Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67

March 3, 20125 counties in Georgia; 25 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 3, 2012, 4:39 AM EST for 5 counties in Georgia; 25 counties in North Carolina; 23 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 3, 2012, 4:39 AM EST (09:39 UTC)
Expired
Mar 3, 2012, 9:00 AM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 53 counties

Burke County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Aiken County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Sumter County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 4:52 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Fairfield, Lexington, Newberry, Richland83 min
Mar 3, 5:23 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAECalhoun, Fairfield, Kershaw, Lancaster, Lexington, Orangeburg and 2 more67 min
Mar 3, 5:32 AM ESTTornado WarningCAEKershaw, Richland13 min
Mar 3, 5:55 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAECalhoun, Chesterfield, Clarendon, Kershaw, Lee, Orangeburg and 1 more80 min
Mar 3, 6:06 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMRobeson54 min
Mar 3, 8:16 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBurke44 min
Mar 3, 8:54 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBurke51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2012-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2012-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 442 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
518 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
442 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
585 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

241 
WWUS20 KWNS 030938
SEL7
SPC WW 030938
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-031400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 67
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EXTREME EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA
       CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
       CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 440 AM UNTIL 900 AM EST.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF
AUGUSTA GEORGIA TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCKY MOUNT NORTH
CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 65...WW 66...

DISCUSSION...A PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND IN SC EXTENDS NEWD ALONG
A RESIDUAL WEDGE FRONT INTO CENTRAL NC.  LOW-MIDLEVEL SHEAR REMAINS
STRONG OVER THE CAROLINAS WITH LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY WIND
PROFILES...BUT INSTABILITY IS WEAK.  THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL CONTINUE WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS GIVEN THE STRONG WIND
ENVIRONMENT...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 25050.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 2, 8:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatoosa, Dade, Fannin, Gilmer, Murray, Rabun and 4 more90 min
Mar 2, 8:18 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDade57 min
Mar 2, 9:36 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur, Dougherty and 6 more54 min
Mar 2, 10:54 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Butts, Carroll, Catoosa and 61 more6 hr
Mar 2, 11:07 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, DeKalb, Douglas and 13 more113 min
Mar 3, 12:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Cherokee, Clarke and 30 more95 min
Mar 3, 3:58 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Columbia, Glascock, Jefferson, Jenkins, Lincoln and 6 more92 min
Mar 3, 5:47 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt and 18 more58 min
Mar 3, 7:35 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 49 more6 hr
Mar 3, 10:12 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Berrien, Brantley, Brooks and 24 more93 min
Mar 3, 12:45 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Brooks, Camden, Charlton, Clinch, Echols and 3 more60 min
Mar 3, 1:04 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAtkinson, Brantley, Brooks, Camden, Charlton, Clinch and 12 more5 hr
Mar 3, 4:30 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlton90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Carolina, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Georgia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.