Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 30, 2012Coleman County, Concho County, Runnels County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2012, 6:14 PM CDT for Coleman County, Concho County, Runnels County, Texas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2012, 6:14 PM CDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS San Angelo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Runnels County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 5:11 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1761 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 3:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 3:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
347 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

.SHORT TERM...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS INCREASING CONVERGENCE ALONG A SHARP
DRYLINE THAT EXTENDS FROM CLARENDON SOUTH TO STERLING CITY.
CONVERGENCE WAS ALSO INCREASING BETWEEN THE DRYLINE AND THE GRAVITY
WAVES/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  CAPE VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO 4000J/KG
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.  THIS HIGH CAPE EXTENDS SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY.  SFC-6KM BULK SHEAR WAS AROUND 50KTS AS A
JET STREAK APPROACHES WC TX.  THESE INGREDIENTS COULD SET THE STAGE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
ANY RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELLS COULD BECOME TORNADIC AS THEY ENCOUNTER
THE LOW LEVEL BACKED FLOW AND THE N/S ORIENTED GRAVITY WAVES.

THE PRIMARY CONVECTION WAS FORMING NEAR CHILDRESS WHICH SHOULD
EVENTUALLY MOVE SOUTHEAST AS AN MCS TOWARDS THE BIG COUNTRY.  OTHER
NEW CONVECTION COULD FORM ANYTIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
THE BIG COUNTRY AND NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY.

THE CAP WAS STRONGEST ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WEST.  TOWERING CUMULUS
ARE DEVELOPING BETWEEN THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND THE DRYLINE WHERE
THE CAPE VALUES ARE THE HIGHEST.  SOME OF THE CU EVEN EXTENDS SOUTH
INTO TOM GREEN COUNTY AND TO BRADY.  HAVE ADDED 20 POPS IN THAT AREA
AND HAVE RAISED THE POPS TO 40 ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.

MAIN THREATS TONIGHT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE.

FOR THURSDAY...
COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE BIG COUNTRY DURING THE
MORNING AND WILL LIKELY TRIGGER THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF
OF THE REGION TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  MODELS HAVE SLOWED THE FRONT SOME
AND THIS COULD ALLOW TIME FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE SOUTH OF
THE FRONT.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY FOR SURFACE BASED CAPES
AT 3000 J/KG.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

26

.LONG TERM...
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 THURSDAY
NIGHT. MODELS INDICATE A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES...AND HAVE 30-40 POPS ACROSS THAT AREA. SOME CLOUD COVER
WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY ACROSS OUR AREA...HELPING TO CONFINE HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO THE MID/UPPER 80S.

UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHERNN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES SATURDAY WILL
SHIFT EAST AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH
LACK OF UPPER SUPPORT AND ABSENCE OF A SURFACE FOCUS IN OUR AREA...
GOING WITH A DRY FORECAST IN THE LONG TERM. WITH THE 850 MB
THERMAL RIDGE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BUILD EAST INTO OUR AREA...
EXPECT A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES. HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY SUNDAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE INDICATED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. NOCTURNAL DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-
LEVEL JET WILL AID IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT...RESULTING IN
LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT NORTH INTO AT LEAST OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS EACH DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 69  85  61  87  69 /  40  10  10  10  10
SAN ANGELO 	 70  90  64  89  69 /  20  20  20  10  10
JUNCTION 	 71  91  68  89  69 /  10  40  40  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 12:07 PM CDT, 6 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1207 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-311715-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
1207 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE BIG COUNTRY MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
BROWNWOOD TO BALLINGER TO SWEETWATER. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING WEST OF A HASKELL...TO SAN ANGELO...TO OZONA
LINE. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH AT 20 FEET WILL COMBINE WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT AND VERY HOT
TEMPERATURES. ANY OUTDOOR BURNING...OR ACTIVITY THAT COULD RESULT
IN ACCIDENTAL FLAMES OF ANY KIND SHOULD BE DONE WITH CAUTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT...GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THROCKMORTON...TO SAN
ANGELO LINE. THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS
LOW. HOWEVER...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THE GUSTY WINDS
AND HAIL ACCOMPANYING THE STRONGER STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 30, 4:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
456 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXZ054-065-066-127-302245-
NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-TAYLOR TX-COKE TX-
456 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NOLAN...RUNNELS...TAYLOR AND COKE COUNTIES...

AT 453 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRONTE...OR ABOUT
10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLACKWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME
ROADS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE U.S. HIGHWAY 277 AND RANCH
ROAD 53.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WILMETH BY 505 PM CDT
  WINGATE...US-277 NEAR THE RUNNELS-NOLAN-TAYLOR COUNTY INTERSECTION
  AND HYLTON BY 510 PM CDT
  PUMPHREY...HAPPY VALLEY AND WINTERS BY 520 PM CDT
  DRASCO BY 530 PM CDT
  BRADSHAW BY 540 PM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3221 9983 3182 9983 3187 10033 3211 10029
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 236DEG 22KT 3197 10020

DANIELS

Local storm report, May 30, 5:24 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
524 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             1 N WINGATE             32.06N 100.11W
05/30/2012  E0.88 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200185

EJM

Local storm report, May 30, 5:40 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
540 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     HAIL             12 W BUFFALO GAP        32.28N 100.04W
05/30/2012  E1.75 INCH       TAYLOR             TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200186

EJM

Local storm report, May 30, 6:06 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
606 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             4 SW BUFFALO GAP        32.24N  99.88W
05/30/2012  E1.75 INCH       TAYLOR             TX   PARK SERVICE

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT ABILENE STATE PARK

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200187

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 30, 6:13 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
613 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     HAIL             BALLINGER               31.74N  99.96W
05/30/2012  E1.75 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200188

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 30, 6:14 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
614 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             BALLINGER               31.74N  99.96W
05/30/2012  E1.75 INCH       RUNNELS            TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED THROUGH LOCAL BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1200189

JOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 4:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Taylor	48 min
May 30, 4:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Jones, Nolan, Taylor	43 min
May 30, 4:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SJT	Runnels	49 min
May 30, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coke, Nolan, Runnels, Taylor	43 min
May 30, 5:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Jones, Taylor	47 min
May 30, 5:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Taylor	27 min
May 30, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels	41 min
May 30, 5:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Runnels	31 min
May 30, 6:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman, Taylor	39 min
May 30, 6:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, Runnels	35 min
May 30, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan, Coleman, Taylor	27 min
May 30, 6:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SJT	Concho, Runnels	30 min
May 30, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, McCulloch, Runnels	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.