Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 952

May 28, 201216 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2012, 11:25 PM CDT for 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 35 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2012, 11:25 PM CDT (04:25 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Mills County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Taylor County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1125 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1125 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1953 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

588 
ACUS11 KWNS 290426
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290425
TXZ000-290500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0952
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL THROUGH NCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 310...

VALID 290425Z - 290500Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 310
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORMS
FROM WCNTRL THROUGH NCNTRL TX...BUT THREAT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
MARGINAL. WW 310 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 05Z...AND ANOTHER WATCH
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE ALONG PROGRESSIVE PORTION OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OVER NCNTRL TX AS WELL AS FARTHER WEST WHERE STORMS ARE
DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC LIFT NORTH OF THE STATIONARY
PORTION OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. MOSTLY SUB-SEVERE WINDS REMAIN
LIKELY ALONG LEADING GUST FRONT IN NCNTRL TX WHILE HAIL IS MAIN
THREAT FARTHER WEST WITH ELEVATED STORMS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.
STORMS IN NCNTRL TX ARE MOVING TOWARD MORE STABLE AIR AND OVERALL
INTENSITIES SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE WITH TIME.

..DIAL.. 05/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   31569848 32599706 33689597 33129553 30999815 32250072
            32780003 31569848

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 7:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Coleman, Collin, Comanche, Concho and 18 more91 min
May 28, 9:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Cooke, Denton and 16 more55 min
May 29, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardeman, Wichita, Wilbarger84 min
May 29, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Wichita, Wilbarger12 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.