Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 216

May 1, 20124 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri; Adair County, Cherokee County, Delaware County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 1, 2012, 1:43 AM CDT for 4 counties in Arkansas; 9 counties in Missouri; Adair County, Cherokee County, Delaware County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2012, 1:43 AM CDT (06:43 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2012, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Madison County, AR, Washington County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Greene County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 1:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes53 min
May 1, 3:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Greene33 min
May 1, 3:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Webster, Wright35 min
May 1, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney34 min
May 1, 3:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington47 min
May 1, 4:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 202 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
202 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1176 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 7:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Washington7 hr
May 1, 1:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Washington56 min
Apr 30, 8:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Jasper65 min
Apr 30, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Jasper, Newton92 min
Apr 30, 9:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 19 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.