Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 273

May 10, 201254 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT for 54 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT (00:50 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Duval County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Frio County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Harris County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Milam County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Travis County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Washington County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

64 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPGoliad, Victoria54 min
May 10, 7:53 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, McMullen37 min
May 10, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, McMullen, Webb34 min
May 10, 7:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Webb2 hr
May 10, 8:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXHays, Travis, Williamson118 min
May 10, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Webb55 min
May 10, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPBee, Duval, Live Oak, McMullen2 hr
May 10, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak, San Patricio59 min
May 10, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXTravis, Williamson49 min
May 10, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, McMullen46 min
May 10, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPGoliad, Victoria64 min
May 10, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Nueces, San Patricio, Webb46 min
May 10, 9:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays3 hr
May 10, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPJim Wells, Nueces, San Patricio63 min
May 10, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio, Webb51 min
May 10, 9:34 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPSan Patricio41 min
May 10, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROZapata53 min
May 10, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces, San Patricio54 min
May 10, 10:22 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Nueces, San Patricio23 min
May 10, 10:28 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Refugio, San Patricio32 min
May 10, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROJim Hogg, Starr, Zapata71 min
May 10, 10:41 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Nueces, San Patricio34 min
May 10, 10:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Hays, Lee, Travis and 1 more4 hr
May 10, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio45 min
May 10, 10:53 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Refugio, San Patricio37 min
May 10, 10:56 PM CDTTornado WarningBROZapata34 min
May 10, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio47 min
May 10, 11:13 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPGoliad, Victoria32 min
May 10, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, Victoria61 min
May 10, 11:15 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun, Refugio30 min
May 10, 11:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXColorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton24 min
May 10, 11:24 PM CDTTornado WarningBROZapata36 min
May 10, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, Calhoun, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio13 min
May 10, 11:33 PM CDTTornado WarningBROJim Hogg, Starr42 min
May 10, 11:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningBROJim Hogg, Zapata84 min
May 10, 11:36 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPCalhoun24 min
May 10, 11:41 PM CDTTornado WarningBROJim Hogg, Zapata24 min
May 10, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr, Zapata76 min
May 10, 11:44 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPVictoria16 min
May 10, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXColorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton31 min
May 10, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXJackson, Matagorda46 min
May 11, 12:00 AM CDTTornado WarningCRPCalhoun45 min
May 11, 12:01 AM CDTTornado WarningBROJim Hogg29 min
May 11, 12:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal3 hr
May 11, 12:13 AM CDTTornado WarningBROBrooks, Jim Hogg47 min
May 11, 12:16 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXJackson, Matagorda44 min
May 11, 12:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPCalhoun24 min
May 11, 12:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXJackson, Matagorda, Wharton53 min
May 11, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, Webb34 min
May 11, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXMatagorda44 min
May 11, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROBrooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr, Willacy88 min
May 11, 1:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Matagorda, Wharton46 min
May 11, 1:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston27 min
May 11, 1:54 AM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty29 min
May 11, 1:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty63 min
May 11, 2:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXHays113 min
May 11, 2:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron41 min
May 11, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty60 min
May 11, 3:14 AM CDTTornado WarningBROCameron31 min
May 11, 3:41 AM CDTTornado WarningBROCameron, Willacy34 min
May 11, 3:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROHidalgo52 min
May 11, 4:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBROCameron38 min
May 11, 4:29 AM CDTTornado WarningBROCameron31 min
May 11, 4:47 AM CDTTornado WarningBROCameron28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2214 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2214 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
636 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.4
Supercell composite
14.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

346 
WWUS20 KWNS 110054
SEL3
SPC WW 110054
TXZ000-CWZ000-110800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTH-CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLLEGE
STATION TEXAS TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ALICE TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 271...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 272. WATCH
NUMBER 271 272 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 750 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORM AND TORNADO THREAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN AND SCNTRL TX TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW DEVELOPS EAST
FROM WEST TX AND BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL WLY FLOW SPREADS ACROSS
WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. GREATEST SHORT-TERM THREAT WILL BE ALONG
A OUTFLOW REINFORCED WARM FRONT FROM WEBB COUNTY EAST TO CRP/VCT
AREA. ANOTHER LINEAR BAND OF STORMS WITH LEWP/BOW STRUCTURES WILL
MOVE EAST INTO MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT STRONGLY SHEARED REGIME ALONG
I35 CORRIDOR FROM SAN ANTONIO NORTH TO BELL/MILAM COUNTIES. IN
ADDITION TO TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS...LARGE HAIL
AND EXTREME RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. EVOLVING COLD POOLS AND
PERSISTENT ASCENT WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER SYSTEM
SHOULD SUPPORT/MAINTAIN MCS AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WELL INTO
THE NIGHT PERHAPS AS FAR EAST AS WHARTON COUNTY AND AS FAR SOUTH AS
KENEDY COUNTY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar and 43 more57 min
May 10, 9:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 36 more63 min
May 10, 11:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Brooks, Calhoun, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jackson and 13 more84 min
May 11, 1:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brooks, Calhoun and 25 more65 min
May 11, 2:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron, Chambers, Galveston, Hidalgo, Jefferson, Kenedy and 3 more34 min
May 11, 1:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bosque, Camp, Cherokee, Collin, Cooke and 28 more53 min
May 11, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar and 41 more2 hr
May 11, 5:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco and 40 more87 min
May 11, 5:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBee, Brooks, Duval, Goliad, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg and 7 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.