Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1189

June 16, 201212 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 16, 2012, 3:38 PM CDT for 12 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Iowa; 16 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2012, 3:38 PM CDT (20:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2012, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Knox County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Adair County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 208 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2012-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
208 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
515 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

576 
ACUS11 KWNS 162038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162038 
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-162215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...SERN IA AND WRN/NWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400...

VALID 162038Z - 162215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FROM NRN MO...SERN IA INTO WRN AND NWRN
IL.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH COMPACT
VORT MAX FROM SRN IA INTO NRN MO AS WELL AS FARTHER EAST ALONG
CONFLUENCE AXIS IN NWRN IL. MORE ROBUST STORMS WILL REMAIN IN
VICINITY OF THE PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM 35-40
KT IS SUFFICIENT FOR ACTIVITY TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
WITH POTENTIAL FOR FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP MID LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION
AND EVOLVE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH
INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NERN MO...SERN IA INTO NRN IL DURING THE
EVENING.

..DIAL.. 06/16/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   40059445 41509209 42228951 40388985 39269430 40059445

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 12:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock and 13 more63 min
Jun 16, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 23 more6 hr
Jun 16, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Henry, Kane and 10 more95 min
Jun 16, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy and 12 more6 hr
Jun 16, 11:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Marion and 7 more95 min
Jun 16, 12:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Davis and 12 more5 hr
Jun 16, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 32 more84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.