Alert archive / Wisconsin / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 295

May 24, 20125 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Minnesota; 33 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 24, 2012, 3:22 PM EDT for 5 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Minnesota; 33 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2012, 3:22 PM EDT (19:22 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2012, 8:43 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Baraga County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Washburn County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDunn30 min
May 24, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Houston, Winona48 min
May 24, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin57 min
May 24, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Houston, Winona33 min
May 24, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo, Jackson, Trempealeau29 min
May 24, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXEau Claire35 min
May 24, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWinona35 min
May 24, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXTaylor29 min
May 24, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPrice, Sawyer41 min
May 24, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark, Jackson49 min
May 24, 6:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClark, Taylor39 min
May 24, 6:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOneida, Vilas55 min
May 24, 7:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLincoln, Marathon, Wood24 min
May 24, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBLincoln, Marathon35 min
May 24, 8:03 PM EDTTornado WarningGRBMarathon27 min
May 24, 8:20 PM EDTTornado WarningGRBLanglade, Lincoln25 min
May 24, 8:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBForest, Langlade, Oneida29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
668 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

973 
WWUS20 KWNS 241926
SEL5
SPC WW 241926
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-LSZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 295
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT THU MAY 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN
       SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN WISCONSIN
       LAKE SUPERIOR

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LA
CROSSE WISCONSIN TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF IRONWOOD MICHIGAN.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ALONG A COLD FRONT FROM SRN MN INTO NRN IA IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING
FORCING AHEAD OF A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.  STORMS ARE LIKELY TO INTENSIFY INTO NWRN/WEST CENTRAL WI
THIS AFTERNOON AS A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW MOVES NNEWD ALONG A
PRE-EXISTING THERMAL GRADIENT...WITH ACTIVITY PROGRESSING EWD/NEWD
THROUGH THE EVENING.  ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS SOMEWHAT
MARGINAL...STRONG FORCING AND INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS WITH ATTENDANT THREATS FOR WIND DAMAGE AND A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 7:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIron57 min
May 24, 2:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic, Iron116 min
May 24, 6:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron2 hr
May 24, 4:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Grant, Iowa, Richland114 min
May 24, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Grant, Iowa, Lafayette, Richland, Sauk4 hr
May 24, 6:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Grant, Iowa, Lafayette, Richland, Sauk2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2012Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.