Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 450

July 1, 20128 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 1, 2012, 4:49 PM MDT for 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 4:49 PM MDT (22:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 10:36 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Harding County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 5:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRFall River57 min
Jul 1, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence, Meade61 min
Jul 1, 7:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding66 min
Jul 1, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins60 min
Jul 1, 9:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 979 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -63 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
979 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-306 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1390 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 8:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlathead, Lake, Lincoln, Mineral, Missoula, Sanders2 hr
Jul 1, 2:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield and 10 more2 hr
Jul 1, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon and 13 more9 hr
Jul 1, 4:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Blaine, Broadwater, Carbon, Cascade, Chouteau and 19 more86 min
Jul 1, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaverhead, Blaine, Broadwater, Carbon, Cascade, Chouteau and 18 more6 hr
Jun 30, 6:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Fall River, Haakon, Jackson and 4 more86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.