Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 975

May 30, 2012Cotton County, Tillman County, Oklahoma; 43 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 30, 2012, 2:43 AM CDT for Cotton County, Tillman County, Oklahoma; 43 counties in Texas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2012, 2:43 AM CDT (07:43 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2012, 4:15 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Cotton County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1364 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2060 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
7.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

950 
ACUS11 KWNS 300743
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300743 
TXZ000-OKZ000-300915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0975
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 AM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...0NRN/CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 320...

VALID 300743Z - 300915Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 320
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES...BUT APPEARS TO BE IN THE
PROCESS OF BECOMING INCREASINGLY ISOLATED...AND PRIMARILY IN THE
FORM OF LARGE HAIL.  LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE
HOWEVER ...AT LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.

DISCUSSION...07Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONGER 2 HOUR PRESSURE
RISES HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER...BUT THE ASSOCIATED MESO
HIGH ...CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...APPEARS TO BE IN THE
PROCESS OF GRADUALLY WEAKENING.  BROADER SCALE DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL PROBABLY IS DIMINISHING...BUT SCATTERED VIGOROUS
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES...ALONG/NORTH OF WAVES GENERATED
AHEAD OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING OUTFLOW...WHICH
COULD IMPACT THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS.  STRONGEST STORMS...WITH GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
HAIL...APPEAR TO BE ON THE WESTERN FLANK...PERHAPS ENHANCED BY THE
NOSE OF MODERATELY STRONG WEST CENTRAL/NORTHWEST TEXAS LOW-LEVEL
JET...GRADUALLY VEERING FROM SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY.

..KERR.. 05/30/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   34589850 33959781 33619706 33679627 33719551 33619468
            33139414 32289471 31909623 32219783 32789885 33319943
            34039964 34499920 34589850

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChoctaw, Creek, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, McIntosh and 11 more5 hr
May 29, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 32 more54 min
May 29, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Garvin and 10 more95 min
May 29, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 17 more62 min
May 30, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMcCurtain7 hr
May 30, 3:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeaver, Harmon5 hr
May 30, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Comanche, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 10 more88 min
May 30, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter and 37 more8 hr
May 29, 8:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Dallas, Denton, Hood, Jack, Johnson and 6 more96 min
May 30, 5:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Camp, Cherokee, Collin, Dallas, Denton and 28 more83 min
May 30, 2:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBriscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Donley and 8 more62 min
May 30, 4:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Eastland and 17 more83 min
May 30, 5:11 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBrown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 27 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.