Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 215
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 30, 2012, 9:51 PM CDT for 25 counties in Oklahoma; Clay County, Wichita County, Wilbarger County, Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 30, 2012, 9:51 PM CDT (02:51 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2012, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 28 counties
Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Creek County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Clay County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Norman radar (KTLX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Hardeman, Wilbarger | 60 min |
| Apr 30, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Kiowa, Stephens and 2 more | 57 min |
| Apr 30, 11:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 1 more | 53 min |
| Apr 30, 11:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma | 43 min |
| Apr 30, 11:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 48 min |
| May 1, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Pottawatomie, Seminole | 34 min |
| May 1, 1:17 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2178 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1251 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 47 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 10.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
239
WWUS20 KWNS 010258
SEL5
SPC WW 010258
OKZ000-TXZ000-010700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
950 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
FORT SILL OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHANDLER OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 210...WW 211...WW
212...WW 213...WW 214...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL COMPLEX IN SW OK EXPECTED MOVE/DEVELOP E OR
ESE THROUGH EARLY TUE AS LLJ CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND SLIGHTLY
VEER IN RESPONSE TO PASSING UPR IMPULSE NOW OVER SW KS. QUALITY OF
MOISTURE...STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES...AND 30+ KT WLY 700 MB FLOW
SUGGEST A CONTINUED RISK FOR A FEW LOW LVL MESOS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO A CONTINUED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND AN
INCREASING RISK FOR DMGG WIND. FARTHER N...SUSTAINED MOIST SLY FLOW
SUGGESTS THAT OTHER STORMS MAY FORM SW OF CURRENT N CNTRL OK
SUPERCELL COMPLEX. IF THIS DOES OCCUR...THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE
MAINLY EWD...AFFECTING AREAS FROM ENID S AND SE INTO THE OKC AND
STILLWATER AREAS WITH LARGE HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS A COUPLE
TORNADOES BEFORE ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO AN MCS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 7:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Garfield, Grant and 11 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 30, 8:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland and 46 more | 65 min |
| Apr 30, 11:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 41 more | 92 min |
| May 1, 1:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Craig, Creek and 23 more | 56 min |
| May 1, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 3 hr |
| Apr 30, 9:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 33 more | 113 min |
| May 1, 5:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Crane, Crockett, Edwards, Kinney, Maverick and 5 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.