Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1707

August 5, 201216 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 5, 2012, 12:06 PM EDT for 16 counties in New York; 11 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2012, 12:06 PM EDT (16:06 UTC)
Expired
Aug 5, 2012, 1:30 PM EDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 27 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Cameron County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-08-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 128 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-08-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 177 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
128 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-41 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1179 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 12:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung, Cortland and 20 more6 hr
Aug 5, 2:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Delaware, Dutchess and 10 more86 min
Aug 5, 4:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Clinton, Cortland, Essex, Franklin, Fulton and 13 more84 min
Aug 5, 6:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Putnam, Queens and 4 more2 hr
Aug 4, 10:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer119 min
Aug 5, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Dauphin, Delaware and 9 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.