Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 335

March 23, 201218 counties in Illinois; Des Moines County, Lee County, Iowa; 20 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 23, 2012, 1:58 PM CDT for 18 counties in Illinois; Des Moines County, Lee County, Iowa; 20 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2012, 1:58 PM CDT (18:58 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2012, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 40 counties

Des Moines County, IA, Lee County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, Madison County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Warren County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
997 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

526 
ACUS11 KWNS 231859
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231858
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-232100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0335
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NORTHEAST MO TO WEST-CENTRAL IL/EXTREME
SOUTHEAST IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 231858Z - 232100Z

THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON FOR FUNNELS AND PERHAPS A
BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN...IN ADDITION TO MAINLY SUB-SEVERE HAIL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST MO TO WEST-CENTRAL IL/PERHAPS
FAR SOUTHEAST IA. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

WITH A COLD /-26C AT 500 MB/ AND NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED CYCLONE
NOW CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MO...A ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE IS OBSERVED TO BE ARCING FROM CENTRAL/NORTHEAST MO INTO
WEST-CENTRAL IL ATTENDANT TO A WEAK SURFACE LOW. IN THIS REGION...A
DEEPENING LOW-TOPPED CUMULUS FIELD IS NOTED PER VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY AS CINH HAS QUICKLY ERODED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT PARTICULARLY MOIST /UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS/...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE DOES EXIST IN THE PRESENCE
OF STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A VORTICITY-RICH ENVIRONMENT
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LOW-TOPPED TSTMS WITH FUNNELS/SMALL HAIL AND
POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN.

..GUYER.. 03/23/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...

LAT...LON   38619262 39209263 39889237 40609186 40949152 41269083
            40948990 39949003 38758989 38659070 38309166 38619262

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 23, 9:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 20 more119 min
Mar 23, 11:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 36 more7 hr
Mar 23, 1:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Edwards and 10 more62 min
Mar 23, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Douglas and 9 more58 min
Mar 23, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFord, Iroquois, Kankakee4 hr
Mar 23, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 18 more32 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.