Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 220

March 2, 201236 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 2, 2012, 6:13 PM EST for 36 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 2, 2012, 6:13 PM EST (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Mar 2, 2012, 7:15 PM EST
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 36 counties

Bath County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Carter County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1876 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

513 
ACUS11 KWNS 022313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022313 
WVZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-030015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY INTO EXTREME SRN OH AND WRN WV

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 58...62...

VALID 022313Z - 030015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 58...62...CONTINUES.

DAMAGING TORNADO OUTBREAK UNDERWAY ACROSS ERN KY WITH SEVERAL
SUPERCELLS LIKELY CONTAINING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. SUPERCELL
OVER MORGAN COUNTY KY IS MOVING INTO LAWRENCE COUNTY AND LIKELY
CONTAINS A VERY DAMAGING TORNADO. THIS STORM SHOULD EVENTUALLY
CONTINUE EWD INTO WAYNE COUNTY WV.

SUPERCELLS MOVING THROUGH ERN KY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AN
ENVIRONMENT VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES AS THE
LLJ STRENGTHENS TO IN EXCESS OF 60 KT. LAST VWP DATA FROM JACKSON KY
INDICATE VERY LARGE 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS WITH STORM RELATIVE HELICITY
ON THE ORDER OF 800 M2/S2 AND 500 J/KG MLCAPE. THESE PARAMETERS
ALONG WITH THE DISCRETE NATURE OF THE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE A THREAT OF TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL.. 03/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   36878526 37968444 38708275 37538224 36688402 36878526

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 2, 4:40 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Casey, Clinton and 20 more65 min
Mar 2, 10:22 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler and 32 more113 min
Mar 2, 10:54 AM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more6 hr
Mar 2, 11:30 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Boyd, Bracken, Campbell, Carter and 12 more90 min
Mar 2, 12:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, McCreary, Whitley29 min
Mar 2, 1:02 PM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Boone and 68 more8 hr
Mar 2, 1:05 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Boone and 63 more85 min
Mar 2, 3:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bell and 93 more85 min
Mar 2, 4:19 PM ESTTornado Watch PDSSPCBell, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Clay, Elliott and 18 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.