Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 483

July 9, 201251 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2012, 2:59 PM EDT for 51 counties in North Carolina; 27 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2012, 2:59 PM EDT (18:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2012, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 78 counties

Alamance County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Lee43 min
Jul 9, 3:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke34 min
Jul 9, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland33 min
Jul 9, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQChowan, Gates, Perquimans51 min
Jul 9, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Prince Edward53 min
Jul 9, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXPitt62 min
Jul 9, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham45 min
Jul 9, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Richmond56 min
Jul 9, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly49 min
Jul 9, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQPerquimans27 min
Jul 9, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort62 min
Jul 9, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Robeson40 min
Jul 9, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly50 min
Jul 9, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXTyrrell, Washington59 min
Jul 9, 5:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Nottoway, Prince Edward39 min
Jul 9, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Person, Vance49 min
Jul 9, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Robeson61 min
Jul 9, 7:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHGranville108 min
Jul 9, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax, Warren47 min
Jul 9, 7:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Guilford3 hr
Jul 9, 8:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGates23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1054 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1054 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-119 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1186 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 1:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 20 more89 min
Jul 9, 1:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Caswell, Chatham, Chowan and 35 more54 min
Jul 9, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more4 hr
Jul 9, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Chowan and 39 more87 min
Jul 9, 5:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Caswell, Davie, Forsyth, Guilford and 7 more97 min
Jul 9, 7:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 25 more88 min
Jul 9, 12:09 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Caroline, Clarke, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier and 21 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.