 10:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle65 min
Jun 1, 11:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh, Montgomery4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 497 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2012-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 289 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
497 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
289 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

260 
WWUS20 KWNS 020005
SEL8
SPC WW 020005
DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-020600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 338
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
       DELAWARE
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
       FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
       SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY
       SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF HARRISBURG
PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 333. WATCH NUMBER 333 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
800 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 332...WW 334...WW 335...WW 336...WW
337...

DISCUSSION...THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES AND DMGG WIND EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH MID-LATE EVE ACROSS WW AREA.  IT APPEARS THAT THIS
THREAT WILL REMAIN BIMODAL...WITH /1/ EPISODIC STRENGTHENING OF LOW
LVL MESOCYCLONES ASSOCIATED WITH SEMI-DISCRETE/BROKEN LINE
SEGMENTS/SHALLOW SUPERCELLS NOW OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION...AND
/2/ EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS ALONG FRONTAL/PRE-FRONTAL SQLN NOW
ENTERING WRN PORTIONS OF THE PA/MD/VA PIEDMONT.  CONTINUED LOW LVL
MOISTURE RETURN...AND STRENGTHENING OF LOW TO MID LVL WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE AMPLIFICATION/EWD ADVANCE OF UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...EXPECTED TO SOMEWHAT OFFSET NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION TO
MAINTAIN A RISK FOR SVR WEATHER INTO THE NIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2012Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.