Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 76

January 26, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 26, 2012, 2:16 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 26, 2012, 2:16 PM CST (20:16 UTC)
Expired
Jan 26, 2012, 4:15 PM CST
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 132 counties

Barbour County, AL, Dale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Lee County, AL, Russell County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Leon County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Baldwin County, GA, Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Butts County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clay County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Cook County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Decatur County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Early County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Grady County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Harris County, GA, Hart County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, Marion County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Troup County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Chester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 254 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
555 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

284 
ACUS11 KWNS 262017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262016
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-262215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0076
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 PM CST THU JAN 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...GA...NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 262016Z - 262215Z

ONE OR TWO ADDITIONAL WWS MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN
GULF STATES AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS REGION BETWEEN NOW AND 00-01Z.

THE SQUALL LINE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS WEAKENED SOME.  HOWEVER...IT APPEARS
TO BE MAINTAINING SUFFICIENT STRENGTH TO CONTINUE SUPPORTING A RISK
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/ISOLATED TORNADOES AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION BY
23-00Z.

FARTHER NORTH...MORE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING LONGER TERM CONVECTIVE
TRENDS EXISTS.  BUT THERE STILL APPEARS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
INTENSIFICATION OF CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  MORE
RAPID DEEPENING OF A SURFACE LOW NOW LIFTING OUT OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES TOWARD CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY WILL
LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF SOUTHERLY 850 MB
FLOW IN EXCESS OF 50-60 KTS...WHICH WILL ENLARGE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE RESIDUAL EASTWARD ADVANCING
CONVECTIVE BAND.  THE INTERSECTION OF THIS CONVECTION WITH A REMNANT
NEAR SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
COULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ENHANCED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.  THIS
MAY INCLUDE SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES...NEAR/NORTH OF ATLANTA INTO
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AS THE REMNANTS OF AN UPSTREAM LOW BEGIN
LIFTING THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY 00-03Z.

..KERR.. 01/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON   29028616 30478583 31358574 32868530 33948523 34308412
            35038236 34948139 34518075 33278202 32148277 30128402
            29318464 29028616

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 26, 2:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Jan 26, 4:18 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more7 hr
Jan 26, 7:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more91 min
Jan 26, 9:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 24 more86 min
Jan 26, 9:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler and 34 more7 hr
Jan 26, 5:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 5 more55 min
Jan 26, 3:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCDixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon and 4 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.