Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1011

June 1, 201250 counties in North Carolina; 22 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 1, 2012, 4:31 PM EDT for 50 counties in North Carolina; 22 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2012, 4:31 PM EDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2012, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 72 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Wake County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Horry County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1203 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 87 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1203 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

679 
ACUS11 KWNS 012031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012031 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-012130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NC...SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334...

VALID 012031Z - 012130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN NC AND SC.

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL/THERMAL TROUGH AXIS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT MAY
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR STORMS INTO THE EVENING AS COLD
FRONT APPROACHES LATER TONIGHT. AIRMASS ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS
REMAINS MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS
THE REGION HAS INCREASED SINCE EARLIER TODAY. THUS...A FEW STORMS
ARE LIKELY TO EXHIBIT SUPERCELL STRUCTURE WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF
HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS. ACTIVITY ACROSS SRN PORTION
OF THE WATCH HAS STRUGGLED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY...PERHAPS DUE TO
LACK OF STRONGER LARGE SCALE FORCING ACROSS THIS PORTION OF THE
WATCH. WITH TIME...STRONG ASCENT WITH THE LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGH
MAY BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THIS AREA WITH A SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS.

..CARBIN.. 06/01/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   36278016 36207545 35577518 35237536 34987575 34537637
            34307738 33787786 33637846 32977897 32647940 32327994
            32538164 33228128 34528066 35478026 36098053 36278016

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 1:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 13 more87 min
Jun 1, 1:28 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more8 hr
Jun 1, 1:50 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Granville and 8 more7 hr
Jun 1, 1:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Chatham, Columbus, Craven and 23 more66 min
Jun 1, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret and 41 more8 hr
Jun 1, 3:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Forsyth, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 2 more55 min
Jun 1, 3:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGranville, Halifax, Northampton, Person, Vance, Warren56 min
Jun 1, 6:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Granville and 8 more2 hr
Jun 1, 7:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick and 40 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.