Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1430

July 7, 20125 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 7, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2012, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 93 counties

Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Ashland County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Ohio County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 238 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 294 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
294 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-135 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1026 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
149 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 11:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 7, 11:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region7 hr
Jul 7, 1:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jul 7, 5:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland and 14 more62 min
Jul 7, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 9 more3 hr
Jul 7, 1:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCattaraugus57 min
Jul 7, 2:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Guernsey and 13 more5 hr
Jul 7, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Tuscarawas3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.