Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 17

January 26, 20129 counties in Alabama; 11 parishes in Louisiana; 15 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 26, 2012, 4:18 AM CST for 9 counties in Alabama; 11 parishes in Louisiana; 15 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 26, 2012, 4:18 AM CST (10:18 UTC)
Expired
Jan 26, 2012, 10:59 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 26, 6:00 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard107 min
Jan 26, 7:12 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPlaquemines33 min
Jan 26, 7:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar47 min
Jan 26, 7:37 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXPlaquemines23 min
Jan 26, 7:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBPerry54 min
Jan 26, 7:56 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest19 min
Jan 26, 8:07 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXHarrison38 min
Jan 26, 8:09 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones19 min
Jan 26, 8:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest, Jones, Lamar115 min
Jan 26, 8:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Stone39 min
Jan 26, 8:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson53 min
Jan 26, 8:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne63 min
Jan 26, 8:56 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw, Washington49 min
Jan 26, 9:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke40 min
Jan 26, 9:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWashington38 min
Jan 26, 9:20 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBWashington40 min
Jan 26, 9:33 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-01-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 794 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-01-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 225 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
794 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
544 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

378 
WWUS20 KWNS 261031
SEL7
SPC WW 261031
ALZ000-FLZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-261800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
420 AM CST THU JAN 26 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
       WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
       SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
       SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 420 AM UNTIL NOON CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ALONG REMNANT SSW-NNE PRE-FRONTAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH SE LA /JUST W OF
NEW ORLEANS/ INTO SRN MS EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AS COLD FRONT OVERTAKES ACTIVITY.  ACCELERATION OF
COLD FRONT REFLECTS APPROACH OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ATTENDANT TO
EJECTING NE TX UPR LOW. INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT PROVIDED BY
THE TROUGH MAY ALSO FOSTER STORM DEVELOPMENT.
COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING DEEP WIND FIELD...CONTINUED LOW LVL
MOISTURE INFLOW...AND...LATER THIS MORNING...SFC HEATING...COULD
SUPPORT BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS CONTAINING A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS.  IN ADDITION...A FEW DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS
MAY FORM IN CONFLUENT LOW LVL FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL LINE
SEGMENTS.  GIVEN RICH MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND 40-50 KT 850-700 MB
FLOW...SETUP MAY YIELD LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES IN ADDITION
TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 26, 2:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Jan 26, 7:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Escambia, Mobile and 3 more91 min
Jan 26, 9:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 24 more86 min
Jan 26, 9:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler and 34 more7 hr
Jan 26, 2:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Dale, Henry, Houston, Lee, Russell119 min
Jan 26, 5:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 5 more55 min
Jan 25, 8:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 16 more97 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.