Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406

June 18, 20125 counties in Michigan; 35 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2012, 1:24 PM EDT for 5 counties in Michigan; 35 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2012, 1:24 PM EDT (17:24 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2012, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Iron County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Schoolcraft County, MI, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Clark County, WI, Door County, WI, Florence County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Forest County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Portage County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 1:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDelta, Schoolcraft65 min
Jun 18, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTaylor31 min
Jun 18, 2:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLanglade, Lincoln, Oneida56 min
Jun 18, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDelta, Menominee52 min
Jun 18, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark46 min
Jun 18, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLincoln, Marathon46 min
Jun 18, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBForest, Langlade, Lincoln, Oconto47 min
Jun 18, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDelta, Schoolcraft45 min
Jun 18, 3:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon47 min
Jun 18, 4:22 PM EDTTornado WarningGRBMarathon23 min
Jun 18, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMenominee, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca47 min
Jun 18, 4:41 PM EDTTornado WarningGRBLanglade, Marathon, Menominee, Shawano34 min
Jun 18, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarinette31 min
Jun 18, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMenominee44 min
Jun 18, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon, Shawano42 min
Jun 18, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOutagamie, Portage, Shawano, Waupaca41 min
Jun 18, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarinette, Oconto47 min
Jun 18, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLanglade, Menominee, Shawano20 min
Jun 18, 5:19 PM EDTTornado WarningGRBMarinette, Oconto26 min
Jun 18, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBCalumet, Winnebago39 min
Jun 18, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Calumet, Manitowoc, Outagamie, Winnebago45 min
Jun 18, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBCalumet, Manitowoc, Winnebago37 min
Jun 18, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBManitowoc15 min
Jun 18, 8:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBManitowoc21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 67 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 382 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
67 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-387 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
382 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
524 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 10:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBranch, Calhoun, Eaton, Genesee, Hillsdale, Ingham and 13 more2 hr
Jun 18, 12:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Menominee2 hr
Jun 18, 1:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMonroe67 min
Jun 18, 4:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntrim, Benzie, Charlevoix, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet and 12 more85 min
Jun 18, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Charlevoix and 25 more6 hr
Jun 17, 8:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPierce, Polk, Saint Croix93 min
Jun 17, 8:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Barron, Buffalo, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark and 21 more8 hr
Jun 17, 11:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, La Crosse, Pierce, Trempealeau95 min
Jun 18, 2:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Columbia, Dunn and 22 more62 min
Jun 18, 3:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Kewaunee, Marinette, Menominee, Oconto and 5 more86 min
Jun 18, 7:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Door, Green Lake, Kewaunee, Manitowoc and 7 more60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.