Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 273
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT for 54 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT (00:50 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 54 counties
Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Duval County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Frio County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Harris County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Milam County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Travis County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Washington County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
64 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Goliad, Victoria | 54 min |
| May 10, 7:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Duval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, McMullen | 37 min |
| May 10, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, La Salle, McMullen, Webb | 34 min |
| May 10, 7:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Duval, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Webb | 2 hr |
| May 10, 8:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Hays, Travis, Williamson | 118 min |
| May 10, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, Webb | 55 min |
| May 10, 8:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | CRP | Bee, Duval, Live Oak, McMullen | 2 hr |
| May 10, 8:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Bee, Live Oak, San Patricio | 59 min |
| May 10, 8:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Travis, Williamson | 49 min |
| May 10, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, Jim Wells, McMullen | 46 min |
| May 10, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Goliad, Victoria | 64 min |
| May 10, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, Jim Wells, Nueces, San Patricio, Webb | 46 min |
| May 10, 9:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays | 3 hr |
| May 10, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Jim Wells, Nueces, San Patricio | 63 min |
| May 10, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio, Webb | 51 min |
| May 10, 9:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | San Patricio | 41 min |
| May 10, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Zapata | 53 min |
| May 10, 10:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio | 54 min |
| May 10, 10:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Aransas, Nueces, San Patricio | 23 min |
| May 10, 10:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio, San Patricio | 32 min |
| May 10, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg, Starr, Zapata | 71 min |
| May 10, 10:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Aransas, Nueces, San Patricio | 34 min |
| May 10, 10:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe, Hays, Lee, Travis and 1 more | 4 hr |
| May 10, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio | 45 min |
| May 10, 10:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Aransas, Refugio, San Patricio | 37 min |
| May 10, 10:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Zapata | 34 min |
| May 10, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Aransas, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio | 47 min |
| May 10, 11:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Goliad, Victoria | 32 min |
| May 10, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Goliad, Refugio, Victoria | 61 min |
| May 10, 11:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Refugio | 30 min |
| May 10, 11:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Colorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 24 min |
| May 10, 11:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Zapata | 36 min |
| May 10, 11:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Aransas, Calhoun, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio | 13 min |
| May 10, 11:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg, Starr | 42 min |
| May 10, 11:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg, Zapata | 84 min |
| May 10, 11:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Calhoun | 24 min |
| May 10, 11:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg, Zapata | 24 min |
| May 10, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Brooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr, Zapata | 76 min |
| May 10, 11:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Victoria | 16 min |
| May 10, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Colorado, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 31 min |
| May 10, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Jackson, Matagorda | 46 min |
| May 11, 12:00 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | CRP | Calhoun | 45 min |
| May 11, 12:01 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Jim Hogg | 29 min |
| May 11, 12:06 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar, Comal | 3 hr |
| May 11, 12:13 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Brooks, Jim Hogg | 47 min |
| May 11, 12:16 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Jackson, Matagorda | 44 min |
| May 11, 12:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Calhoun | 24 min |
| May 11, 12:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton | 53 min |
| May 11, 12:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CRP | Duval, Webb | 34 min |
| May 11, 12:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Matagorda | 44 min |
| May 11, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Brooks, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr, Willacy | 88 min |
| May 11, 1:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend, Matagorda, Wharton | 46 min |
| May 11, 1:33 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Galveston | 27 min |
| May 11, 1:54 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Harris, Liberty | 29 min |
| May 11, 1:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty | 63 min |
| May 11, 2:37 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Hays | 113 min |
| May 11, 2:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Cameron | 41 min |
| May 11, 3:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty | 60 min |
| May 11, 3:14 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Cameron | 31 min |
| May 11, 3:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Cameron, Willacy | 34 min |
| May 11, 3:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Hidalgo | 52 min |
| May 11, 4:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BRO | Cameron | 38 min |
| May 11, 4:29 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Cameron | 31 min |
| May 11, 4:47 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | BRO | Cameron | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2214 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 636 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 204 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 274 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.4
- Supercell composite
- 14.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
346
WWUS20 KWNS 110054
SEL3
SPC WW 110054
TXZ000-CWZ000-110800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT THU MAY 10 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLLEGE
STATION TEXAS TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ALICE TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 271...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 272. WATCH
NUMBER 271 272 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 750 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE STORM AND TORNADO THREAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN AND SCNTRL TX TONIGHT AS UPPER LOW DEVELOPS EAST
FROM WEST TX AND BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL WLY FLOW SPREADS ACROSS
WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. GREATEST SHORT-TERM THREAT WILL BE ALONG
A OUTFLOW REINFORCED WARM FRONT FROM WEBB COUNTY EAST TO CRP/VCT
AREA. ANOTHER LINEAR BAND OF STORMS WITH LEWP/BOW STRUCTURES WILL
MOVE EAST INTO MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT STRONGLY SHEARED REGIME ALONG
I35 CORRIDOR FROM SAN ANTONIO NORTH TO BELL/MILAM COUNTIES. IN
ADDITION TO TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS...LARGE HAIL
AND EXTREME RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. EVOLVING COLD POOLS AND
PERSISTENT ASCENT WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER SYSTEM
SHOULD SUPPORT/MAINTAIN MCS AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WELL INTO
THE NIGHT PERHAPS AS FAR EAST AS WHARTON COUNTY AND AS FAR SOUTH AS
KENEDY COUNTY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CARBINSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 7:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar and 43 more | 57 min |
| May 10, 9:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 36 more | 63 min |
| May 10, 11:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Brooks, Calhoun, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jackson and 13 more | 84 min |
| May 11, 1:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brooks, Calhoun and 25 more | 65 min |
| May 11, 2:41 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cameron, Chambers, Galveston, Hidalgo, Jefferson, Kenedy and 3 more | 34 min |
| May 11, 1:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bosque, Camp, Cherokee, Collin, Cooke and 28 more | 53 min |
| May 11, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar and 41 more | 2 hr |
| May 11, 5:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco and 40 more | 87 min |
| May 11, 5:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bee, Brooks, Duval, Goliad, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg and 7 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.