Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1348

July 1, 201246 counties in North Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 1, 2012, 7:04 PM EDT for 46 counties in North Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 7:04 PM EDT (23:04 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 52 counties

Alamance County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, City of Danville, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2962 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2962 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-200 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1419 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

758 
ACUS11 KWNS 012305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012304
NCZ000-VAZ000-020000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0604 PM CDT SUN JUL 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NC/VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 442...

VALID 012304Z - 020000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 442
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR THREAT ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTIONS OF WW 442
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH DURING THE NEXT HOUR...AND ANY REMAINING
VALID PARTS OF THE WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 0000Z.

DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND NOCTURNAL
STABILIZATION SHOULD ALLOW THE SVR THREAT TO DIMINISH DURING THE
NEXT HOUR. THUS...THE SHORT-TERM SVR THREAT WILL SUBSIDE...AND ANY
REMAINING VALID PARTS OF THE WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 0000Z.

..COHEN.. 07/01/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON   34617548 35368016 37028016 36377539 34617548

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 9:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Forsyth, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more63 min
Jul 1, 9:44 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more5 hr
Jul 1, 11:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Caldwell and 12 more97 min
Jul 1, 12:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret and 51 more7 hr
Jul 1, 1:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Anson, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Catawba and 24 more96 min
Jul 1, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland, Columbus and 12 more9 hr
Jul 1, 2:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 37 more97 min
Jul 1, 4:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Duplin, New Hanover, Pender and 3 more90 min
Jul 1, 7:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus, Cleveland, Columbus and 14 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.