Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 852

May 20, 20126 counties in Michigan; 18 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 20, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT for 6 counties in Michigan; 18 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2012, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 24 counties

Baraga County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Portage County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 752 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2012-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
752 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

936 
ACUS11 KWNS 201958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201957
MIZ000-WIZ000-202200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0852
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN WI THROUGH THE WRN UPPER PENINSULA OF
MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 285...

VALID 201957Z - 202200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 285
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN A THREAT
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS MOVING THROUGH NERN WI AND THE WRN PORTIONS
OF THE UPPER MI PENINSULA INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF LINES OF STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING FROM
NRN WI INTO THE UPPER MI PENINSULA ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
AND WITHIN ZONE OF DEEPER ASCENT ASSOCIATED EJECTING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. THE DOWNSTREAM ATMOSPHERE REMAINS MODESTLY UNSTABLE WITH
1000 J/KG MLCAPE...25-30F NEAR SFC TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS AND
SUFFICIENT /35-40 KT/ VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SOME OF THE UPDRAFTS TO
DEVELOP MID LEVEL ROTATION. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL PROMOTE A THREAT
OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL.. 05/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX...

LAT...LON   46638726 44868737 43838808 43878992 45668973 47028868
            46638726

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 11:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Iron113 min
May 20, 1:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Marquette and 2 more7 hr
May 20, 2:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dane, Dodge, Green, Jefferson, Kenosha and 4 more118 min
May 20, 4:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWalworth, Waukesha85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.