Severe Thunderstorm Warning 212, NWS Raleigh, NC

555 
WWUS52 KRAH 091909
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
309 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCC085-105-091945-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0212.000000T0000Z-120709T1945Z/
LEE NC-HARNETT NC-
309 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN HARNETT AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 304 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
OLIVIA...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANFORD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... BROADWAY...
TIMBERLAKE...ANDERSON CREEK AND LILLINGTON.

THIS INCLUDES US HIGHWAY 1 BETWEEN EXITS 69 AND 76.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF 
LIGHTNING...AT LEAST ONE CLOUD TO GROUND STRIKE EVERY 5 TO 10 
SECONDS. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. 
MANY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND 
GUSTY WINDS. IF YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A 
VEHICLE. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH 
TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT 
MONDAY EVENING FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3531 7918 3535 7927 3540 7929 3548 7936
      3554 7932 3555 7929 3553 7928 3557 7924
      3555 7922 3556 7920 3558 7920 3563 7912
      3553 7897 3544 7902 3541 7878 3523 7897
      3519 7908
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 253DEG 23KT 3537 7908

$$

DJF

725 
WWUS52 KRAH 091929
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
329 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCC085-105-091945-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0212.000000T0000Z-120709T1945Z/
LEE NC-HARNETT NC-
329 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN HARNETT AND LEE COUNTIES...

AT 327 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BROADWAY...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANFORD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... TIMBERLAKE...ANDERSON
CREEK AND LILLINGTON.

THIS INCLUDES US HIGHWAY 1 BETWEEN EXITS 69 AND 76.

MOST LIGHTNING STRIKES ENTER THE HOME THROUGH UTILITIES. AVOID USING
ANY DEVICES PLUGGED INTO A WALL INCLUDING CORDED PHONES...COMPUTERS
AND APPLIANCES. ALSO AVOID COMING IN CONTACT WITH RUNNING WATER FROM
SINKS...SHOWERS AND TUBS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3531 7918 3535 7927 3540 7929 3548 7936
      3554 7932 3555 7929 3553 7928 3557 7924
      3555 7922 3556 7920 3558 7920 3563 7912
      3553 7897 3544 7902 3541 7878 3523 7897
      3519 7908
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 253DEG 23KT 3540 7900

$$

DJF

727 
WWUS52 KRAH 091938
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
338 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCC085-105-091947-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0212.000000T0000Z-120709T1945Z/
LEE NC-HARNETT NC-
338 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN HARNETT AND LEE
COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 345 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND THE WARNING 
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

STILL...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINED OVER THE AREA...
PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. WHEN THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
NEARBY...STAY INDOORS AND REMAIN AWAY FROM WINDOWS. REMEMBER THAT 
TREES OFFER NO PROTECTION FROM LIGHTNING.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT 
MONDAY EVENING FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3531 7918 3535 7927 3540 7929 3548 7936
      3554 7932 3555 7929 3553 7928 3557 7924
      3555 7922 3556 7920 3558 7920 3563 7912
      3553 7897 3544 7902 3541 7878 3523 7897
      3519 7908
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 253DEG 23KT 3541 7894

$$

DJF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
236 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT STRETCHING EAST TO WEST ACROSS VIRGINIA WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY SOUTH TOWARD NORTH CAROLINA. THE FRONT WILL THEN STALL AND
LINGER OVER THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK... BRINGING
UNSETTLED WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 235 PM...

MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE WEAK TROUGH OVER NORTH
CAROLINA... ITS LOCATION AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY MINOR MESO LOWS.
DO NOT EXPECT TOO MUCH MOVEMENT OF THE TROUGH AND WILL BASE THE
FORECAST LOOSELY ON A MEAN TROUGH POSITION FROM CHARLOTTE NORTHEAST
TO ROCKY MOUNT DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

STILL EXPECTING CONVECTION TO INCREASE OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
AS THE DAY TURNS TO EVENING WITH BEST COVERAGE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS ON THE INCREASE TO
NEAR TWO INCHES BY TUESDAY... BUT LITTLE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS...
EXPECT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO MAXIMIZE LATE AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY
WANE TO ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AS MIDNIGHT APPROACHES. IF
CONVECTION INDEED ENDS LATE TONIGHT... EXPECT AN EARLIER START TO
CONVECTION WITH A NEARLY SATURATED AIR MASS. LIKELY POPS BY LATE
TUESDAY MORNING... THOUGH HIGHER NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE TROUGH.

SEVERE THREAT TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT CONTINUES WITH HIGH DOWNDRAFT
CAPE AND SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS IN MANY LOCATIONS EXCEEDING 25
DEGREES. SEVERE THREAT MUCH REDUCED FOR TUESDAY WITH MORE CLOUDS...
LOWER TEMPERATURES... AND MUCH LOWER CAPE.

LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DIP A BIT FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF
NIGHTS AS THE SURFACE TROUGH FILLS SLIGHTLY... LOWERING 1000 TO 850
MILLIBAR THICKNESSES. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL COMPENSATE FOR THIS
SOMEWHAT... WITH MOST LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S. AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WILL STRUGGLE
TO REACH 85 TO 90 DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 235 AM MONDAY...

THIS PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH...WHILE AT
THE SURFACE...A TROUGH/WEAKENING FRONT WILL BISECT THE REGION FROM
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BRING IN MOISTURE FROM
THE GULF AND/OR ATLANTIC AND LEAD TO PWAT VALUES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL
ALL RESULT IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS DURING
THE FAVORED DIURNAL HOURS...ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT THE PRECIP TO
COMPLETELY COME TO AN END DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH REGARDS
TO ANY SEVERE THREAT...THE DEEP LAYER FLOW...SHEAR AND MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE ALL FORECAST TO BE RATHER WEAK...THEREFORE AM NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...CANNOT RULE OUT A
FEW ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EACH AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...AS CAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST
TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 1500-2000 J/KG...HIGHEST ACROSS THE EAST. HIGH
TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...GENERALLY MID TO
UPPER 80S DUE TO THE CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIP CHANCES...WHILE THE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL HOVER AROUND 70
DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM MONDAY...

THE REMNANTS OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE NEAR
NON-EXISTENT AND NO HELP IN MOVING THE FRONT ONE WAY OR ANOTHER.
THEREFORE...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL EACH
DAY WITH THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME COINCIDING WITH PEAK HEATING
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES...A HIGH
PRESSURE OFF OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BEGINS TO TRY AND BUILD IN FROM
THE EAST. THIS COULD HELP EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA BEGIN TO DRY
OUT LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM THE MID 80S TO THE UPPER 80S BY
SUNDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT...UPPER 60S
TO NEAR 70 DEGREES.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 140 PM...

SHOWERS DEVELOPING SOUTH AND WEST OF HIGHWAYS 64 AND ONE. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND COVERAGE TO INCREASE
AND SPREAD OVER MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY LATE AFTERNOON.
IFR VISIBILITIES IN SHOWERS. STORMS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATE
EVENING AND BECOME SCATTERED TO ISOLATED AS MIDNIGHT APPROACHES.
SOME FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... ESPECIALLY WHERE SIGNIFICANT
RAIN FALLS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ALMOST ANYTIME
AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY... ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS... PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT... WITH CONVECTION DECREASING IN COVERAGE FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND MORE LIKELY TO BE CONFINED TO THE
AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR MVFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES LATE NIGHT TO JUST AFTER SUNRISE EACH NIGHT.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ042-043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...KRR
LONG TERM...RTE
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1038 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCZ042-043-073>078-083>086-088-089-101445-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1038 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60
MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STREET FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHERWISE... HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-101445-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
1038 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60
MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND
MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STREET FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHERWISE... HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
902 AM EDT MON JUL 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE AFTON              36.34N  78.21W
07/08/2012                   WARREN             NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR U.S. 401 AND PARKTOWN ROAD.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200589

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
904 AM EDT MON JUL 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW ANSONVILLE        35.07N  80.13W
07/08/2012                   ANSON              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 52 AND STATE ROAD 1637.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW WADESBORO         35.03N  80.09W
07/08/2012                   ANSON              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 52 AND STATE ROAD 1641.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

0635 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW DABNEY            36.36N  78.48W
07/08/2012                   VANCE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF GLEBE ROAD
            AND DABNEY ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE AFTON              36.34N  78.21W
07/08/2012                   WARREN             NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR U.S. 401 AND PARKTOWN ROAD.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200586 RAH1200587 RAH1200588 RAH1200589

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
116 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCZ074>077-084-086-091815-
HARNETT-HOKE-LEE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-RICHMOND-
116 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO POP UP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS HARNETT...RICHMOND...
MOORE...MONTGOMERY...LEE AND HOKE COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...TROY...ROBBINS... CARTHAGE...
CAMERON...SOUTHERN PINES... SANFORD...EAGLE SPRINGS...AND SEVEN
LAKES.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...

HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8005 3551 7937 3546 7883 3520 7905
      3519 7910 3513 7911 3495 7926 3498 7939
      3504 7946 3502 7953 3515 8004
TIME...MOT...LOC 1713Z 284DEG 10KT 3535 7974

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
157 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

NCZ039-040-074>077-084-086-088-091900-
CHATHAM-CUMBERLAND-HARNETT-HOKE-LEE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-RANDOLPH-
RICHMOND-
157 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2012

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES
HARNETT...RICHMOND...RANDOLPH...MOORE...MONTGOMERY...LEE...
CUMBERLAND...CHATHAM AND HOKE COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...CARTHAGE...
SOUTHERN PINES... WHISPERING PINES...SPRING LAKE...BUIES CREEK...

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 7872 3496 7878 3518 7991 3556 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 280DEG 11KT 3539 7881