Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 620

September 5, 20128 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 5, 2012, 2:43 PM EDT for 8 counties in Indiana; 68 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 5, 2012, 2:43 PM EDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
Sep 5, 2012, 7:36 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 86 counties

Clark County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Mason County, KY, McLean County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Pike County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 5, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison28 min
Sep 5, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd32 min
Sep 5, 4:47 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKShelby18 min
Sep 5, 5:07 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNHamilton54 min
Sep 5, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd33 min
Sep 5, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Woodford31 min
Sep 5, 7:02 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMKMadison58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-09-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 746 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-09-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
746 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

901 
WWUS20 KWNS 051849
SEL0
SPC WW 051849
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-060300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 620
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       FAR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHEAST INDIANA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
       SOUTHWEST OHIO

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CINCINNATI OHIO TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 619...

DISCUSSION...STORMS IN SRN IND SQLN LINE SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY
EWD...WITH PREFERRED NEW DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO BE TOWARD THE S.
THIS MAY YIELD A ROUGHLY ESE OR SE OVERALL MCS MOTION. DIURNAL
HEATING...PRESENCE OF RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE AND EWD-MOVING MO/IL UPR
IMPULSE SUGGEST CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR SMALL BOWS WITH LOCALLY DMGG
WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. ISOLD STORMS MAY FORM AHEAD OF LINE IF
ELEVATED CONVECTION NOW OVER WRN KY ROOTS INTO THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...AND/OR OTHER STORMS FORM IN WEAKLY CONVERGENT LOW-LVL FLOW
OVER CNTRL KY/SE IND.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 4, 9:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLake, Porter5 hr
Sep 5, 10:04 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois, Gibson, Greene and 14 more86 min
Sep 5, 10:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 43 more6 hr
Sep 5, 2:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 25 more65 min
Sep 5, 3:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Calloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman and 2 more2 hr
Sep 5, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBallard, Calloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman and 3 more8 hr
Sep 5, 6:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Bath, Bourbon, Boyle, Casey and 28 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.