Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 412

April 2, 201233 parishes in Louisiana; 11 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 2, 2012, 9:57 AM CDT for 33 parishes in Louisiana; 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2012, 9:57 AM CDT (14:57 UTC)
Expired
Apr 2, 2012, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 44 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3588 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3588 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

695 
ACUS11 KWNS 021457
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021457 
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-021600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0412
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0957 AM CDT MON APR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX INTO SWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 021457Z - 021600Z

MCS CROSSING THE UPPER TX COAST/SABINE RIVER VALLEY ATTM IS EXPECTED
TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WIND/HAIL
POTENTIAL FORECAST TO INCREASE.  WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED IN THE
NEXT HOUR.

LATEST RADAR SHOWS A BOWING LINE OF STORMS AT THE LEADING EDGE OF AN
ONGOING MCS MOVING ENEWD ALONG THE TX COAST ATTM.  AIRMASS HEAD OF
THE CONVECTION IS QUITE UNSTABLE...WITH LOW 70S DEWPOINTS BENEATH
STEEP MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES YIELDING OVER 3000 J/KG
MIXED-LAYER CAPE ACROSS SRN LA AND VICINITY.  AS DAYTIME HEATING OF
THE CLOUD-FREE BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES --
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION WILL FURTHER SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF
THE ONGOING STORMS.

WHILE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...THE
WELL-ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE MCS AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL -- WITH 40
KT REAR INFLOW JET NOTED ON KHGZ /HOUSTON TX/ WSR-88D VWP SUGGESTS
CONTINUED FORWARD PROPAGATION OF THE SYSTEM -- WITH DAMAGING GUSTS
INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS STORMS INTENSIFY THROUGH THE MORNING.

..GOSS.. 04/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   29589349 30689497 31759533 32549308 31829192 29539043
            29249127 29589349

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 10:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 31 more7 hr
Apr 2, 12:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier and 49 more90 min
Apr 2, 12:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClaiborne, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union, Webster6 hr
Apr 2, 12:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll and 25 more7 hr
Apr 2, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion117 min
Apr 2, 3:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Carroll, East Feliciana, Livingston, Madison, Morehouse, Orleans and 9 more2 hr
Apr 2, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany54 min
Apr 2, 5:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fayette, Fort Bend and 13 more2 hr
Apr 2, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Childress, Collingsworth, Foard, Hardeman, Hemphill and 7 more2 hr
Apr 2, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more7 hr
Apr 2, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 17 more54 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.