Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 17
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 26, 2012, 4:18 AM CST for 9 counties in Alabama; 11 parishes in Louisiana; 15 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 26, 2012, 4:18 AM CST (10:18 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 26, 2012, 10:59 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 35 counties
Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 6:00 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard | 107 min |
| Jan 26, 7:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Plaquemines | 33 min |
| Jan 26, 7:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 47 min |
| Jan 26, 7:37 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Plaquemines | 23 min |
| Jan 26, 7:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Perry | 54 min |
| Jan 26, 7:56 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest | 19 min |
| Jan 26, 8:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Harrison | 38 min |
| Jan 26, 8:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 19 min |
| Jan 26, 8:20 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 115 min |
| Jan 26, 8:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | George, Stone | 39 min |
| Jan 26, 8:37 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison, Jackson | 53 min |
| Jan 26, 8:42 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Wayne | 63 min |
| Jan 26, 8:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Washington | 49 min |
| Jan 26, 9:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke | 40 min |
| Jan 26, 9:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Washington | 38 min |
| Jan 26, 9:20 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Washington | 40 min |
| Jan 26, 9:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 794 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 544 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 235 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.9
- Supercell composite
- 4.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
378
WWUS20 KWNS 261031
SEL7
SPC WW 261031
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-261800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
420 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 420 AM UNTIL NOON CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ALONG REMNANT SSW-NNE PRE-FRONTAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH SE LA /JUST W OF
NEW ORLEANS/ INTO SRN MS EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AS COLD FRONT OVERTAKES ACTIVITY. ACCELERATION OF
COLD FRONT REFLECTS APPROACH OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ATTENDANT TO
EJECTING NE TX UPR LOW. INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT PROVIDED BY
THE TROUGH MAY ALSO FOSTER STORM DEVELOPMENT.
COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING DEEP WIND FIELD...CONTINUED LOW LVL
MOISTURE INFLOW...AND...LATER THIS MORNING...SFC HEATING...COULD
SUPPORT BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS CONTAINING A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS. IN ADDITION...A FEW DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS
MAY FORM IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL LINE
SEGMENTS. GIVEN RICH MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND 40-50 KT 850-700 MB
FLOW...SETUP MAY YIELD LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES IN ADDITION
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mobile, Washington | 2 hr |
| Jan 26, 7:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more | 91 min |
| Jan 26, 9:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 24 more | 86 min |
| Jan 26, 9:55 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler and 34 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 26, 2:16 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Dale, Henry, Houston, Lee, Russell | 119 min |
| Jan 26, 5:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 5 more | 55 min |
| Jan 25, 8:23 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 16 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.