Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 296

May 24, 201245 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 24, 2012, 3:30 PM CDT for 45 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2012, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2012, 7:47 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 51 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Richland County, WI, Sauk County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Franklin, Hardin45 min
May 24, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBremer, Butler, Grundy49 min
May 24, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Wayne49 min
May 24, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWinneshiek33 min
May 24, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBremer19 min
May 24, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek37 min
May 24, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Grundy, Tama50 min
May 24, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan36 min
May 24, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion, Poweshiek39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1568 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

966 
WWUS20 KWNS 242034
SEL6
SPC WW 242034
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 296
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT THU MAY 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
       EXTREME NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF LONEROCK WISCONSIN TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
OTTUMWA IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 295...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AN EWD MOVING COLD FRONT
OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS OF IA AND ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.  CONVECTION WILL BE MOVING INTO AN
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY SBCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG AND VERY
STRONG LOW AND MID LEVEL SHEAR.  LOW LEVEL INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS WILL
AID IN DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG DOWNDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN IA
WHERE DCAPE EXCEEDS 1000 J/KG.  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND OCCASIONAL
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 8:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass, Cherokee and 23 more94 min
May 24, 6:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Chickasaw, Clayton and 8 more57 min
May 24, 1:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 10 more116 min
May 24, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan and 38 more114 min
May 24, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Buchanan, Cedar and 24 more2 hr
May 24, 2:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Buffalo, Chippewa and 27 more5 hr
May 24, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Clark, Eau Claire, Florence, Forest, Iron and 15 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.