Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 490

April 11, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 11, 2012, 2:05 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 25 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2012, 2:05 PM MDT (20:05 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2012, 2:30 PM MDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
All 22 counties

Las Animas County, CO, Union County, NM, Cimarron County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Moore County, TX, Potter County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 676 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
676 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-107 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1126 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

482 
ACUS11 KWNS 112005
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112005 COR
OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-112030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0305 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO INTO THE TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 112005Z - 112030Z

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHICAL ERROR

COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS SERN CO INTO
THE TX PANHANDLE. ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE THE
PREDOMINANT THREAT...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. A WW
MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

THE EARLIER STRATUS LAYER HAS ERODED...WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE
SUPPORTING A GRADUAL EROSION OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS A
GENERALLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. A RECENT INCREASE IN VERTICAL
DEVELOPMENT OF CUMULUS HAS BEEN NOTED ON VARIOUS 1915Z SATELLITE
IMAGES AND SUPPORTING RADAR IMAGERY. SEVERAL SURFACE
BOUNDARIES/AREAS OF CONVERGENCE ARE SUPPORTING AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WITH UPSLOPE WINDS CLOSER TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THAT HAS BEEN
REINFORCED BY DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...AND A SUBTLE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AS WELL. SEVERAL SMALLER UPPER DISTURBANCES ARE
LIKELY BOLSTERING THIS CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WITH THE LARGER SCALE
RIDGE OVER THE AREA...STORMS HAVE CURRENTLY BEEN SLOW TO BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE AND WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL SHEAR.
WITH TIME...DEEP LAYER WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN WITH THE APPROACH OF AN
UPPER TROUGH...WITH STRENGTHENING IN LOW-LEVEL SELYS AS WELL. AS A
RESULT...ROTATING STORMS MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE LATER
TODAY.

..HURLBUT.. 04/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON   34270016 34960173 35650308 36810401 37610457 37730376
            36660175 35840051 35079943 34509939 34270016

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 1:05 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Fremont, Huerfano and 3 more115 min
Apr 11, 2:11 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Las Animas, Otero, Prowers7 hr
Apr 11, 5:08 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca97 min
Apr 11, 1:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEddy, Otero97 min
Apr 11, 2:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 6 more6 hr
Apr 11, 5:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Harding and 5 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.