Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1840

August 30, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 30, 2012, 12:57 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2012, 12:57 PM CDT (17:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2012, 2:30 PM CDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 54 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Washington Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2012-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 107 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2012-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 473 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
107 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
501 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
473 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
650 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

027 
ACUS11 KWNS 301758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301757
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-301930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1840
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MS...SERN LA...SWRN AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 597...

VALID 301757Z - 301930Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 597 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GREATEST TORNADO THREAT MAY BEGIN TO SHIFT WEST INTO ERN
MS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS ISAAC DRIFTS INTO NWRN LA.

DISCUSSION...REMNANTS OF ISAAC CONTINUE TO DRIFT WNWWD ACROSS NCNTRL
LA WITH CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR THE CALDWELL/OUACHITA/JACKSON
PARISH BORDER.  OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS DISTINCT BREAKS IN CLOUD
COVER HAVE DEVELOPED OVER ERN MS ALONG WRN FRINGE OF STRONGEST N-S
CONVECTIVE BANDS.  WHILE THE N-S CONVECTIVE BANDS HAVE STRUGGLED TO
PROPAGATE WEST INTO THIS REGION NEW CONVECTION MAY ULTIMATELY EVOLVE
OVER ERN MS WHERE ENHANCED BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING IS OCCURRING.
EARLIER THIS MORNING MULTIPLE DISTINCT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WERE
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE N-S BAND ALONG THE MS/AL BORDER BUT THIS
ACTIVITY HAS RECENTLY WANED IN INTENSITY.  THERE IS REASON TO
BELIEVE STRONGER SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT INTO THE
AFOREMENTIONED CORRIDOR OF MS AS ISAAC SHIFTS WEST AND AIRMASS HEATS
SLIGHTLY DUE TO BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER.

..DARROW.. 08/30/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   33499062 32298652 29558652 30749063 33499062

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington84 min
Aug 29, 11:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile, Washington84 min
Aug 29, 11:42 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMobile, Washington8 hr
Aug 30, 3:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 7 more117 min
Aug 30, 6:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh and 13 more117 min
Aug 30, 7:13 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh and 15 more9 hr
Aug 30, 3:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCChoctaw, Greene, Sumter, Washington6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.